Hamas-Israeli War 2023

Larry_L

Active Member
The IDF reports recovering 6 bodies of hostages. It makes me wonder how many more are dead.




And a rumor that several high level Hamas "aides" were eliminated.

 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Not sure if this should stay in this thread or be split off, but it appears Israel has finally started to go after Hezbollah.
 

John Fedup

The Bunker Group
Not sure if this should stay in this thread or be split off, but it appears Israel has finally started to go after Hezbollah.
Not surprising, the pager/walkie event has seriously compromised Hezbollah's communication and control. Primer opportunity for the IDF to lay a well deserved world of hurt on Hezbollah. Will be an eventual benefit for Lebanon.
 

KipPotapych

Well-Known Member
How crazy is this? The ROI appear to be pretty loose, regardless whether they knew about the building or not.

An Israeli military official has told the BBC that it carried out a deadly strike on a five-storey residential building in Beit Lahia in northern Gaza on Tuesday in response to seeing a “spotter” on the roof with binoculars observing Israeli forces.[…]

The military official said it was not a planned strike and troops did not know the building was being used as a shelter for displaced people.


 

Big_Zucchini

Well-Known Member
How crazy is this? The ROI appear to be pretty loose, regardless whether they knew about the building or not.

An Israeli military official has told the BBC that it carried out a deadly strike on a five-storey residential building in Beit Lahia in northern Gaza on Tuesday in response to seeing a “spotter” on the roof with binoculars observing Israeli forces.[…]

The military official said it was not a planned strike and troops did not know the building was being used as a shelter for displaced people.


Doesn't sound crazy at all to me. But there are several things to be aware of before taking this article at face value.
  1. The source is BBC, a news corporation that is known for poor journalistic standards, primarily in fact checking.
  2. They cite Hamas for casualty figures.
  3. Entire story seems to be just a compilation of various orgs' statements instead of event analysis.
  4. Apparent that no defense SME was involved in the writing of this article.
The only things we can know for certain from this article:
  1. A building was identified as used for military purposes.
  2. The strike was coordinated as CAS and not a GHQ mission.
  3. It occurred in Beit Lahiya.
What we certainly DON'T know:
  1. The intel available to troops on the ground.
  2. The process in the strike cell and intel available to them.
  3. How many casualties.
  4. Combatant:Civilian ratio of casualties.

When a mission is coordinated as CAS, it affects the timetables and procedures, and intel is gathered by the troops on the ground. Troops only know that their AO is under evacuation order but they don't have the ability to verify if any certain building is evacuated or not and to what extent. Strike cell probably also don't have such accurate and up-to-date intel on a per-building basis. It takes a LOT of assets to do which the IDF lacks.
Therefore, in the context of RoE, it seems like a perfectly reasonable call.
Remember that very early in the war, a PIJ rocket landed in a hospital's parking lot and killed a few people. Hamas inflated it to 500. I don't remember the real number. Was it 35? Round it up to 50 and that's a factor of 10. Since that incident I understood Hamas's MO and every time they published civilian casualty figures I just divided it by 10.
 
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Big_Zucchini

Well-Known Member
Israel MFA formally announces cessation of its agreement with UNRWA following legislation to sever all ties between Israeli government institutions with UNRWA.

This is an important step in creating leverage against Hamas to accept some hostage release agreement.

 

swerve

Super Moderator
Doesn't sound crazy at all to me. But there are several things to be aware of before taking this article at face value.
  1. The source is BBC, a news corporation that is known for poor journalistic standards, primarily in fact checking.
  2. They cite Hamas for casualty figures.
  3. ...
The article says "Gaza’s Hamas-run health ministry said more than 90 Palestinians, including 25 children, were killed or missing". How is that poor fact checking? It names the source, so you can use that to judge the reliaility (or lack of) of the numbers. What's wrong with that? Unless you can suggest some other & more reliable source of casualty figures, what's your point?

Note that the BBC always does that, & I'm pretty sure it's because they're well aware that Hamas is not a reliable source. But most of the time it's the only source they have.
 

Big_Zucchini

Well-Known Member
The article says "Gaza’s Hamas-run health ministry said more than 90 Palestinians, including 25 children, were killed or missing". How is that poor fact checking?
Most people only read the main headline, and if they're interested then the secondary headline.
The secondary headline says:

Tuesday's Israeli strike left 93 Palestinians dead or missing, local health officials said. The US described it as "horrifying".
Said secondary headline makes no mention of who these local health officials are. One has to open the article to read that. They also make no mention to the average reader that Hamas is a terrorist organization and that its statements are unreliable.

Here's an excerpt from another BBC article from January.

Army spokesman Daniel Hagari told reporters that Palestinian militants are now operating in the area only sporadically and "without commanders".
He said Israel had killed around 8,000 militants in north Gaza. The BBC cannot independently verify this number.
The Israel Defence Forces (IDF) are now focused on dismantling Hamas in south and central Gaza, he said.
Israel has killed more than 22,000 people since the war began, according to the Hamas-run health ministry in Gaza. On Sunday, the territory's health ministry said it had recorded more than 113 deaths over the past 24 hours.
Gaza has been devastated during Israel's war with Hamas, and most of the territory's population of 2.3 million has been displaced.
As you can see, BBC wrote about both statements. One from the IDF spox, another from Hamas. But it said it cannot independently verify the IDF's statement, while making no such claim about Hamas's.
Technically nothing false. But the average reader will get the impression that Hamas is reliable, and the IDF spox isn't. This is manipulation that indicates both malice and poor journalistic standards.

Also in the article about alleged 93 dead, out of 21 paragraphs, BBC wrote 17 paragraphs directly or indirectly supporting the idea that there were mass civilian casualties, and only 2 paragraphs vaguely refuting it. This is another form of manipulation.

In the paragraph they also report that:
Israel does not allow the BBC and other international media into Gaza to report independently, making it difficult to verify facts on the ground, so we rely on information from video footage and witness testimonies.
This is tucked well in the middle of the article and is crucial to understanding the report. They admit that they rely on information they cannot verify and which is likely manipulated by Hamas. They also claim they have no access to Gaza but that's not true. International media does have access to Gaza, but it has to be done in coordination with the IDF which has to make security arrangements for journalists, including dedicating personnel.

Note that the BBC always does that, & I'm pretty sure it's because they're well aware that Hamas is not a reliable source. But most of the time it's the only source they have.
There are other much more reliable sources, some of whom I listed in this thread over the last year.
 
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KipPotapych

Well-Known Member
BigZ, I quoted a very specific part from the article, an alleged statement by an “Israeli military official”, which I have little reason to take for more or less than what it was reported to be. I haven’t said anything about the casualties, their numbers, or extent. My post can be viewed above. You have valid points in your reply to me, but things you said we know for certain are not that certain. For instance, if there is “a spotter” on the roof, is the entire building being used for military purposes and, hence, justified to be levelled to the ground (if there are any people inside or not doesn’t really matter)? If there is a dude with binoculars on a roof of a building, does it mean he is “a spotter”? Assuming there was intel of the building used for military purposes, there must have been intel that it is also used as a shelter and so on. From the reports I have seen so far, I stand by what I said above (but not deadly set on pending additional information).

In regard to your post above: a) when a report says that the number or whatever it is they are reporting on is “according to <insert name>” generally means that the statement hasn’t been verified by the reporting organization; b) “army spokesman” and the like carry authority (Hamas does not), which is why media organizations mention that they cannot independently verify what had been said; c) I don’t know of any reputable news organization that have not used the “Gaza health authority” reported numbers, but I also do not know of one that claimed them to be factual. Would it be better if they said “neither statement could be independently verified”? Perhaps (and this is what I mostly see). Does it make them biased or have some agenda reporting it as they did? Not really. And I don’t even care for BBC personally.

To add, and not to be overly shy, I do not consider myself to be an “average reader” to be easily “impressed” by some reported numbers, which also have nothing to do with my post above. Neither have I seen an assumed “average reader” behaviour from many posters on this forum.
 

Big_Zucchini

Well-Known Member
In regard to your post above: a) when a report says that the number or whatever it is they are reporting on is “according to <insert name>” generally means that the statement hasn’t been verified by the reporting organization; b) “army spokesman” and the like carry authority (Hamas does not), which is why media organizations mention that they cannot independently verify what had been said; c) I don’t know of any reputable news organization that have not used the “Gaza health authority” reported numbers, but I also do not know of one that claimed them to be factual. Would it be better if they said “neither statement could be independently verified”? Perhaps (and this is what I mostly see). Does it make them biased or have some agenda reporting it as they did? Not really. And I don’t even care for BBC personally.
There are a thousand ways to write the same thing, to generate a thousand different conclusions. This influences how people perceive an issue, then it influences how they vote, and that in turn influences policy.

My cat jumped on my bed. That moment, 2 people died.
Did my cat kill these 2 people? Not at all. In fact it hasn't killed people in many years. But one would assume that it did, reading those 2 sentences alone.

My post can be viewed above. You have valid points in your reply to me, but things you said we know for certain are not that certain. For instance, if there is “a spotter” on the roof, is the entire building being used for military purposes and, hence, justified to be levelled to the ground (if there are any people inside or not doesn’t really matter)? If there is a dude with binoculars on a roof of a building, does it mean he is “a spotter”? Assuming there was intel of the building used for military purposes, there must have been intel that it is also used as a shelter and so on. From the reports I have seen so far, I stand by what I said above (but not deadly set on pending additional information).
What I said we know for certain wasn't that the building was used by Hamas, but that it was IDENTIFIED as such. Two different things. Considering the amount of unknowns in this event as presented by the BBC, it seems entirely unjustified to dedicate over 80% of the text to describing the humanitarian situation in Gaza, again through the lens of Hamas which created that situation, instead of trying to apply proper analysis, explaining RoE, difficult circumstances, etc. That is why I say BBC has poor journalistic standards. The BBC also has a long time bias against Israel. I don't know why, but for me this disqualifies them as a source of information. I cannot trust someone whose information comes from bias instead of research.
 
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