KipPotapych
Well-Known Member
Some interesting revelations today from Syrsky concerning air defence.
Below, I am going to copy some (well, all) numbers from the article.
According to Syrsky, from the beginning of the invasion (Feb 24, 22), Russian missiles and UAVs hit 11,879 targets. Without defining what constitutes military or civilian targets/infrastructure, he claimed that 6,203 of those were civilian and 5,676 were military targets. He stated that Russia used 9,590 missiles and 13,997 UAVs in an attempt to strike those targets; of those, 2,429 missiles and 5,972 UAVs were intercepted.
Basic math suggests that the average intercept rate for missiles is about 25%, while for UAVs that rate is about 43%. Quite a striking difference between Syrsky’s numbers provided here and daily Ministry of Defense briefings that often suggest intercept rates between 80 and 100%. One can look up previous posts in this thread discussing the subject matter and doubting the reality of the reported numbers, which never made any sense.
Here is some breakdown of the numbers by the type of missiles, according to the general. 67% of Kalibr, X-555/101, and R-500 cruise missiles were intercepted. On the other hand, only 22% of guide missiles, such as, X-59, X-35, X-31, and “other similar” were intercepted. The reported difference in numbers is explained by the fact that guided missiles are usually used where setting up layered air defence is not feasible (ie, frontline and “border facilities”).
This part is like a thunder in the blue sky, to be honest. As opposed to the daily briefings, only 4.5% of the ballistic missiles, such as Iskander, Tochka-U, and North Korean KN-23 were intercepted out of 1,388 launched.
S-300/400 were used to hit 4,293 ground targets, of which 3,196 were civilian infrastructure, according to the chief, and only 0.63% (not a typo, at least not mine) of those were intercepted.
Of 362 X-22 and X-32 that were launched, only 2 were shot down. While there were previous claims by the MoD of these being shot down periodically, then denial by what’s his name… Ignat, stating that they never shot down any of those, this is the first official statement (I clearly do not put the MoD’s briefings into the official category) that “confirms” interception of this type of missiles, I believe, but stand to be corrected.
Interestingly, he also claimed that Onyx missiles were launched 211 times and 12 were intercepted. At the same time, Kinzhal (X-47M2) was launched 111 times and 28 were shot down, 25%. Syrsky also said that only 15 were military targets out of 83 facilities hit by these missiles.
Finally, 6 Zircon missiles were ever launched, 2 were intercepted, and 4 hit civilian targets.
This part is a bit confusing to me, so maybe someone who gets a better grip here can chime in to clarify. So for the UAVs, he said that the statistics were combined for Shaheds and Lancets for the total number of launched drones of 13,315, of which 8,836 were intercepted, or about 66% (the article says 63%, go figure). This is clearly very different from the UAV numbers cited above from the same article. What am I missing here?
So here it is, who knows how truthful. Quite a grim picture though compared to the usual “we got hem all, but many facilities have been hit nonetheless” type of thing.
Edit: Just saw a tab open while closing others: as opposed to all denials from the “western” governments (the only denials I read about myself were by the Americans and Germans), Podolyak claimed on August 15 that the Kursk operation was discussed with “western partners” and they new about the incursion.
Сирський розкрив, скільки об’єктів в Україні потрапили під удар РФ
Головнокомандувач ЗСУ Олександр Сирський повідомив, що за період з 24 лютого 2022 року в Україні російські ракети та дрони уразили 11 879 об’єктів, з яких більшість цивільні - 6 203, решта військові - 5 676.
www.pravda.com.ua
Below, I am going to copy some (well, all) numbers from the article.
According to Syrsky, from the beginning of the invasion (Feb 24, 22), Russian missiles and UAVs hit 11,879 targets. Without defining what constitutes military or civilian targets/infrastructure, he claimed that 6,203 of those were civilian and 5,676 were military targets. He stated that Russia used 9,590 missiles and 13,997 UAVs in an attempt to strike those targets; of those, 2,429 missiles and 5,972 UAVs were intercepted.
Basic math suggests that the average intercept rate for missiles is about 25%, while for UAVs that rate is about 43%. Quite a striking difference between Syrsky’s numbers provided here and daily Ministry of Defense briefings that often suggest intercept rates between 80 and 100%. One can look up previous posts in this thread discussing the subject matter and doubting the reality of the reported numbers, which never made any sense.
Here is some breakdown of the numbers by the type of missiles, according to the general. 67% of Kalibr, X-555/101, and R-500 cruise missiles were intercepted. On the other hand, only 22% of guide missiles, such as, X-59, X-35, X-31, and “other similar” were intercepted. The reported difference in numbers is explained by the fact that guided missiles are usually used where setting up layered air defence is not feasible (ie, frontline and “border facilities”).
This part is like a thunder in the blue sky, to be honest. As opposed to the daily briefings, only 4.5% of the ballistic missiles, such as Iskander, Tochka-U, and North Korean KN-23 were intercepted out of 1,388 launched.
S-300/400 were used to hit 4,293 ground targets, of which 3,196 were civilian infrastructure, according to the chief, and only 0.63% (not a typo, at least not mine) of those were intercepted.
Of 362 X-22 and X-32 that were launched, only 2 were shot down. While there were previous claims by the MoD of these being shot down periodically, then denial by what’s his name… Ignat, stating that they never shot down any of those, this is the first official statement (I clearly do not put the MoD’s briefings into the official category) that “confirms” interception of this type of missiles, I believe, but stand to be corrected.
Interestingly, he also claimed that Onyx missiles were launched 211 times and 12 were intercepted. At the same time, Kinzhal (X-47M2) was launched 111 times and 28 were shot down, 25%. Syrsky also said that only 15 were military targets out of 83 facilities hit by these missiles.
Finally, 6 Zircon missiles were ever launched, 2 were intercepted, and 4 hit civilian targets.
This part is a bit confusing to me, so maybe someone who gets a better grip here can chime in to clarify. So for the UAVs, he said that the statistics were combined for Shaheds and Lancets for the total number of launched drones of 13,315, of which 8,836 were intercepted, or about 66% (the article says 63%, go figure). This is clearly very different from the UAV numbers cited above from the same article. What am I missing here?
So here it is, who knows how truthful. Quite a grim picture though compared to the usual “we got hem all, but many facilities have been hit nonetheless” type of thing.
Edit: Just saw a tab open while closing others: as opposed to all denials from the “western” governments (the only denials I read about myself were by the Americans and Germans), Podolyak claimed on August 15 that the Kursk operation was discussed with “western partners” and they new about the incursion.
Revealed: Ukraine’s plan to force Putin to retreat in shame
Exclusive: Ukraine’s top adviser to president Volodymyr Zelensky tells Tom Watling that Western partners knew about their incursion into the Russian Kursk region and details why Moscow must be bullied into a peace negotiation
www.independent.co.uk
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