NZDF General discussion thread

Rob c

The Bunker Group
Verified Defense Pro
Again, id ask, what 'fat' would you cut? I pointed out valuable public sector jobs lost, first year tertiary education And kiwisaver contributions were cut too.And hundreds of millions of dollars in rental increases to beneficiarys in state housing, pensioners included in that mix.
An other point to keep inmind is that NZ (1924 figures) has the lowest personal tax rates in the OECD and a total tax take significantly below the OECD average yet this governmwnt did tax cuts and then complained about a lack of money.
 

StevoJH

The Bunker Group
Yes, that's right. US health spending is very inefficient indeed. Highest admin costs as a share of spending, & highest spending, for example, so admin spending per head is as much as total spending per head in some countries with similar or even better results.

The state options are extraordinarily complicated, which puts up costs & reduces availability.
A lot of medications are also much more expensive than in other countries for the exact same product. Drug companies exist to make money, they will charge for their products whatever they believe the market in each country is willing (or able) to pay.
 

kiwi in exile

Well-Known Member
at the risk of continuing to drift further off topic into politics...

I'm guessing most ppl on this forum vote centre right.

In defence news:
NZ is exploriong the military version of Musks Starlink (more tax payer money being syphoned to the rich ;) )

Phil Pennington on RNZ also has some indepth follow up on Pete Hegseths freeloading comments:
Arms, industry and intel

In New Zealand there are signs of that too, and evidence of getting the carrot already.


If Washington wanted to make a "clear shift" against the two-percenter Kiwis it would have to take into account the following partial list of deals, exercises and engagements from just the last few years:


  • Industrial base: In the National Defence Authorisation Act 2023, the US Congress unilaterally expanded its National Technology and Industrial Base or NTIB "to include New Zealand". The base was earlier expanded in 2017 to include Australia, Canada and the UK over worries "that allies and potential adversaries alike are achieving technological parity with - and in some sectors, superiority over - the US military". The NTIB legally ties industrial-base planning to the national security strategy of the world's only superpower.
  • Intelligence sharing: A military-civilian satellite-watching hub funded mostly by the US and called Joint Commercial Operations or JCO has operated from Auckland since 2023.
  • Arms sales: Wellington is buying over $2 billion of maritime helicopters from the US government.
  • The NZDF is part of four parallel projects run by the US Army, Navy, Air and Space force to integrate battlefield data and build faster "kill chains" using drone-and-satellite targeting of the type used in Iran under Project Maven. This involves regular exercises to test high-tech weapons. NZ just took part in one run by Space Force focused on a nuclear weapon detonation in orbit.
  • Satellites for the US National Reconnaissance Office spy agency, the NRO, have been launched from Mahia.
  • In 2024 New Zealand joined the new Partnership for Indo-Pacific Industrial Resilience (PIPIIR) to build up military supply lines. The Pentagon said it directly supported "President Trump's Peace through Strength agenda". The 16-nation group has projects to repair the P-8 spy planes - that New Zealand flies - in Australia and for potentially large-scale production of drones, munitions and "energetics" (new explosive materials). The P-8 and drones were called "marquee initiatives" by Hegseth in a March 2026 joint statement from PIPIR partners.
  • In 2024 New Zealand accepted a US invite to join the elite 10-nation Operation Olympic Defence space security group. A radar station near Auckland is part of a new "federated" space system for the Five Eyes intelligence group the country has been part of for decades.
  • New Zealand this year for the first time took part in the huge Balikatan exercise off the Philippines. Hegseth at Shangri-La noted the exercise that concluded this month featured "the most advanced US capabilities". It also got close to the South China Sea and upset Beijing.
  • Attempts to get more cooperation with the second Trump administration on defence, space and sensitive technologies amid "support in Washington for stronger partnership".
Hegseth is a blow hard, looks like the realtionship is good. The cynic in me thinks the 3.5% target set by Trump etc is as much about US arms sales as anything else.
 

danonz

Member
To be fair to Hegseth, the journalist asked a loaded question, and his response wasn't as berating as the headlines suggest. The target is part of what was agreed to by all NATO members, and we are a friend and/or partner of NATO.
  • The 3.5% Target: At the 2025 NATO Summit, Allies formally committed to investing at least 3.5% of their national GDP on core, traditional defense requirements by 2035.
  • The 5% Overarching Target: In addition to the core 3.5%, Allies committed to raising their total annual spending to 5% of GDP by 2035. The additional 1.5% is intended for dual-use and resilience investments, such as defending cyber networks, protecting critical infrastructure, and strengthening the industrial base.
 

Gracie1234

Well-Known Member
This 3.5% questions is pretty simple to answer. If NATO committed to that as an appropriate amount, then if we are below that, then it is clear we are not providing the same proportional resources as others. Other countries also have debt, social security, infrastructure, health and education bills. Pretty simple if you are below what others are doing, but you want to be seen as part of the group, then you are free loading to a degree. I will not comment on if that is an appropriate amount as i am not an expert but more resources means more capability.
It seems clear that more capability is required so that it deters conflict, imagine what would happen to our economy if there was a conflict in the south china sea. Our economy would grind to a halt and there would be nothing we would be able to do.
 

Aerojoe

Member
A proven system in use with other 5EYES militaries.

That said, I think there would be value in a sovereign satellite constellation over the Pacific.

We even have our own rich bloke here that could facilitate it...
Rather than a 'sovereign" that is NZ only a Pacific sovereign by the major players in the region - NZ, Australia, France and UK - would make a lot of sense and spread the risk. If you think about the Pacific and the Southern Ocean (including southern Indian ocean) then that grouping makes a lot of sense. If 5Eyes was going to be an issue then remove France but that would be a shame.
 

kiwi in exile

Well-Known Member
A proven system in use with other 5EYES militaries.

That said, I think there would be value in a sovereign satellite constellation over the Pacific.
Rnz article 3/6/26
Another article states the uk has started using starshield and quotes a US aerospace analyst stating he was not aware of its use outside the US.

I wonder if there are concerns about data sovereignty using starshield and other tech bro billionaire AI systems, like when no one wanted huwai to invest in UK/AU infrastructure.

I like the idea of sovereign capability. Not sure we could though. There was a chch based company making hi alt, long endurance drones.
 

Nighthawk.NZ

Well-Known Member
Rnz article 3/6/26
Another article states the uk has started using starshield and quotes a US aerospace analyst stating he was not aware of its use outside the US.

I wonder if there are concerns about data sovereignty using starshield and other tech bro billionaire AI systems, like when no one wanted huwai to invest in UK/AU infrastructure.

I like the idea of sovereign capability. Not sure we could though. There was a chch based company making hi alt, long endurance drones.
I don't trust Musk and any of his companies to honest and data leaks, especially under current administration if you look what happened with the Dutch and Microsoft, EU are now moving away from Microsoft, Google & Amazon etc

Microsoft Accused Of Sharing Dutch Officials’ Data with U.S. Government Yes there is more to it and this was the final reason for the many in the EU to drop and cut ties with the big three...

 
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Hoffy

Active Member
Luxon keeps referencing that Aussie nuclear-powered submarines as not even relevant until the 2040s/2050s when being asked by various Kiwi media commentators for his opinion in relation to Chris Penk suggesting that it may be time to have a discussion about nuclear powered vs nuclear armed vessels entering New Zealand ports.
Surely the Kiwi media are going to figure out that 20232 is just around the corner.
Australia is the sole military alliance partner with NZ; I just find it a little bizarre that the discussion is being shut down like this.
Should Australia politely accept this and simply exclude NZ from CONOPS for the new VCS? It makes no sense to me.
 

recce.k1

Well-Known Member
Australia is the sole military alliance partner with NZ; I just find it a little bizarre that the discussion is being shut down like this.
Should Australia politely accept this and simply exclude NZ from CONOPS for the new VCS? It makes no sense to me.
No need to get too agitated, we have an election coming up in a few months time and the PM appears to be shutting down what would be an unnecessary distraction and a boon to the Leftist side of the media, politicians and former political "elders" just waiting for air time to rage. Luxon has chosen his words carefully - not whilst he is PM (and come 2032 someone else will likely be PM anyway). Anyway the "good news" is there is some media coverage about separating nuclear propulsion aspects and that of supporting NZ's ally, small steps at the moment but steps in the right direction. :)
 

Hone C

Active Member
I like the idea of sovereign capability. Not sure we could though. There was a chch based company making hi alt, long endurance drones.
In terms of domestic capabilities, RocketLab is a credible "full stack" space provider (and is already building and launching satellites with core Starshield type capabilities for the US govt).

Not beyond the realm of possibilities for an NZG commissioned LEO sovereign constellation over the South Pacific; it would be invaluable for defence but also support national resilience and high tech manufacturing and jobs. Need an NZG with vision though, so the cynic in me says it likely won't happen.
 

Nighthawk.NZ

Well-Known Member
In terms of domestic capabilities, RocketLab is a credible "full stack" space provider (and is already building and launching satellites with core Starshield type capabilities for the US govt).
RocketLab is mainly a US company now... while we have a full subsidiary in NZ that is NZ owned it not the main company
 

kiwipatriot69

Active Member
I've heard on other defence forums rumours Nzdf could be fast tracking some of these big ticket items like the Sea guardian in significant numbers, or even that the SOPV hasn't been cancelled and we'll likely end up with two military speced ones off damen based on the Canadian Arctic patrol ones, to suppliment the frigate replacements? Is there any substance behind this happening or just someone's wish list?
 

Nighthawk.NZ

Well-Known Member
I've heard on other defence forums rumours Nzdf could be fast tracking some of these big ticket items like the Sea guardian in significant numbers, or even that the SOPV hasn't been cancelled and we'll likely end up with two military speced ones off damen based on the Canadian Arctic patrol ones, to suppliment the frigate replacements? Is there any substance behind this happening or just someone's wish list?
I very much doubt it... Though the SOPV is technically not cancelled only shelved...
 

Gibbo

Well-Known Member
I've heard on other defence forums rumours Nzdf could be fast tracking some of these big ticket items like the Sea guardian in significant numbers, or even that the SOPV hasn't been cancelled and we'll likely end up with two military speced ones off damen based on the Canadian Arctic patrol ones, to suppliment the frigate replacements? Is there any substance behind this happening or just someone's wish list?
Sounds very much like wish list thinking....here's a link to a budget factsheet that's clearly states the capability to provide long-duration intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance over the South-West Pacific will be 'Uncrewed surface vessels and enabling systems" ...that sounds precisely like more BlueBottle USV which the ADF is also investing heavily in. The other capability is a polar-capable uncrewed aerial platform for deployment from HMNZS Aotaeroa which certainly won't be Sea Guardian. TBH I'm not a fan of BlueBottle but hey it does have some utility. The DCP did state an 'Long-range remotely piloted aircraft' but no details provided as yet and it seems unlikely 'significant numbers' would be planned.

 
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