I don't think that they will sign the BMP-3 deal alone. There are several deals that are in the works. More Flankers (most likely Su-35BM), Tor M1, submarines (Amur class allegedly), Il-76 and Il-78 (10, and 2 to replace boeing equivalents), and Mi-28N helos. I'd expect another package deal to be signed possibly not within the month, but within the next little while.
They've desided on the subs already. Chavez wanted them all to be of the new AIP type but was convinced to buy 7 conventional, and only the last one of them to be AIP. I belive this is due to urgent needs, while the AIP isn't ready for production yet, as well as they will need some time to learn to handle them.
Three types of choppers is on the Venezuelan wish list, and I belive two types have/are being delivered; Mi-17, Mi-35, and when possible the Mi-28 (I hope I'm correct on the types).
They didn't buy any SAMs yet. That's rumors and speculation. Officially they expressed interest in them as far as I know. Most likely if they are T-72s, they will be from Russian Army reserves, as a cost saver. They are likely to go for T-90S in my mind because it's been effectively delivered to India and Algeria, and on a 500 unit deal they could get licensed production to sweeten the pill. Anyway time will tell.
Can Ukranian T-72's might have been of interest (it rings a bell somewhere)
500 tanks sounds waaay too high for their needs, and an unnessesary cost to boot, as their main threat is the US and will come from the sea (take this for what it is, I have little knowledge). Although, Chavez is constantly looking to expand his countrys industry, so that could happen.
Considering the possibility that Colombia will be involved to some extent if the US strikes/invades, what else do they field but 300.000 soldiers?
¿Are you sure?
Because some Financial Analyst (like Deutsche Bank...) are rising many concerns about the capacity of Venezuela to balance the national budget if the continuous rising of spends and the dropping oil prices continues.
Link to an article published by The Universal quoting Reuters release about that. (English Language)
So perhaps they were thinking in that when the Chavez government brokered the Russian loan. :unknown
Venezuela has $40bn in currency reserves for those rainy days.
The venezuelan gov is totally corrupted, bloated and inefficient. It runs on the base of political indication and corporativism, with near zero meritocracy. The country has high inflation and supermarket shelves are constantly empty. With the fall of oil prices, I dont give more than 4 years to the implosion of its economy.
What are your sources?
It would be interesting to see how many rifles must be produced at the factory for it to pay for its construction.
One of Chavez's main objectives is to expand their industry on multiple fields. This is not only to divert their economy from oil, but also for the sake expanding the know-how of Venezuelans (much like Turkey does militarily, but on a civil side of industry).
In the past years they have, and continously are, expanding their know-how in agriculture; farming animals and growing crops they haven't before, while gaining that know-how from Argentina and Brazil. They've/are building a tractor factory with Irianan help (as well as building cars/car parts for the domestic and L.A. I think).
They have also in the same line of thinking started to nationalize industial factories that are strategic for the countrys growth (and that have been exporting loads instead of supplying the internal market); Sidor, the steel plant; three big cement companies.
So, I'm sure that Chavez is looking at that cost for the factory out of that perspective. Same goes if they're to build T-90's them selves.
Im realy proud that my country has began to modernize their Military. I would realy like to see them have the strongest military in south america . But i dont want to see those forces used for bad intentions. I think the t90s would be the best choice for the venezuelan army as its mbt. Its easy to maintain and is a formidible foe on the battle field. The sukoihs were the best choice for the airforce. He just needs to get those pilots well trained to handle them. I also think the venezuelan basic army training could use some improvment. Some more highend anti air assets should be a primary concern to protect the oil feilds. Also Russian military bases on venezuelan soil would boost its fighting potential 5x.
That's against your constituton borracho.