The Russian-Ukrainian War Thread

T.C.P

Well-Known Member
This article from Popular Mechanics citing the leaked documents stating that Russia's use of electronic warfare has been effective in blocking the signals of many of the G.P.S guided ordinance , even in some circumstances HIMARS, something for other nations to consider in considering these weapons
Why Ukraine’s GPS-Guided Bombs Keep Missing Their Targets (popularmechanics.com)
NATO's wins in this war is just endless. You cannot out any monetary figure on the value of the information they are getting out of this war. I expect every single Western designer/manufactueer of smart munitions to absorb all this info and come out with better products.
 
The supposedly first confirmed operational use of Switchblade 600 loitering munitions in Ukraine. It will be interesting to see if there weapons can live up to their hype and can be supplied in large enough quantities to affect this conflict. Although I am not certain about the veracity of Yahoo news, the provided information does appear to match the facts.

 

ngatimozart

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He has the largest nuclear weapons stock in the world. If that is not large, than I don’t know what you would consider as being large.

Except for that, I actually agree with your post.
I was talking about Xi Jinping. IIRC the PRC has 344 nuclear warheads.
 

ngatimozart

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It appears that the Russians maybe trialling schurzen sheet protection as the Wehrmacht used on its Panzer 4s and some SPGs during WW2. The tank in question is a Russian T-80BV.


Video of the Russian Su-34 accidental bombing of Belograd. Definitely was a delayed action bomb.


Russian tank being destroyed by Ukrainians. Looks like it might be another entry in the flying turret competition.


A nasty little Ukrainian trick.

 

ngatimozart

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Updates from Ukraine.


DW item on MIG-29 deliveries to Ukraine.

Discussion on Putin's alleged visit to the frontline. Probability was a body double.
 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
The supposedly first confirmed operational use of Switchblade 600 loitering munitions in Ukraine. It will be interesting to see if there weapons can live up to their hype and can be supplied in large enough quantities to affect this conflict. Although I am not certain about the veracity of Yahoo news, the provided information does appear to match the facts.

It's probably not the first confirmed use. Buried in the footage I haven't gotten to is allegedly a SB600 strike against a Russian Tor-2MDT. As to affecting the conflict, I suspect it depends on how it's used as much as quantities. Russia has relatively modest quantities of Lancet loitering munitions but by predominantly using them for counter-battery strikes, they've managed to overcome the poor performance in counter-battery fires of Russian artillery.
 

Feanor

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Staff member
Update. Mar. 9th-10th

Kherson-Nikolaev-Odessa.

A Ukrainian probing attack across the Dnepr took place in Novaya Kahovka. It isn't the first but one of the largest.


Russian quadcopter munition drops in Kherson region.


Ukrainian MiG-29 over Kherson.


Zaporozhye-Dnepropetrovsk.


Fires burn after Russian strikes in Zaporozhye.


The West.

L'vov region, allegedly a failed Ukrainian S-300 launch damaged local buildings.


The North.

TES-5 burns in Kiev after recent strikes.


Shahed fragments, Sumy region.


Oskol Front.

Russian strike against Ukrainian infantry in the woods near Kremennaya. Allegedly 4 casualties.


Russian BMPT fires, the woods near Kremennaya.


LDNR Front.

Tank fires in Artemovsk/Bakhmut.


Ukrainian 67th Mech Bde using M119 105mm howitzers near Artemovsk/Bakhmut.


Ukrainian forces have set up a bridge over a destroyed bridge near Artemovsk/Bakhmut. Reportedly initially the bridge was mined but the explosives were set off by Russian shelling.


A building allegedly being used as a Ukrainian staging area burns after getting hit, Artemovsk/Bakhmut.


The MiG monument on the south-western outskirts of Artemovsk/Bakhmut has been destroyed.


Ukrainian M113 destroyed near Artemovsk/Bakhmut.


Knocked out and captured Ukrainian T-64B and T-72AV in Zabakhmutka area of Artemovsk/Bakhmut.


The longer video where the the destroyed M113 and two knocked out tanks were spotted.


Confirmation has emerged of two more Ukrainian Su-24 pilots KIA near Artemovsk/Bakhmut, supporting earlier information that a Ukrainian Su-24 was downed in the area.


More satellite footage of the destruction of Artemovsk/Bakhmut.


A destroyed BTR-4 near Artemovsk/Bakhmut. This is the second such vehicle destroyed in the fighting to keep the supply routes open.


More footage (2 separate videos) of the roads in and out of Artemovsk/Bakhmut. Destroyed vehicles litter the roadsides.


Russian MLRS fires near Krasnogorovka, north of Avdeevka. This is the northern pincer attempting to close the pocket around Avdeevka.


Russian airstrikes in Avdeevka continue. These are allegedly against a Ukrainian staging area.


Somali btln, quadcopter munition drops. This is likely Peski-Vodyanoe-Pervomayskoe area.


Russian Msta-S near Donetsk.


Russian BTR-82A fires, Mar'inka.


DNR Ministry of Interior Kaskad btln destroys a Ukrainian pickup truck. Note, Kaskad is in action near Ugledar together with Russian marines.


155th MarBde sniper fires near Ugledar.


An upgraded Ukrainian T-64BVK somewhere in Donetsk region.


Russian jets, including a pair of Su-25s at low altitude, Donetsk region. Russian airforce activity has increased in the area, likely part of the strikes against Avdeevka.


Russian missile strike landing in Slavyansk. The target was a local factory. Note, industrial areas are often used as staging areas for military vehicles, or improvised maintenance/repair facilities.


Russia also struck Konstantinovka, allegedly Ukrainian munition storage.


Russia.

Repairs on the Crimean bridge near completion as the rail sections begin mounting.


A photo recently published by Ukrainian sources of Ukrainian infiltrators in the village of Plekhovo, Russia, turns out to be fake. The real sign into the village looks differently.


Russia is building defensive positions in Belgorod region. They sure look nice, but I have some questions.


Misc.

Ukrainian loitering munitions against a Russian TOR and S-300V (4?). These are probably Switchblade 600 munitions, the interface looks similar to the SB-300, but these SAMs are likely to be further from the front line and out of range of the smaller munition.


Ukrainian L119 position getting hit. The ammo starts to cook off.


2 destroyed Ukrainian Kozak-2 armored cars. Allegedly ATGM strikes. Warning footage of corpses.


Ukrainian Panzermoser in action, location and context unclear.


Ukrainian soldier posing with an LAV ACSV Super Bison, location and context unclear. This is only the second sighting of the type, suggesting they are not on the front lines.


Fresh T-72EAs in Ukrainian service.


Ukrainian infantry, 28th Bde, with Martlet MANPADS.


Ukrainian M113AS4. Note we've seen these used as transports.


Russian irregulars in Ukraine, allegedly a recon element.


Russian Mi-9AMTSh somewhere in Ukraine.


NATO/EU.

Poland has begun setting up road barriers next to Belarus.


Poland and Slovakia are going to hand over their MiG-29s to Ukraine. Of course the real question isn't jets but pilots.


Swedish RBS-70s in Ukrainian service. I think this is our first sighting.


Italian M109L howitzers in Ukraine. Note these deliveries haven't been announced.


Ukrainian FPV drone operators training in the UK.


More footage of Ukrainian forces training on Bradleys.

 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
It appears Wagner forces have cut the road out of Khromovo west-ward. This doesn't shut off the smaller road out of Khromovo to Ivanovskoe but reduces one more supply line. And the more traffic is forced into a single road, the easier it becomes to spot and hit. Though the hold looks pretty tenuous and presumably a timely counter-attack can change this.

 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Update. Mar. 11th-12th

The West.

Ukraine has begun digging trenches near the Moldovan border, presumably near Transnestria.


Zaporozhye-Dnepropetrovsk.

Airstrikes against Malinovka continue.


Russian Tornado-G operations, Zaporozhye area.


Oskol Front.

Russian artillery fires near Kupyansk. Allegedly hitting a Ukrainian staging area.


Russian tank fires against Ukrainian infantry near Svatovo.


Russian Msta-S fires, Svatovo-Kremennaya area.


Russian VDV assault teams near Svatovo rolling up to the forest line.


A Russian Duma deputy from Rostov visits the front line near Svatovo-Kremennaya, and reports shortages of artillery shells.


LDNR Front.

Apparently Ukrainian infantry near Seversk getting hit.


A Croatian RBG-6 grenade launcher captured near Soledar by Wagner fighters.


Ukrainian FV103 Spartan near Artemovsk/Bakhmut.


Ukrainian defensive positions inside Artemovsk/Bakhmut.


Ukrainian soldier from the 24th Mech Bde with a RP-64 near New York (Novgorodskoe) half-way between Artemovsk/Bakhmut and Avdeevka.


Sparta btln quadcopter munition drops. This btln is on the front line in the Peski area.


Russian Ka-52, Mi-28N, and Mi-8 variant over Donetsk.


Russian TOS-1 fires in Mar'inka.


Apparently a Ukrainian MBT getting hit by an ATGM launch near Ugledar.


Ground view footage of Russian incendiary munitions falling on Ugledar.


Russian 155th MarBde snipers in Ugledar.


Reportedly the recent strikes against Konstantinovka hit munition storage.


Shelling of Donetsk continues.


An explosion in Mariupol', context unknown. Note the city is well away from the front line.


DNR repair unit at work.


Russia.

A look at the 103rd Armored Repair Plant. The factory has gotten quite a bit of extra media attention. Here we can see their T-62M mod'22 with thermals and K-1. They're also working on T-62MVs (presumably also mod'22), BRDM-2MS and BMP-2s. Note, no BRDM-2MS have shown up on the front line yet. Overall the BRDM-2MS is a questionable choice, but presumably the production line is available and plenty of BRDM-2 hulls are in storage.


Misc.

Ukrainian Stormer SAM getting hit by a Lancet-3 loitering munition.


Ukrainian soldier gets shot in the head while setting up his position.


Allegedly Ukrainian forces rotating personnel on an LP/OP, getting hit.


Ukrainian MaxxPro destroyed. Location and context unclear. I think we've seen this vehicle before.


A destroyed Ukrainian UAV, type unknown.


Russia snipers show off their weapons including a captured M82 Barrett.


Ukrainian soldiers training with M-55S.


Ukrainian anti-UAV technical, location and context unclear.

 

seaspear

Well-Known Member
A interesting article from the Chinese ambassador to France stating that former soviet countries had not international accord to concretise their status as sovereign countries, and there was no legal standpoint for their sovereignty, perhaps in some way China may use this argument to justify its own actions.
Considering the recent visit by President Macron to China ,and previously China had stated that Ukraine was a sovereign country ,it sends mixed messages and not of a country trying to present as neutral
 

swerve

Super Moderator
A interesting article from the Chinese ambassador to France stating that former soviet countries had not international accord to concretise their status as sovereign countries, and there was no legal standpoint for their sovereignty, perhaps in some way China may use this argument to justify its own actions.
Considering the recent visit by President Macron to China ,and previously China had stated that Ukraine was a sovereign country ,it sends mixed messages and not of a country trying to present as neutral
The problem with this is that China recognised their sovereignty. He's saying that China's recognition of independence, or a country's borders, has no legal status. I don't think he or his masters have thought this through.

And, of course, it's bollocks. They're members of the EU, NATO & the UN, among other things. There are international accords galore about their status as sovereign countries.
 

ngatimozart

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Staff member
Verified Defense Pro
It appears that Ukraine has established positions on the eastern bank of the Dnipro River north of Oleshky (7km southwest of Kherson City) and west of Dachi (10km south of Kherson City). It appears that Putin is doing a Hitler and insisting on offensive operations rather than preparing defensive positions for the upcoming Ukrainian offensive. Russian forces appear to have made minor gains in Bakhmut but I am wondering if the Ukrainians dogged resistance here is now designed to fix Russian forces in place when they launch their upcoming offensive. It would make sense because 20 - 30,000 Russian troops tied down at Bakhmut can't be used elsewhere. Putin's made it a political imperative to fully invest both the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts and that may turn out to be an anvil around his neck. Time will tell.

 

Feanor

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Staff member
It appears that Ukraine has established positions on the eastern bank of the Dnipro River north of Oleshky (7km southwest of Kherson City) and west of Dachi (10km south of Kherson City). It appears that Putin is doing a Hitler and insisting on offensive operations rather than preparing defensive positions for the upcoming Ukrainian offensive. Russian forces appear to have made minor gains in Bakhmut but I am wondering if the Ukrainians dogged resistance here is now designed to fix Russian forces in place when they launch their upcoming offensive. It would make sense because 20 - 30,000 Russian troops tied down at Bakhmut can't be used elsewhere. Putin's made it a political imperative to fully invest both the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts and that may turn out to be an anvil around his neck. Time will tell.

Russian sources are denying this, and evidence isn't forthcoming. I think we'll have to wait and see. Whether or not they have a foothold, it seems unlikely they can hold it, and unlikely they will stop launching probing attacks across the river. Fixing Russian forces is likely the intent.
 

ngatimozart

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Verified Defense Pro
Russian sources are denying this, and evidence isn't forthcoming. I think we'll have to wait and see. Whether or not they have a foothold, it seems unlikely they can hold it, and unlikely they will stop launching probing attacks across the river. Fixing Russian forces is likely the intent.
The ISW are quoting Russian sources about the Ukrainian movements in the Kherson region, and the imagery was geolocated. The Ukrainian OPSEC is really good, so we won't know what their intentions are until they launch their offensive. Personally I wouldn't be surprised if they make a run from Kherson to say Mariupol in an attempt to cut the Russian supply lines to Crimea etc. If they successfully manage that, hold it, destroy the bridge between Crimea and the Russian mainland, the Russian forces in Crimea will be in a power of trouble.
 

seaspear

Well-Known Member
From some of the blogs it appears they have established a foothold on some of the islands from various watercraft , as there is not any bridges for them to exploit and that Russian forces still have air superiority ,they may be limited to guerilla tactics to distract Russian forces from further
 

KipPotapych

Well-Known Member
Even “established a foothold” is quite a statement in this case, in my opinion. ISW also mentioned that they established supply lines to those “footholds”, according to the same sources. At the very least, the latter part has to be rubbish. It doesn’t take much to look at what the location of those “footholds” actually is. Some “dachas” directly on the left shore aside, the whole area is literally swamps that have little to none potential beyond “probing attacks” and “guerrilla tactics”, if that. But it does provide some sort of development and “good vibes” - that is, reason to speculate - for the readers. Especially because recently, most of everything else regarding the counteroffensive has been quite… I don’t want to call it negative, but it doesn’t look like any of the western leaders and intelligence communities (and it appears many analysts agree) expect any significant breakthroughs or gains by the Ukrainian forces. We shall see.



 

vikingatespam

Well-Known Member
The ISW are quoting Russian sources about the Ukrainian movements in the Kherson region, and the imagery was geolocated. The Ukrainian OPSEC is really good, so we won't know what their intentions are until they launch their offensive. Personally I wouldn't be surprised if they make a run from Kherson to say Mariupol in an attempt to cut the Russian supply lines to Crimea etc. If they successfully manage that, hold it, destroy the bridge between Crimea and the Russian mainland, the Russian forces in Crimea will be in a power of trouble.
I suspect they would have a hard time doing a mad dash to Mariupol with no vehicles. With no permanent bridges over the Dnepr (whats the status of the dam), you will have a problem with supply and heavy equipment. Unless the RU have completely denuded the area (they cant be THAT stupid) all this is, is a series of raid and pin-pricks to keep the RU occupied.
 
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