One JC1 for the two of them wouldn't be so bad. The LPDs could be refitted to be sold, and if another country (say Australia for a third LHD) hops in, getting a one for one replacement could go from hard to feasible. The amount of work and national investment may justify that growth in the view of the taxpayers.
Hmmm..... the semi annual “let’s get a 3rd LHD” which usually includes “get rid of Choules and replace it with that 3rd LHD”. Neither is going to happen, not today, not at all.
I feel pretty confident that when both of the two new AORs are completed they will be the last major overseas built ships for the RAN we’ll see for the next 25-30 years, and maybe never again.
The 2020 Strategic Defence Update made it clear that the Choules replacement will be two ‘local’ built JSS ships:
At PACIFIC 2019, the naval defense exposition held last week in Sydney, Australia, Navantia Australia, the local branch of Spanish shipbuilding group Navantia, unveiled a new Joint Support Ship (JSS) design for both the domestic and export market.
www.navalnews.com
Probably something similar in size to the proposed Navantia Australia JSS design.
With all of the infrastructure upgrades planned for Henderson, including a large dry dock, being able to build those two JSS shouldn’t be a problem.
And if the infrastructure is built large enough, with growth potential in mind, then the logical next step would be to build the next AORs locally and maybe LHD replacements too.
As long as future Federal Governments don’t start dicking around with the Naval Shipbuilding Plan, we are likely to see continuous builds of submarines, destroyers and frigates at Osborne and everything else at Henderson.
Anyway, time will tell, but that’s my prediction.
Cheers,