Imagine thinking Russia would send 10K troops, along with $500B to assist separatists in Spain. I also remember reading that the group to provide this support was claimed to be created during the Gorbachev era. Laughing. But none of it belongs in this thread. (Edit: to provide some evidence for “remember reading”:
Russian group offered Catalan separatist leaders 10,000 soldiers, judge says)
A Ukrainian propaganda outlet has some questions about the Flamingo missiles. They ask whether it is a real weapon or “marketing”. Interesting choice of a word for what is known as propaganda.
Not to worry though, because very soon they will be set to fight indefinitely (!) due some uber air-defense interceptors that are, again, produced domestically, to boot!
That would be the new minister of defense. No different from the old, it appears.
i have not read a single post above in its entirety, but noticed there was some talk about Ukraine restoration. On that subject:
The proposal hinges on a ceasefire that remains elusive while Russian leader Vladimir Putin persists with his full-scale invasion.
www.politico.eu
The obvious vibe from the article is that it will never happen beyond some paperwork and “marketing”.
Also:
Imagine how much continuing the war would cost. Then imagine sourcing the money. Good thing they are going to have those epic interceptors that Fedorov promised, otherwise, they would be in real trouble.
In the meantime, Kellogg is also optimistic (haven’t read in a while, but wonder what Hodges thinks nowadays):
Just to note, it appears they have slightly changed the headline since the screenshot was taken:
Former US president's special envoy for Ukraine Keith Kellogg has said that if Ukraine "gets through" this winter, the advantage in the war will be on its side rather than Russia's.
www.pravda.com.ua
While his proposition is questionable at best, I wonder what he thinks happens if Ukraine does not survive this winter (it will, in all likelihood). As for the proposition of advantage, what is most likely to happen, in my opinion, after the winter is accelerated Russian advances and lower casualties, more of the same otherwise.
Relevant statistics:
The info is from this article (good read):
Ukraine Air War Monitor Vol. XII is now available in English!
www.kyiv-dialogue.org
A thread by Jakub Janovsky (of Oryx) on the current stocks of Russian armour (an opinion piece):
@Rebel44CZ: /thread/ There is an ongoing debate about the current size of the Russian AFV fleet, losses it has taken, new production level storage+reactivation, etc. Here is my take on the topic notes: this is just ...…
threadreaderapp.com
To note, one of his later comments on the subject:
I have exluded T-64s, T-55s, and T-8OUDs as undesirable because T-55s are trash (and more useful turned into ARVs) and the other 2 dont have a source of critical parts (and their state and number dont justify building up a new spare parts production chain).
Another Ukrainian article talking about some numbers, as well as things that cannot be provided by the EU (would have to use a translate of some kind):
Україна у 2026 році потребує масштабних поставок озброєння з-за меж Європейським Союзом — щонайменше $27 мільярдів.
militarnyi.com
Mentioned are Patriot missiles, intelligence, parts for the F-16 aircraft in service, as well as its ammunition, etc. They put this number at $27B for this year. They also say, which I had talked about before, that the EU “loan” only covers two thirds ($90B) of the required military assistance ($145B) in 2026-27. They say the rest depends on the allies to provide the assistance and the US in particular. Rather an optimistic hope, but one also needs to remember that entire Ukrainian budget, like 100% (less some military spending) is financed externally; Ukraine spends 100% of the revenue on its military needs. Luckily, of course, they have those Fedorov interceptors coming soon.
A thread by O’Leary (of Chosen) on Russian better (operational and strategic) use of drones vs Ukrainians (tactical):
@RyanO_ChosenCoy: Ukraine is not losing drone warfare tactically. Ukrainian units still kill large numbers of enemy infantry with FPVs daily. Ukraine is losing operationally and strategically because it never define...…
threadreaderapp.com
Janovsky’s thoughts on the subject, a reply to Ryan (sorry, only have a twitter link):
My thought: if Ukraine reduces their concentration of strikes on the Russian infantry, they will be simply overrun before they take care of the logistics behind and far behind. It’s a luxury they cannot afford beyond what they are doing now. Of course, I am in my comfortable couch and a layman vs someone actively fighting in Ukraine.
The last thing I will mention is that it appears the talks in the UAE may have been somewhat successful as another meeting is allegedly set for next Sunday. I noticed some commentators expected an energy infrastructure ceasefire, but it would be naive to think that Russians would agree to it right now unless they feel some real progress is made.
Ok, one more thing that I remembered. I see a really increased amount of talk again about Russia running out missiles… again. Am I missing something?