It's an open question where he will stop and if he will stop. He is old so he may well be dead long before he can realize any of these grandiose plans. But this is what I've been saying for quite some time. The two main points: 1) Putin wants the Russian Empire and it's imperialist policies back and 2) Putin's replacement may well turn out to be worse then him.
I don't have specific confirmation, but what do you mean by attacks? Local probing attacks or artillery strikes? Of course. Those have been ongoing. A major offensive? That would be news indeed.
Enough such that liveuamap is showing it. The area has been quiet for about a week or so since the last UKR attack at Bruskynske.
Russian sources are claiming Russia took the rest of the Kinburn peninsula. If true, it's not complete quiet. It would also serve as an indirect confirmation that Ukraine has pushed the Russian Navy back from the coast, and seizing controlling geography and attacking Ukrainian warhips has become a priority (Russia apparently hit the Vinnitsa and forced back Ukraine's lonely landing ship).
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I meant to say, from a ground point of view, relatively quiet. I doubt the peninsula was contested. I suspect that if the UKR had the means to make a big push towards Kherson they would of done so, but the fight at Severodonetsk is drawing most forces form both sides it appears.
My best guess is that they're blocking the port of Nikolaev by taking that peninsula. If indeed the VMF is forced to stay further from the coastline, blocking Nikolaev and Ochakov is a step to controlling the coast. It's also possible though in my opinion less likely, that Russia is gearing up for an offensive on Nikolaev, and wants to make sure the sea route is blocked tight to prevent reinforcements and resupply out of Odessa.
I don't agree that is was "rightly so" that Yanukovych was turfed out. Firstly the Guy was democratically elected, by not allowing him to serve his term it set a dangerous precedent that Election results can just be ignored and over ruled by force. His natural inclinations were not even particularly pro Russian, he initially supported closer ties with Europe before the Russians pressured him away from that position.
@Feanor altough personally I believe any large offensive by Russian in south will wait the results on Donbas, however considering how stretch Ukraine in Donbas, can existing Russian in Kherson and Crimea will be enough to move against Nikolayev ?
You make some interesting commentary, but ultimately I see no evidence of a link to the CIA in the article you cite. Only some unsupported claims and an alleged link to an alleged individual who was allegedly ex-military, which does not mean he was working for the CIA.I don't agree that is was "rightly so" that Yanukovych was turfed out. Firstly the Guy was democratically elected, by not allowing him to serve his term it set a dangerous precedent that Election results can just be ignored and over ruled by force. His natural inclinations were not even particularly pro Russian, he initially supported closer ties with Europe before the Russians pressured him away from that position.
But far worse is the fact that it wasn't Ukrainians acting independently to oust him. There was some internal resistance to him but it was assisted and exaggerated by the CIA. He would never have been forced to flee without CIA involvement.
I have no doubt the CIA's role in the Maidan Revolution sowed the seeds for the current war. During the Cold War there was an understanding that you don't foul in your Rival's backyard. Ideological Wars did break out in places like Korea, Vietnam and Afghanistan but these Countries were relatively neutral and not geographically important to either side. The west did not make any serious attempt to install Democratic Governments in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union did not attempt to foster Communism in Mexico or Canada.
When the Iron Curtain came down the West quickly moved to take Geopolitical Control of Eastern Europe. By this I mean establish friendly Political Relations with the new Governments, establish Military Alliances and open up Economic ties to allow Western Businesses to trade freely and in some cases exploit their natural resources. In other words move these Countries from Russia's Geopolitical Orbit to the West's.
The problem is that the new people running Russia weren't really new at all. They are all the same Communists who used to run the Soviet Union. And they run Russia much like an Outlaw Bikie Gang, where everything is about turf and territory. When a Rival Bike Outlaw Club opens a Tattoo Shop right next to your Clubhouse that is an Insult. How do they react - well if they want to stay around they burn it down, shoot it up and go looking for whoever was behind the idea with a bunch of baseball bats. If they don't do this they will be regarded as a bunch of Pussies and have to go out of Business or Patch over to the other Club.
Morally Russia has no Business in Ukraine creating the carnage it is. Legally they don't have a leg to stand on. Politically it is a disaster, they have isolated themselves from much of the World. Economically they will be suffering for decades to come. Strategically it will probably go down as the worst blunder this Century. Militarily it has been a calamity, they have lost thousands of troops, huge quantities of equipment, wasted a lot of ammunition and missiles, lost much credibility as a fighting force and have stooped to committing rapes and war crimes.
But in the Bikie/Mafia like environment the Kremlin works in the War makes perfect sense. America's CIA insulted them by brazenly stealing Ukraine (geopolitically) from under their noses and that result cannot be allowed to stand.
The CIA would have understood perfectly well their actions could lead to War. But they didn't care. Now both Countries are in a horrific situation and problems like food shortages and inflation are spreading around the world.
So kicking out Yanukovych the way they did has proved to be a disaster. It didn't even help solving Ukraine's fundamental issues of Corruption and Kleptocracy, before the War they were little better than Russia in this space. The only outcome was a Russian Puppet was replaced with an American one and then the response to that result we are seeing unfold now.
We've seen additional units moving around in Kherson and Zaporozhye, including the infamous T-62s. In Zaporozhye it appears to be part of a troop rotation. In Kherson it could have been a build-up, especially if Ukraine took considerable losses in their recent pushes.
www.theklaxon.com.au
www.pewresearch.org
Here is another article discussing the issue. The Author asserts the CIA judged the peaceful protests could be turned into a revolution and used to dislodge the President.
www.fairobserver.com
I read that article several times and I don't find anything where anyone ordered that anyone be appointed anything.Victoria Nuland personally went to Ukraine to supervise the transition of Power and ordered Arseniy Yatsenyuk to be appointed as Ukraine's next Prime Minister! So much for wanting to spread Democracy around the World.
Ukraine crisis: Transcript of leaked Nuland-Pyatt call
A transcript of the alleged conversation between Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland and the US ambassador to Ukraine, Geoffrey Pyatt discussing the crisis in Ukraine.www.bbc.com
In wartime a lot of prewar plans and doctrines can go out the window pretty fast. There's an old saying amongst the military that any plan is only good until first contact with the enemy. Then it all turns to rubbish. Things change and they can change very quickly. The Ukrainian Command main not have any choice in the matter and has to commit forces as they are positioned.
In future please provide sources for claims that you make. It's required by our rules.
Yes definitely on the first point and on the second, from what I have read so far Putin may be the more moderate of the team that are running things. I do agree I think that he will have fallen off his perch and will be replaced by someone far more zealous about reclaiming "lost territory" who is more likely to be closer to using Stalin's methodology in executing the mission and dealing with objections.
Yes, I did a search for maps and most that I found exhibited the same boundaries. I also think that at some stage the Russian empire included parts of or all of Poland as well. Interestingly enough the Kalingrad Oblast exclave is only a recent addition because it used to be Prussia or east Prussia until 1945 when the German population migrated west in a hurry for some strange reason. It was originally founded by the Teutonic Knights way back. After 1991 Estonia and Poland didn't want it because of the high Russian population and subsequent problems that could cause. Whilst West Germany was to busy absorbing East Germany that it didn't want its traditional land back as an exclave either. Probably a wise decision.
I disagree and I think that the source you cite isn't the best around. problem is anytime a govt is turfed or a President is voted out and some people don't like it the CIA is always blamed for it. In reality Yanukovych was turfed out because he refused to carry out the wishes of the Parliament and that was to apply for EU membership in favour of a deal with Russia. So he was impeached with a majority of 328 of 447 voting for impeachment. Ukraine President Yanukovich impeached | News | Al Jazeera & Ukrainian MPs vote to oust President Yanukovych - BBC News. So who was the set the "dangerous precedent". He had also imprisoned the Opposition Leader Yulia Tymoshenko on trumped up charges so he had to go because he was selling out to Russia which made him a traitor.
Yes, they won't have a sense of humour about it at all and the CCP will be somewhat incensed to say the least.
Enough. You are pushing conspiracy theories using unsubstantiated material, and you've already been warned in April by another Moderator for pushing Russian propaganda. If you carry on down this path you will be banned from posting in this thread whilst the Moderators consider what action to take against you.
There was a pattern of mass deporting German populations after WWII. It's a pretty ugly page in history. Not comparable to what Nazi Germany did when it had the chance, but a shameful page in history none the less for all perpetrators.
Definitely, but it wasn't just German populations. Stalin was a mightily suspicious fulla to say the least.
