Changing the ramp..
Doesn't provide for any extra hangar space
Doesn't provide for anymore lifts to the flight deck
Doesn't provide more troop accom space
Doesn't provide any more weapons lift or refuelling points
Would require significant redesign. The jump is very integrated, part of the outer hull
Would require additional cost, time, risk
Would make the ship an orphan type - can't benefit from certifications the Spanish etc do. Totally different airflow across the ship etc.
Does create perhaps an extra spot far away up the front.
Its these sort of wacky localisaltions we should be moving away from. How much do we really gain from a 7th maybe spot compared to the costs inc opportunity costs.
I believe the LHD have moderate capability as a carrier. The Spainsh seem pretty happy with the JC1 operating harriers, and while F35b's aren't Harriers, the basics are there for some sort of light carrier capability in the future if it needed to be developed.. But it would be a development, money time and effort. Again IMO. However, for Australia that isn't quite enough to go out and buy F-35B's.
We lack escorts. 3 hobarts, all going into upgrade mean no reliable deployable escort other than an Anzac. Which isn't designed to escort a ship by itself like the LHD. Australia would need ~5-6 hobarts to form a proper escort, like say Spain can.
The RAAF lacks planes. The RAAF makes a strong case for 100 F-35A's, so a 4th squadron can be forward deployed. IMO it isn't worth looking at F-35b's until the ADF has at least 100 F-35A. While reviewed and maybe filled with other capability, IMO recent events have proven perhaps we are better getting real manned aircraft today than waiting for not yet in service still in development drones of the future. Then we have sustainable squadrons that can be rotated from a forward deployed location. We need to get the training pipeline sorted as well. Decide what we are going to do with the SH once the MC-55a come on line, and blk IV F-35 and where that leaves growlers. How do we upgrade blkiii to blkIv with our existing aircraft pool without pulling apart our existing capability?
Ordering F-35B's today would mean getting them when? 2027?2028? Standing up IOC when? FOC when? Singapore has already ordered theirs, and expect them to start delivery by 2026. We don't even have a project to acquire them, IMO we would be lucky to start getting deliveries before 2030.
Any new build ship/platform. We could probably order an additional LHD from spain/turkey and see IOC before 2030, maybe, maybe spain could forward deploy JC1 to Aus to help train (huge if/maybe). Any other platform and we would be lucky to cut steel before 2030 just to do due diligence, order long lead, etc. Cavour, Izumo, etc are completely different ships, not in hot yards with huge crew and unique systems. If we are trying to do this with the existing LHDs, well arguably two isn't enough for their existing roles. They have been centre peices of our contributions to rimpac and indopacific, and we work them hard. Throwing new missions means messing up what we have already been doing. But maybe the F-35B can basically be deployed from islands and only carried by LHDs?
P8's. P8's can do long range strike. While I found the idea of P3's throwing harpoons as a strike platform to replace the F-111's pretty lame, the P8 is a far newer, faster and longer ranged platform, and LRASM is much better than Harpoon. This is our front line aircraft at the moment, doing freedoms in SCS. Should we not perhaps acquire that 15th airframe before looking at more ambitious programs?
Sm-6 is a longer ranged missile, and can be cued by things like the E7 and with Australias fairly significant long range sensor capability and its own seeker, it buys distance. Its not the same, but we start to narrow down the distance a patrolling F-35b would have from a carrier and the capability a Sm-6. How much are we spending to cover that distance? What are we engaging? Fighters? Bombers? Ships?
The time frame is running out. Realistically we know when peak tension is going to happen. 2027 to about 2035. Its not that procuring capability beyond this timeframe are a waste, just that perhaps we should focus more on the immediate what can be done in less than 10 years.
Realistically we would have to basically be pulling all stops today to build some sort of capability. Ordering 3 new hobarts to be FOC by 2027. Ordering 24 F-35A + F-35B's to be FOC by 2027, probably ordering a new LHD already adapted for F-35 operations (which could drop into service as the other two are upgraded later). It would make sense to first order things like the additional P8(s). We would have to have a plan about what we are doing about the Superhornets long term. We would need weapons etc already in flow, and somehow all of this additional stuff not to take away from existing mega projects and acquisitions.
But what is the mission? close air patrol of the fleet? Where in the region are we seeing this. Are we loosing butterworth? If that is the case is it even viable with some mild carrier capability to be in that space if we have already lost the hearts and minds of the region?
While I don't like to say things are impossible. I just don't see it in this case how its possible. I haven't seen a strong argument of why. Or a realistic, or heck even unrealistic plan of how to acquire. or the insurmountable advantage. Then there would have to be some sort of magical change how the raaf thinks and what the navy wants and can provide.
This is the problem with carrier talk and the RAN. People say they want it. But no answer to how, or where or why or when. Its just I want this platform. This platform is cool.