Now the dust has settled and I've had time to read and digest the above docs I can make some comment.
First and foremost I think the strategic balance outlined is about correct IMHO.
It's good to see that the plans are sounding like a real combined ADF and not a competitive auction between the three services (although I'm sure there's a fair amount of competition under the surface)
I like that they have divided capability into functions and not the three individual services eg combining Air and Sealift and Land and Amphibious.
Turning to individual naval capability and platforms, (I don't have enough expertise to comment on the others); it's so good to see that at last our navy will have the capability to return to Task Group operations and have that enunciated in the paper. This posture has been lost to the RAN for far too long,
Submarines - the capability has been written to almost mandate Option J by stressing the strategic and tactical interoperability with the US. Off course this can be achieved to some degree with the other two suppliers but at what cost both financial and strategic.
Frigates - nice to see 9 units, it gives credence to the TG CONOPS where anything less would be short. No doubt they will come in tranches.
P8 Poseidon - an excellent win for maritime ops. The result ensures a large increase over current capability.
AORs - as expected with a bonus of a third unit once the fleet size grows. It will be interesting to see how they choose between the either or of a third tanker or another LSL. I suspect they may need both circa 2030.
Choules - any thought that she will be disposed of after 10 years is dead and buried and the $300 m upgrade to bring her combat data and self defence up to fleet levels is welcomed.
OPVs - nice to see 12, I was expecting somewhere around 6 but maybe they won't be as ambitious as I'd anticipated however, they will have an aviation capability and in some of their roles they will carry UAV for ISR
It's also good to see they will be capable of deploying throughout maritime SE Asia
Finally, there will be timely upgrades to the enablers/fleet bases and to Coonawarra in Darwin amongst many others.
My big disappointment is the level of reporting by the fourth estate. So ignorant, this am I listened to Richardson, Wreith and Hewson comment that defence is something that has no voter or commentator interest that it may be in the headlines for one day and disappear and was of no import. This coupled with the ABCs Jennet and Greene who are simply ill informed and marginally stupid when reporting defence. Oh well, we should be used to it.
Assail, as usual, a very well thought out, intelligent and especially, a spot on post!!! (and unlike you I haven't had time yet to read, re read and digest all the docs, hopefully over the weekend).
On your last point first, 'the fourth estate', yes have been listening to all that crap too the last two days (and all the other days the fourth estate start crapping on too), fortunately I think the mood of the general population in relation to Defence has changed too, not so vocal and reactionary to what the media says.
To me the reaction they get is probably no more than the wankers from APA get these days too, minimal, who cares basically!!
A balanced DWP? Would agree, there are probably a few things around the 'fringes' that concern me, but overall, probably the best and well thought out DWP's for a long long time.
The various points made about 'combined' ADF capabilities is a pretty good move too, demonstrates that a combined approach is often best when it comes to certain things, on the surface not appearing to say this is a Navy, Army or RAAF core responsibility, but an ADF responsibility.
Without listing all of the specific capabilities (as you did), still pretty well balanced, doesn't appear that there are too many losers, not a case that the RAN had to pay for the RAAF's capabilities, etc, as you would normally see when a DWP is released.
There is obviously a lot more to say and comment on in the days and weeks ahead, but not until I've had a real good read of the DWP and IIP (still getting my head around IIP rather than DCP)!!!
Cheers,