ADF General discussion thread

alexsa

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What about China’s SSNs, super carriers, H-20 bombers, hypersonic missiles and militarisation of the South China Sea? Should that not be a bigger cause of concern for the region?
Sorry to late in adding my 2 cents worth on this. The talk of SSNs already has Indonesia on edge. They are happy for the US and UK to deploy into the area with theirs but having a neighbour with such a capability upsets the balance in their view. An asset such as the B21 would really create a stir.

The fact is that Australia could buy a LOT of capability for the price of the B21 including long range missiles.
 
Hi all

I was just reading an article in defence connect, about the mobilisation of the external military workforce in the event of a large scale conflict.


This got me thinking about how a broad general mobilisation of the ADF would occur and what shape it would take. The example used in the article was a WW2 style conflict in modern times.

I think the days of drafting mass amounts of infantry and giving them a gun, are largely gone to a broad extent. The society of today is a lot different to WW2 also, as I think we have lost a built in hardness and practicality that we once had.

I’m sure the government has plans in drawer somewhere relating to this, but I guess interested to get everyone’s thoughts. We tend talk about platforms and weapons systems but I guess I’m thinking along the line of people, structure and size.

Its such a large subject but I think it warrants some discussion.

Cheers
 

ngatimozart

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Staff member
Verified Defense Pro
Hi all

I was just reading an article in defence connect, about the mobilisation of the external military workforce in the event of a large scale conflict.


This got me thinking about how a broad general mobilisation of the ADF would occur and what shape it would take. The example used in the article was a WW2 style conflict in modern times.

I think the days of drafting mass amounts of infantry and giving them a gun, are largely gone to a broad extent. The society of today is a lot different to WW2 also, as I think we have lost a built in hardness and practicality that we once had.

I’m sure the government has plans in drawer somewhere relating to this, but I guess interested to get everyone’s thoughts. We tend talk about platforms and weapons systems but I guess I’m thinking along the line of people, structure and size.

Its such a large subject but I think it warrants some discussion.

Cheers
First of all we have to look at what's happening in Ukraine and the learnings that are coming out of there. One thing is absolutely obvious and that is despite all the technology, you still need the individual infantryman with their rifle, bayonet and boots to both take and hold possession of any piece of dirt. No fancy UAV, UGV, or vehicle is going to do that. Tanks and other armoured cannot operate without infantry support. The Russo - Ukrainian War experience has reinforced that lesson harshly, in the case of the Russians. So just based on that I disagree with your assertion that the conscription of massive amounts of infantry is a thing of the past.

I do strongly agree that the CoA has to have a comprehensive plan in place for when it has to mobilise Australia on to a war footing both WRT the economy and allocation of personnel. During WW2 NZ had the 2nd NZ Armoured Division in North Africa and later Italy and as well as a large contingent of men with both the RAF and RN. When the Japanese entered the war the 3rd NZ Division was raised and went into action IIRC 1944 in the Solomon Islands and PNG offshore islands against the Japanese. However it had to be recalled back to NZ because of the manpower shortage here to undertake agricultural work, industry etc. NZ was also responsible for supplying rations, grenades, repaired vehicles etc., to the US Army in the South Pacific.

Considering that modern platforms, weapons etc., are far more technically complex than those 80 years ago serious thought must be given to ensuring that the ADF has the required national technical and logistical mass behind it in Australia. If it doesn't it and Australia will be in serious trouble, and could end up having to field these.

Modular musket.jpg
Cappy's Modular Musket. Task & Purpose.
 

Rob c

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Verified Defense Pro
I do strongly agree that the CoA has to have a comprehensive plan in place for when it has to mobilise Australia on to a war footing both WRT the economy and allocation of personnel. During WW2 NZ had the 2nd NZ Armoured Division in North Africa and later Italy and as well as a large contingent of men with both the RAF and RN.
Just a minor correction Ngati. The Second division was an infantry Division when it was in North Africa and remained so for the rest of the war though it did have light tanks and later armored cars later for reconnaissance purposes. However a armored brigade was formed prior to them going to Italy from the 4th brigade (from memory) and a new infantry brigade, to replace the 4th was formed from reinforcements from NZ. This brought the total NZ army fighting strength in Italy to 27000, which was then termed the NZ corps, though to make it up to a full Corps other outside units were attached and Freyberg was promoted to Lieutenant General to command the corps and Major general Inglis initially to over command of the 2nd infantry division.
 
First of all we have to look at what's happening in Ukraine and the learnings that are coming out of there. One thing is absolutely obvious and that is despite all the technology, you still need the individual infantryman with their rifle, bayonet and boots to both take and hold possession of any piece of dirt. No fancy UAV, UGV, or vehicle is going to do that. Tanks and other armoured cannot operate without infantry support. The Russo - Ukrainian War experience has reinforced that lesson harshly, in the case of the Russians. So just based on that I disagree with your assertion that the conscription of massive amounts of infantry is a thing of the past.

I do strongly agree that the CoA has to have a comprehensive plan in place for when it has to mobilise Australia on to a war footing both WRT the economy and allocation of personnel. During WW2 NZ had the 2nd NZ Armoured Division in North Africa and later Italy and as well as a large contingent of men with both the RAF and RN. When the Japanese entered the war the 3rd NZ Division was raised and went into action IIRC 1944 in the Solomon Islands and PNG offshore islands against the Japanese. However it had to be recalled back to NZ because of the manpower shortage here to undertake agricultural work, industry etc. NZ was also responsible for supplying rations, grenades, repaired vehicles etc., to the US Army in the South Pacific.

Considering that modern platforms, weapons etc., are far more technically complex than those 80 years ago serious thought must be given to ensuring that the ADF has the required national technical and logistical mass behind it in Australia. If it doesn't it and Australia will be in serious trouble, and could end up having to field these.

View attachment 49693
Cappy's Modular Musket. Task & Purpose.
Thanks for your detailed reply Ngati. I do agree that mass infantry conscription will be required, but I essentially was meaning all the other broader fields you touched on in the second part of your post.

Just having infantry without all the other components, will just be slaughter. Thought needs to be put into everything else that makes a modern fighting force.

It’s a big issue, I just hope there has been more thought around the problem by the government and ADF. Ukraine’s solution, has effectively been put an assault rifle in everyone’s hands. This has not really worked, without the massive logistical support by most of the world. If the poo hits the fan we likely cannot rely on such support, due to location and scope of potential conflict.

Anyways I just hope that we don’t get stuck within a “yes minister” episode type of scenario.
Either way the whole situation scares the shit out of me TBH.

Cheers
 

Morgo

Well-Known Member
The society of today is a lot different to WW2 also, as I think we have lost a built in hardness and practicality that we once had.
I think this is a relevant point, and something I’ve given some thought to.

I reckon what you are suggesting is right in relative terms - the average Australian is less used to physical labour and deprivation - but I think in absolute terms we have no shortage of physically and mentally tough individuals in the community. Just look at combat sports - we have 700,000 registered rugby league players and 250,000 martial artists. We also have God knows how many triathletes, marathon runners and crossfit devotees. All of these pursuits require relatively high degrees of toughness. I don’t think we have a shortage of tough individuals (albeit they are a smaller proportion of the overall population).

I am less worried again about practicality. We have one of the most highly educated, highly skilled workforces in the world. While we have a lot of people in make work office jobs, I have no doubt there are plenty of supply chain consultants who would make first rate quartermasters, computer scientists who would be great electronic warfare specialists etc. I don’t think there is a shortage of skilled labour, there’s been a shortage of appropriate pay and conditions from Defence to allow them to compete effectively with the private sector.
 

OldTex

Well-Known Member
I have no doubt there are plenty of supply chain consultants who would make first rate quartermasters, computer scientists who would be great electronic warfare specialists etc.
I disagree with your thought that supply chain consultants and computer scientists etc would make first rate QMs, "Bears" (aka EW specialists) etc. The problem, from my perspective, with the consultants etc is that their experience is largely theoretical and academic. Hence they will have their 'pet' theory on how a particular function should be organised which they will defend to the death. What would be needed would be people with practical real world experience who can readily transfer that experience from the civilian domain to a military domain.
 

Volkodav

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I disagree with your thought that supply chain consultants and computer scientists etc would make first rate QMs, "Bears" (aka EW specialists) etc. The problem, from my perspective, with the consultants etc is that their experience is largely theoretical and academic. Hence they will have their 'pet' theory on how a particular function should be organised which they will defend to the death. What would be needed would be people with practical real world experience who can readily transfer that experience from the civilian domain to a military domain.
Actually, having worked with both career ADF (current and ex) and defence civilians who have transfered from commercial environments, as well as reservists who are across both ADF and civilian specialities, even consultants,I can confirm there is a spectrum of talent, intelligence, and ability across the range.

There are some absolute stars as well as too many oxygen thieves, irrespective of their backgrounds.

As a rule of thumb, the best are those who know they don't know it all, and acknowledge the skills and experience of others. The worst are those who think they know it all and everyone else is an idiot.

Best boss I ever had was an ex warrant officer who built and grew teams to cover all bases, in particular recruiting and upskilling to cover areas he perceived he and the team were weak in. The worst boss was also an ex warrant officer, he not only thought he knew it all, he made sure everyone knew he knew it all. He fought tooth an nail to prevent any change or improvement ever being initiated.
 

OldTex

Well-Known Member
One concern with a general mobilization to support a large scale conflict is that the highly effective people who would be needed in the ADF to do important non-combat roles will also be the same people who will be most needed (and even irreplaceable) in the civilian businesses to support a war-like economy. It would to a large degree be a repeat of the manpower supply problems during WW2.
 

Volkodav

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Verified Defense Pro
One concern with a general mobilization to support a large scale conflict is that the highly effective people who would be needed in the ADF to do important non-combat roles will also be the same people who will be most needed (and even irreplaceable) in the civilian businesses to support a war-like economy. It would to a large degree be a repeat of the manpower supply problems during WW2.
That's why one of the most critical things is upskilling the population in general, and perhaps even more importantly, assessing and recognising existing skills and knowledge.

Engineers Australia have the mandate to assess the skills and experience of anyone working in engineering, yet choose to exclude anyone who hasn't ticked the right boxes in terms of where they studied and when.

Our entire education and training system revolves around excluding people, whether by not letting them in, or refusing to even assess their skills before washing them out. Be smart, realise the people are a critical resource, nurture and grow them instead of excluding, or even breaking them and disposing of them.
 
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spoz

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Hm, with all due respect to MajGen Walk, putting an Army officer on it seems a very strange move even if, as I suspect, he is a truc…. How they are going to be used in normal times is the really interesting bit -as is what level of power the seamen’s Union will be allowed, they having contributed significantly to the loss of capacity over time.
 

alexsa

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Staff member
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The strategic fleet taskforce was announced yesterday…

Up to 12 ships, reports due by the end of this year and June 2023, for options on particular vessels, etc…

If I was an optimistic person (sadly that has been burned out of me) I would hope that the Australian International Shipping Register would be used for these vessels.

Register a vessel on the Australian international shipping register (amsa.gov.au)

This would allow for Australian officers (top four as a minimum) and a foreign crew. The hope was that the crew could be drawn from Pacific nations. Many pacific states have very good seafarers but the cost of getting them to a ship and home again as they have to be change out more frequently that was the case in the past (noting 11 months services is now the maximum .... and that is a long time to be one ship).

This would have two positive impacts, it avoids some of the situations that caused the decline (close to death) of the Australian merchant marine and it provides a source of employment to our Pacific partners.

Sadly the carrots associated with the AISR were so miserly (compared to good registers such as Singapore and the Marshall Islands) that no shipping company in their right mind would take it up. Lots of folk pointed this out but the relevant departments seemed uniclined to listen.
 

Takao

The Bunker Group
Hm, with all due respect to MajGen Walk, putting an Army officer on it seems a very strange move even if, as I suspect, he is a truc…. How they are going to be used in normal times is the really interesting bit -as is what level of power the seamen’s Union will be allowed, they having contributed significantly to the loss of capacity over time.
In this case, I'd argue that an Army lead does make sense. The sealift capability this brings will almost always be used for Land missions - everything from additional HADR gear to supporting the ARG as part of an invasion or a deployed force. While the Amphib capability is a Joint one, having the prime 'user' makes sense. Especially when you consider it won't all be Army under his command. Plus from memory, MAJGEN Walk has been involved in the ARG in the past, as well as directly supporting the transfer of materiel by sea.

Of interest, a similar proposal was raised in FSP by Army peeps, only to be shot down by RAN peeps. I'm happy that, at first glance, the main proponents have a lead.

In regards to the Union, I'm actually all for a heavy presence. The fleet doesn't need to turn a profit and if a Union presence happens to ensure any attempts to get rid of it or downscale it gets media attention ... oh well
 

spoz

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Yes, he represents the consumer of the product. I would hope he is being advised by somebody who understand the supplier’s issues. As a former secretary of what is now the AMDC, I have on a number of occasions had to deal with the somewhat unrealistic expectations of the customer in a similar context.

Navy’s concerns in this space has always been that the funding of this activity is likely to be at the expense of Navy capability which it sees a closer to its core.
 

buffy9

Well-Known Member
The strategic fleet taskforce was announced yesterday…

Up to 12 ships, reports due by the end of this year and June 2023, for options on particular vessels, etc…

Would this impact Army's littoral manoeuvre plans under AOF? I'm aware the Strategic Fleet and littoral manoeuvre are two different functions, though I can't help but suspect Army's current plans were formed with the recognition that the Strategic Fleet wasn't going to happen (at least under the former government or thinking).

Assuming both are planned, then the ARG and the Strategic Fleet provide blue-water lift and support, with the littoral unit/force provide mobility around the archipeligo. Its a fairly significant force for sealift and amphibious operations. Assuming both are intended to ultimately be established.

How this (and the DSR) will change the FSP will be interesting. There have been a lot of apparent changes since its release that don't appear to have been original plan such as REDSPICE and the Blackhawk buy (although I am not privy to the classified FSP as it is).

All for it though. At the end of the day, in terms of actual sealift and support, the Strategic Fleet is perhaps better in terms of conducting operations across the immediate region, even if it does require escort.
 
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ASSAIL

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The strategic fleet taskforce was announced yesterday…

Up to 12 ships, reports due by the end of this year and June 2023, for options on particular vessels, etc…

This fleet will be a total cockup, a resource waster and will end in commercial tears.
The MUA destroyed Australia’s commercial fleet so who have they got on the taskforce? Paddy Crumlin, leading assassin of the fleet that was and now advising government! FMD!
 

old faithful

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This fleet will be a total cockup, a resource waster and will end in commercial tears.
The MUA destroyed Australia’s commercial fleet so who have they got on the taskforce? Paddy Crumlin, leading assassin of the fleet that was and now advising government! FMD!
Forgive my ignorance, but is this a "merchant Navy" type of thing? A govt run shipping company type arrangement?
 
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