The Russian-Ukrainian War Thread

KipPotapych

Well-Known Member
The Ukrainians are saying they are ready for the counteroffensive and something along the lines of “dropping an iron fist”, as per Reznikov. Sorry, no source link (think it is all over the news anyway?) and not really what I wanted to post, just thought I’d mention it.

What I wanted to post is that South Korea appears to be moving quickly towards (possibly) providing lethal aid to Ukraine directly. Here is a bit from an article posted on April 19, before the visit to the US (Reuters article):

[…]In an interview with Reuters ahead of his state visit to the U.S. next week, Yoon said his government has been exploring how to help defend and rebuild Ukraine, just as South Korea received international assistance during the 1950-53 Korean War.

"If there is a situation the international community cannot condone, such as any large-scale attack on civilians, massacre or serious violation of the laws of war, it might be difficult for us to insist only on humanitarian or financial support," Yoon said.

It was the first time that Seoul suggested a willingness to provide weapons to Ukraine, more than a year after ruling out the possibility of lethal aid.

A key U.S. ally and major producer of artillery ammunition, South Korea has so far tried to avoid antagonising Russia due to its companies operating there and Moscow's influence over North Korea, despite mounting pressure from western countries for weapons supply.

"I believe there won't be limitations to the extent of the support to defend and restore a country that's been illegally invaded both under international and domestic law," Yoon said. "However, considering our relationship with the parties engaged in the war and developments in the battlefield, we will take the most appropriate measures."[…]


Here is a bit from today’s article, during the visit to the US (Reuters article):

South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol said on Friday it was necessary to ensure Russia’s invasion of Ukraine does not succeed and that Seoul was considering its options when it came to lethal aid to Kyiv.

In a speech at Harvard University's Kennedy School on the fifth day of a state visit to mark the 70th anniversary of the U.S.-South Korean alliance, Yoon said the Russian invasion was a violation of international law and the rights of Ukrainians.

"We should prove that such attempts will never reach success, to block further attempts being made in the future," he said, according to simultaneous translations of his remarks.

Yoon was asked about the possibility of South Korea providing lethal aid to Ukraine, and replied:

"We are closely monitoring the situation that's going on the battlefield in Ukraine and will take proper measures in order to uphold the international norms and international law.

"Right now we are closely monitoring the situation and we are considering various options."[…]
 

Vivendi

Well-Known Member
I have also followed the news about South Korea it's interesting development and I hope they very soon make the right decision, it can have a significant impact given their very efficient defense industry (which is also quite compatible with NATO equipment). Long term, it can also pay off for South Korea to provide military assistance to Ukraine, and thereby indirectly support also Europe.

As for the Ukrainian counter offensive -- I am hoping for the best but I am concerned lack of ammo and some key capabilities will hamper their efforts. It's disappointing that Europe & the US have not been able to ramp up ammo production much sooner. They should have started the production ramp-up on year ago. I wonder what the military leaders in US/EU told the politicians in closed session one year ago...? I also wonder why the politicians chose the "wait and see" attitude for such a long time (because that's what it looks like to me).
 

vikingatespam

Well-Known Member
UKR counteroffensive: To make any progress in retaking territory, they are going to have to plow through RU prepared defenses, which will be difficult, notwithstanding the lack of artillery ammo or AFV. hope they can do it, but I fear that they will expended whatever reserves they have without benefit.
 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
UKR counteroffensive: To make any progress in retaking territory, they are going to have to plow through RU prepared defenses, which will be difficult, notwithstanding the lack of artillery ammo or AFV. hope they can do it, but I fear that they will expended whatever reserves they have without benefit.
I don't know how well prepared those defenses are. I've seen claims that they're far from impressive. Large and expansive but poorly constructed, and vulnerable. The other question is whether Russian can properly equip their forces. There are continuing rumors that some of the mobilized personnel lack vehicles and specialized equipment. Ex. sniper units without sniper rifles, anti-tank units without ATGMs. Infantry with only trucks to move them around. This matches well with the sight of ATS-59s and BTR-50s pulled from storage. I suspect that in some cases total stocks are an issue (such as ATGMs). In other cases the stocks are there but in poor condition (like the piles of BTR-70s in storage). Either way it remains to be seen whether Russian defense are as formidable as they appear. Personally I suspect the best tools Russia has for countering Ukraine's offensive is a continued SEAD/DEAD effort that would expand the ability of the VVS to strike Ukrainian troop concentrations from above. I can't help but wonder whether Russia has saved up a stockpile of loitering munitions and gliding bombs in preparation or whether they're expending all they get when they get it.
 

vikingatespam

Well-Known Member
I don't know how well prepared those defenses are. I've seen claims that they're far from impressive. Large and expansive but poorly constructed, and vulnerable. The other question is whether Russian can properly equip their forces. There are continuing rumors that some of the mobilized personnel lack vehicles and specialized equipment. Ex. sniper units without sniper rifles, anti-tank units without ATGMs. Infantry with only trucks to move them around. This matches well with the sight of ATS-59s and BTR-50s pulled from storage. I suspect that in some cases total stocks are an issue (such as ATGMs). In other cases the stocks are there but in poor condition (like the piles of BTR-70s in storage). Either way it remains to be seen whether Russian defense are as formidable as they appear. Personally I suspect the best tools Russia has for countering Ukraine's offensive is a continued SEAD/DEAD effort that would expand the ability of the VVS to strike Ukrainian troop concentrations from above. I can't help but wonder whether Russia has saved up a stockpile of loitering munitions and gliding bombs in preparation or whether they're expending all they get when they get it.
I would be delighted to see the UKR getting mobile behind the RU front lines and sweeping them out of UKR, but I have to temper my hopes with the realization that they havnt had the level of training and doctrine as NATO.

We cant count on the RU MOD being as congenitally stupid as they have been.
 

ngatimozart

Super Moderator
Staff member
Verified Defense Pro
It appears that Ukraine has attacked a Russian tank farm in Sevastopol. Depending on who's talking the damages is between 2 - 10 oil tanks destroyed. Ukraine Situation Report: Drone Strike Puts Russian Fuel Depot In Crimea Up In Smoke



An item on the Russian defences from the UK Forces News channel.

A Reuters in depth report on the Russian defensive lines in preparation for the upcoming Ukrainian offensive. It may help people understand the Russian defensive setup.


The latest ISW Update.


According to ISW, Prigozhin has threatened to withdraw Wagner forces from Bakhmut unless the military high command provide it with more ammo. Apparently he's still continuing his efforts to convince the Kremlin, a.ka., Putin, to go over to the defensive rather than continuing attempting offensive operations. His reasoning is that Russia needs to prepare for the upcoming Ukrainian offensive. He's also "... offered a position as First Deputy Commander of Wagner forces to former Russian Deputy Defense Minister for Logistics Colonel General Mikhail Mizintsev, who was reportedly dismissed from his position on April 27." If true, this would make sense unless he's being sarcastic.

From the ISW Update:
"Key Takeaways
  • Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin threatened to withdraw Wagner forces from Bakhmut if the Russian military command fails to provide more ammunition to Wagner mercenaries.
  • Prigozhin also continued his efforts to convince the Kremlin to go over to the defensive in eastern Ukraine.
  • Prigozhin offered the position of First Deputy Commander of Wagner forces, possibly sarcastically, to former Russian Deputy Defense Minister for Logistics Colonel General Mikhail Mizintsev who was reportedly dismissed from his position on April 27.
  • Ukrainian forces attacked an oil storage facility in Sevastopol reportedly with a wave of Mugin-5 UAVs on April 29.
  • Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks on the Svatove-Kreminna line.
  • Russian forces made limited gains in Bakhmut and continued ground attacks along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line.
  • The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that Russian forces conducted a sea-based missile strike against the command post of the Ukrainian Kherson Group of Forces. Ukrainian officials have so far not confirmed this claim.
  • The Russian MoD continues to pursue measures to expedite the conscription process and increase the difficulty of evading summonses.
  • Russian occupation authorities and border area officials have expanded security measures and filtration efforts likely in anticipation of increased Ukrainian partisan activity in support of a potential Ukrainian counteroffensive."
 

T.C.P

Well-Known Member

Decent summarry of Ukrainian SOviet AD systems and their usage rates and the levels of western AD required to replace them.
 

T.C.P

Well-Known Member

19 Tu-95s took off for another round of missile attacks, I think thi sis the 2nd+ week of contonuous strikes

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/13422ml
massive explosion, after an alleged attack on a rail station in Pavlograd. pro russian soures that they hit a large cachement of S-300 ammo to the front, but no verification on this bit yet.

More reports-


S-300s being used too apparently-


pro Ukr sources saying that the pavlograd explosions are old sovietrocket fuel storage going off-


we will know soon I guess.
 
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Vivendi

Well-Known Member

Decent summarry of Ukrainian SOviet AD systems and their usage rates and the levels of western AD required to replace them.
I did not find the following in his summary:
France/Italy is sending the very capable SAMP/T. Norway has also sent two NASAMS and I believe that's in addition to the 8 promised by the US(?). Slovakia have sent S-300 to Ukraine. Furthermore, I see no mention of the Crotale systems? There is also the Stormer HMV (which is not in the same class but nevertheless quite capable, IMO).

This is still not enough and hopefully more can be shipped soon. More SAMP/T and Patriot, and NASAMS/IRIS-T would be very helpful.

Ukrainian soldiers train in Italy to operate the SAMP/T air defense missile system | Defense News March 2023 Global Security army industry | Defense Security global news industry army year 2023 | Archive News year (armyrecognition.com)
Norway provides Ukraine with NASAMS ground-based air defence system - regjeringen.no
Slovakia Gives S-300 Air Defense System to Ukraine, PM Says (voanews.com)
French Crotale in Ukraine: first interception of a Russian missile (aircosmosinternational.com)
Stormer HVM Air-Defense Missile System | Military-Today.com
 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
I did not find the following in his summary:
France/Italy is sending the very capable SAMP/T. Norway has also sent two NASAMS and I believe that's in addition to the 8 promised by the US(?). Slovakia have sent S-300 to Ukraine. Furthermore, I see no mention of the Crotale systems? There is also the Stormer HMV (which is not in the same class but nevertheless quite capable, IMO).

This is still not enough and hopefully more can be shipped soon. More SAMP/T and Patriot, and NASAMS/IRIS-T would be very helpful.

Ukrainian soldiers train in Italy to operate the SAMP/T air defense missile system | Defense News March 2023 Global Security army industry | Defense Security global news industry army year 2023 | Archive News year (armyrecognition.com)
Norway provides Ukraine with NASAMS ground-based air defence system - regjeringen.no
Slovakia Gives S-300 Air Defense System to Ukraine, PM Says (voanews.com)
French Crotale in Ukraine: first interception of a Russian missile (aircosmosinternational.com)
Stormer HVM Air-Defense Missile System | Military-Today.com
Much seems to be missing from that discussion. For example, it's highly likely Jordanian Osa and Strela-10s are making their way into Ukraine. We've seen Finland donate some stuff, what about their Buks? Are they in play? I suspect so. The discussion does seem to leave SHORAD out of it, so that's probably why it doesn't discuss the Stormer, Avenger, or the buckest of AAA Ukraine has received (far too many to track when you consider things like the ancient Bofors or the Zu-23-2s). But I think this is a mistake. One of the biggest reasons Ukraine needs beefed up air defenses is to counter Russian long range strikes, and against Shaheds a AAA might be just as good as a Patriot. Ok maybe not just as good but clearly useful. And if you can save expensive SAMs by deploying a dense grid of AAA SHORAD it could save some of those expensive missiles for the fight against Russian jets.
 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
pro Ukr sources saying that the pavlograd explosions are old sovietrocket fuel storage going off-


we will know soon I guess.
There seems to be disagreement about whether Russia hit the rail yard or the chemical plant. Of course Ukraine could have been storing munitions at the chemical plant too, industrial objects of all kinds have been used for military purposes in this war. It's also possible they hit both.

 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Update. Mar.17th-18th

The West.

Explosions in L'vov region, part of the recent wave of strikes.


Zaporozhye-Dnepropetrovsk.

Allegedly an M777 getting hit by a Kub loitering munition, Zaporozhye area. Note the parked truck next to it. While we can't be certain what type of artillery piece got hit it seems pretty likely some sort of artillery position is getting hit.


Two Russian Tor-M2s getting hit by Ukrainian Ram II loitering munitions, Zaporozhye area. Note the video is uploaded not by Ukraine's armed forces but by the SBU Alpha Team.


Russian has struck Novomoskovsk, Dnepropetrovsk region. Allegedly a fuel storage facility got hit. The explosion and accompanying fires are quite significant.


The suspected target of the strike above.


Russian strike hit a luxury housing complex in Zaporozhye, allegedly being used to house foreign legion fighters.


Russian Giatsint-B and 2S1 operations on the Zaporozhye axis.


The North.

Air defense going off over Kiev.


Oskol Front.

Assorted footage of Russian VDV on the Krasniy Liman axis. Note the relatively scarce BMD-4Ms.

 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
LDNR Front.

Apparently a destroyed Ukrainian T-64BV, allegedly Belogorovka.


Allegedly a Wagner forces 82mm mortar team getting taken out. Artemovsk/Bakhmut.


Wagner UAV footage of a Russian T-80BV shooting up a Ukrainian trench line point-blank. The footage raises many questions. While the infantry in the trenches are pretty well suppressed, where is the assault element intended to overrun the trenches? It's a lone tank, why are there no RPG rocket-men trying to engage?


Ukrainian 24th Mech Bde Grad firing leaflets near Artemovsk/Bakhmut.


Wreckage of allegedly a Ukrainian Su-24 downed near Artemovsk/Bakhmut. Note, both sides have lost jets of the type in the area.


Assorted footage of Wagner forces in Artemovsk/Bakhmut.


Ukrainian SOF near Artemovsk/Bakhmut.


Ukrainian BMP-3 near Chasov Yar.


More footage of the roads into Artemovsk/Bakhmut littered with destroyed Ukrainian supply vehicles. The driver comments that some of the vehicles weren't there yesterday.


A destroyed residential building from a recent Russian strike in Avdeevka.


Ukrainian RM-70 MLRS getting hit by a loitering munition near Avdeevka.


Russian airstrikes in Avdeevka continue.


Ukrainian MOWAG Eagle I in Avdeevka.


58th SpN btln (former DNR 3rd SpN) ATGM strikes against allegedly two Ukrainian BMP-2s near Pervomayskoe.


Russian artillery strikes in Mar'inka.


A mess of 155th Marines GoPro helmet cam footage from the Ugledar area. Note the clips are from a span of time, starting with the fighting at Pavlovka and ending with the move into Ugledar.


Footage from allegedly overrun Ukrainian trenches near Ugledar, taken by Russian East MD Motor-Rifles. Note East MD units, namely the 36th and 37th MRBde, and 5th Tanks have taken staggering casualties in the area. Also nearly every treeline around Ugledar is a Ukrainian strong point, meaning many such locations must be taken to advance on the town. Warning footage of corpses.


Close-up footage of the Russian Mi-35M that made a forced landing near Ugledar and was finished off by Ukrainian artillery.


A destroyed Titan-S armored car, somewhere in Donetsk region.


Wagner Chekan armored truck in Stakhanov, LNR area.


Large Ukrainian troop column near Konstantinovka.


Ukrainian M113 getting refueled in Konstantinovka, from the back of an SUV with a cistern in the back.


Battle damage to a private house in Khartzyzk, DNR area, after a Ukrainian strike.


Russian MLRS strike hit Kramatorsk, target is unclear.


Russian MLRS strike hitting a neighborhood in Konstantinovka.


Russia.

Russian Center MD troops (likely 90th Tanks) training on T-90Ms on how to defeat M1s and Leo-2s. Note the second link appears to be better footage of the same T-90M in training but the description claims this is inside Ukraine.


Some footage from an FPV drone testing ground in Stavropol'ye, Russia. Reportedly production (likely assembly) of FPV drones recently began in the region.


Misc.

Russian forces allegedly using a 2A42 autocannon against Ukrainian sniper positions. Location unclear.


Russian cruise missile strike at low altitude, location and context unclear.


Russian VDV in action, using the Tayfun-VDV, an MRAP 4X4 with a 30mm autocannon as effectively an IFV. Location unclear.


Russian FPV drone strike against allegedly Ukrainian positions.


Ukrainian 2S7 firing, with a French GBC 180 truck supplying ammo.


Ukrainian Humvee hit by a Russian ATGM, allegedly all occupants survived.


A destroyed Ukrainian 2S1 somewhere in Ukraine. Location and context unclear.


Ukrainian infantry MG-42 squad (assuming squad, 2 machineguns) with piles of spent casings below. Note it's not a very well set up position with spare ammo cans set up above the trench line next to the fighting position, and the piles of dirt used to build the parapet not concealed in any way. Of course it could be a hastily built position.


A large column of western-supplied vehicles in Ukraine. We have Husky TSVs, Wolfhounds, Humvees, Oshkosh trucks, and a lonely UAZ accompanying it.


Avenger SAMs in Ukraine.


Russian Z-STS MRAP somewhere in Ukraine. Note the type entered service during the current war as part of the mobilization effort where it serves as a de-facto APC replacement.


NATO/EU.


Slovakia is reportedly handing over 13 MiG-29s and a few Kub SAMs to Ukraine. Note the Kub is compatible with the Buk, making it easy to integrate into existing units.


Ukrainian tankers training on Challengers.


Canadian Bergenpanzer-3 getting shipped to Ukraine.

 

ngatimozart

Super Moderator
Staff member
Verified Defense Pro
Russia has launched another predawn missile strike against Ukrainian targets.

"A logistics hub in Pavlohrad, near the central city of Dnipro, was hit ahead of a much-anticipated counter-offensive by Ukraine. The strike sparked a major fire, destroyed dozens of houses, and wounded 34 people. Hours later, the air raid alert sounded across the country, with the capital Kyiv among the targets. Across the country, the Ukrainian army said it shot down 15 of the 18 cruise missiles that had been fired. The most significant damage was in Pavlohrad, a city in Ukrainian-held territory around 70 miles (110km) from the frontline. Pictures posted on social media showed a massive blaze. Ukraine's Dnipropetrovsk military administration described it as a "tragic night and morning", saying an industrial site had been hit. Nineteen high-rise apartment blocks, 25 private houses, six schools and kindergartens and five shops were also damaged, it added."

 

ngatimozart

Super Moderator
Staff member
Verified Defense Pro
Russian T55 & T62 tanks have been spotted in Ukraine


Berdyansk UKR.png
Source: Google Maps.

Low level UKT helo ops


Latest map of Bakhmut situation.
1682937023287.png


Latest Russo - Ukraine situation map.
1682937121437.png
Source:
Open source radio monitoring detect Russian air strike preparations.


An air cooled M1910/30 Maxim gun in Ukraine.

https://twitter.com/CalibreObscura/status/1652398804631429121

UKR loitering munition strike on Russian troops. Apparently it's a recent UKR modification.

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1652864147036463104
 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
There seems to be disagreement about whether Russia hit the rail yard or the chemical plant. Of course Ukraine could have been storing munitions at the chemical plant too, industrial objects of all kinds have been used for military purposes in this war. It's also possible they hit both.

To close this out, it appears Russia did in fact hit the chemical plant, and if the MoD statement is correct, it was the intended target. The plant produced missile fuel in Soviet days for ICBMs, in modern day Ukraine for Grom and Ol'kha (Smerch) missiles. It's unclear whether the plant was still involved in production but if it was, it likely wasn't producing much. Grom missiles didn't really exist pre-war. There's some information to suggest they've been finished and some are being used but we're talking about small number. Ol'kha missiles were in production pre-war but in small quantities and as they're BM-30 variants, their usefulness is directly related to how many BM-30s Ukraine has.

 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Update. Mar. 19th-21st

Kherson-Nikolaev-Zaporozhye.

Russia struck the village of Otradokamenka on the right shore of the Dnepr, Kherson region. Reportedly the hangars they struck contained Ukrainian troops, munitions, and vehicles. There are reports of gliding bombs being used.


Allegedly a Ukrainian SP artillery getting hit in Zelenovka village, Kherson region.


Russia allegedly struck the Shkolniy military airfield near Odessa.


Zaporozhye-Dnepropetrovsk.

Russian loitering munition striking allegedly Ukrainian M109A3GN, Zaporozhye region.


Russian ATGM strike against a Ukrainian truck, and a Russian artillery strike in Zaporozhye hitting alleged Ukrainian positions. Note we don't have a definite location for the first video.


Russian airstrikes against Vremevskoe, Zaporozhye region.


Ukrainian MBT getting hit by a loitering munition, Zaporozhye region.


A destroyed Ukrainian BMP-2, Zaporozhye area.


The Oskol Front.

A loitering munition strike against allegedly a Ukrainian D-20. Lugansk region.


A destroyed Ukrainian PRP-BMD-2 hybrid near Svatovo-Kremennaya. Note these vehicles are relatively recent arrivals.


LDNR Front.

Russian loitering munition strike against a Ukrainian D-20 or -30 position near Artemovsk/Bakhmut. You can see the gun-crew fleeing as the munition is incoming.


Wagner forces Nona-S fires, Artemovsk/Bakhmut.


A Ukrainian T-64BV column heading to Artemovsk/Bakhmut from Chasov Yar.


A Javelin missile fell on the streets of Avdeevka. Context unclear.


Russian forces near Vodyanoe getting hit. Note, the terrain here is disadvantageous to Russian attacks, Vodyanoe being in a depression near the river and Avdeevka being all up-hill from them.


Russian Shturm-S fires south of Donetsk.


Something was shot down over Donetsk. The people filming comment on seeing a parachute, but I can't make it out.


Russian National Guard exercises near Mariupol'. Note they're riding BMP-2s, and T-80BVMs. They've got SPGs, Metis ATGMs, and mortars for crew-served weapons. They look less like troops of the interior and more like regular motor-rifles. Although we do see a semi-MRAP Ural-VV.


Russia.


A rail station near Dzhankoy, Crimea, was struck. Allegedly the target was a Russian train carrying Kalibr missiles, but it appears instead a local store was hit. 1 civilian is reported wounded.


Misc.

Russian loitering munition drop on Ukrainian infantry in the open. Warning graphic footage.


Ukrainian Stormer SAM getting hit by a loitering munition. Note it appears to be a near-miss, but the crew was outside and likely was injured.


Ukrainian YPR-765 getting hit by a Russian ATGM strike. Note it appears to be part of an element that's unloading infantry. We don't know where this is or what happened to this element.


Russian artillery hitting Ukrainian infantry in the village of Berestovoe. Note we don't know if it's the Berestovoe near Seversk or the one near Kupyansk.


Russian VDV has apparently taken a Ukrainian position by assault. We see a destroyed MBT and some fires. Based on the kitted-out rifle, I suspect we're looking at recon or SpN. Location unclear.


Ukrainian SAM launch against a Russian Orlan-10. The missile apparently fails to engage the target.


French Crotale SAM ops in Ukraine, it appears the second missile intercept the target. Location and context unclear.


A Russian Ka-52 was downed. Note the pilots catapulted out but their fate is unclear as is the location.


Ukrainian Humvee TOW-2 (B?) launch, unclear if training or combat.


Russian repair unit up-armoring BMP-3s with factory extra-armor kits. About a year too late in my opinion but it's certainly a step in the right direction.


Russian volunteer recon-assault brigade named after Aleksandr Nevsky has taken delivery of 12 armored Kamaz trucks to serve as artillery towing vehicles.


An antiquated Russian ZiL guntruck with an S-60. That "crocodile" nose on the truck, takes me back to my childhood.


Russian forces deploying a Paltus trench EW kit for anti-UAV defense. Location unclear.


Ukrainian Su-24 with a Kh-25 missile under wing.


NATO/EU.

Ukrainian forces training on Humvees, MaxxPros, M113s and Bradleys in Germany.


Marders heading to Ukraine.


Ukrainian service members training on Leo-2A4s in Spain.


Northern Macedonia confirms the handover of 4 Su-25s to Ukraine.


Norway confirms the handover of 8 Leo-2A4s, 4 ARVs, and one counter-battery radar.

 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member

Well seems some terrain is more suitable for simple rugged Lada Niva quality then G Klasse ones.
This seems to be why Ukraine hasn't begun their offensive yet. Russia has a breather and it's very obvious at least from all the information I've seen, that Ukraine has two main groupings, one near Artemovsk/Bakhmut, the other in Zaporozhye. If Russian command is asleep at the wheel, they're in trouble.
 
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