cherry said:
I reckon I could live with that. Personally though, I would leave the phase 2 of AIR 8000 to purchasing 6-8 extra chooks in the CH-47F configuration, even with the refuelling probe. $350m should cover this. The $1B allocated to phase one of AIR 8000 could purchase 12 x C-130J-30. Although, I would like to see 6 x in AAR role, 2 x in AC-130 role, and 4 x in MC-130 role. The 6 x AAR could be used for intra-theatre lift when not required for AAR roles, and the 4 x MC-130 could also be used for intra-theatre lift when not required by SOF. The AC-130 capability is one that would truely contribute to a hardened and networked army, giving them a unique capability feared by all our enemies. By having AAR C-130J, the newly purchased and modified Chinooks could have their range extended and this would also provide a great capability for SOF operations. All of this should be able to be achieved for around $1.35B, especially considering we should get some money back for the sale of our remaining C-130H models. Your thoughts?
For that budget, I think we could probably afford only 12x aircraft if we opted for specialist variants and I think that we could only afford to get "6x AAR" or 6x AC-130 or 6x MC-130 but not 2 of those specialised variants, meaning the other 6 would be standard "tac-trans" variants. The most recent cost I saw for C-130J-30 was US$73m per platform for "standard" variants...
As always it seems to be a case of: do we opt of 16x tactrans variants or 12x variants with some being equipped as KC/AC/MC-130 variants? Of the 3 specialist variants, I think the MC variants are of least importance for RAAF, with KC variants being the most importance, due to their helo A2A refuelling capability, something which RAAF entirely lacks...
IF a specialised A2G strike capability were to be acquired, I'd advocate an MQ-1 Predator or similar rather than an AC-130. The latest AC-130U variant is still based on C-130H's. There is no AC variant of C-130J's been made to date and as such we would be "orphan's". Something ADF has not handled well on other projects. The NRE would be horrendous too...
Granted we will get some money for the sale of the C-130H's as we did with the sale of the "E's" but there's no guarantee that money will go back into replacement capability acquisition or even back into Defence at all...
There is money for the Chooks under AIR-9000 ($450 million for Chinook upgrade), I also have a feeling the Chooks might be a "special" case like the C-17 and be purchased with supplementary funding outside of the announced Defence Capability Plan.
I think it's a reasonable bet that the current CH-47D Chinooks will be "re-manufactured" to the "F" standard and additional new builds bought at the same time or earlier (to cover for the platforms undergoing upgrade).
This may be difficult to justify politically at present with the announcement just done for the additional MRH-90, but I wouldn't be surprised to see it 6 or 12 months down the track...
Therefore my preferrence would be for: 12x C-130J-30's with 6x equipped to KC-130J standard.
The Chinooks to be "re-manufactured" to the "F" standard and an additional 6-10 new build "F's" acquired. 6x for 5 Avn Regt and up to 4 "specwarops" variants.
If more money can be found for Tactrans then perhaps "AC's" could be considered but the conversion makes the aircraft completely un-useable in it's tactrans role and therefore is a bit too specialised for my liking in RAAF service in these fiscal times. More CAS capability could be added to our Hornet fleets if necessary through greater and wider weapons stocks (Brimstone, SDB etc) and I think that as Mariner may end up winning the AIR-7000 MUAV project, MQ-1 could be a handy purchase and provide a specialised A2G capability...