Canada loosing contracts for F-35 components due to lack of ordering is one thing that may push her politicians into ordering the F-35 for the RCAF, as it will give them a face saving reason to do so.
As I understand it, Canada is a 'paid up' Level 3 Partner (same as Australia, Denmark, Norway and Turkey), so therefore it is entitled to 'bid' for work, regardless of if we like it or not.
Obviously the contracts that have been awarded by LM to Canadian industry to date, will no doubt be honoured (as you would expect).
The question will be, how many 'new' contracts are likely to be awarded moving forward?
Hopefully LM can hit the 'pause' button until there is a decision, either way, from the Canadian Government and not award any new contracts.
And if the 'pause' button can be hit and a final decision by the Canadian Government drags on and on, no doubt Canadian industry will start jumping up and down and be making a lot of noise to their Government.
The ball is clearly in Canadian Government hands.
I do remember a while ago, it was reported that if the Canadian order didn't proceed, that it would 'add' approx US$1m per airframe cost to the overall global fleet.
Fine, not a problem, don't give any further work to Canadian industry, spread that work around to the other partner nations as 'compensation' for the potential increased per unit cost.
If for example Australia is faced with an 'extra' US$100m for the fleet, again no problem, compensate our industry with at least the same or potentially a lot more.