Royal New Zealand Air Force

ngatimozart

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Was this the same aircraft that experianced the whiteout over Antarctica,and couldnt land? And when did they go throught the refit, do they have a similar life left as the Hercs do, more so?
They are a lot younger than the Hercs. During their time as commercial jetliners the important metric would have been cycles; one cycle being one take off and one landing followed by the flight hours. In RNZAF service they would have had far less use. The incident in Antarctica has no bearing on the current issue, because it was a weather related issue not a structural or mechanical issue.
 

Rob c

The Bunker Group
Verified Defense Pro
They are a lot younger than the Hercs. During their time as commercial jetliners the important metric would have been cycles; one cycle being one take off and one landing followed by the flight hours. In RNZAF service they would have had far less use. The incident in Antarctica has no bearing on the current issue, because it was a weather related issue not a structural or mechanical issue.
Very well put, These aircraft would have done far less cycles than their commercial counterparts and they don't do the military type flight's such as low level , sort field ops and rough field ops which has chewed up fatigue life of the herk's at a heavy rate.I don't think their life expectancy is a problem but they have been criticized as lacking flexibility( they need specialist gear to unload bulk etc) and this I think is the main driver for their replacement , plus their technology is not very adaptable to electronic updating. In other words they are not fully fit for purpose.
 

Joe Black

Active Member
It would yes. Any increase in pilot numbers and overall aviation capability whether it be an ACF or more MPA / Transport or even helicopter types would likely require an increase in basic flight training capability.

I'm am just not convinced that a LIFT such as the Hawk or T/A-50 is necessarily the best option for NZ.

I think the funds they would soak up would be better off spent on the frontline capability, particularly given the strategic imperative of getting this capability up and running quickly is what started this topic.
True, but consider what half a dozen of F/A-50 could do for New Zealand defence. F/A-50 armed with a pair of anti-ship missiles will have far greater reach than the ANZAC frigates. F/A-50 armed with smart munitions will be able to give New Zealand army an organic air support that can reach much further and possibly faster than their artillery.

NZ has the similar population size as Singapore, and I struggle to understand why they struggle to maintain fast jet capability post the Skyhawks. Underinvesting in the armed forces is probably the main factor, and perhaps a much smaller GDP. NZ's military expenditure as a & of GDP is also sadly less than 2%.
 

ngatimozart

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Four media stories about B757 NZ7571 falling over (= went unserviceable / broken / won't work) in Townsville yesterday. Two are opinion pieces with different takes on the situation and the first two are news stories. The opposition pollies have got on the band wagon about the suitability of the B757 and the need for its replacement.

News Hub are reporting that Ron Mark of NZ First has said:
"If the Prime Minister wants 'PM 1' then his own department should fund the $140 million it will cost for something like an Airbus A320 instead of the New Zealand Defence Force," he said.

"Alternatively, we have an award-winning state airline that can do that job by charter or by buying a seat like the rest of us."

Mr Mark said the plane flew just 571 flight hours between January 2013 and September 2015, a fifth of what a commercial plane would do.

"It sounds counter-intuitive, but aircraft are much easier to maintain if they're kept flying than sitting on the tarmac," he said, highlighting his concerns about commercial jets flying too few hours in military service.
They also state that whilst the PM was in Laos for the East Asia Summit last month the B757 on that trip fell over and then had to be flown to Guam for repairs.

The NZ Herald reported Davis Shearer of the Labour Party as:
Labour's defence spokesman David Shearer said the latest breakdown was embarrassing for New Zealand, especially as it meant a day was lost on the business trip to India.

"While we know the Air Force does its best, it's pretty clear that some of the equipment that it's using is not up to the task.

"Given the Air Force planes can only fly three or four hours before they have to stop for a refuel, it means a very long trip to somewhere like India or the Middle East."

The Defence White Paper released in June said the 757s would be replaced, but not until the early 2020s.

"In light of what happened today, the Air Force might need to be looking at what needs to happen to these planes so we don't have continual breakdowns," Shearer said.
Then Audrey Young of the Herald in an opinion piece states that Key should be seething over Air Force breakdown claiming that the RNZAF are at fault and that: "The break down was unforgivable. ... It is not just one of those things that should be accepted an unavoidable. Every breakdown can be avoidable just as every crash is avoidable. The Air Force has failed at the absolute basics, to keep its planes in reasonable working order." I am given to understand that she is a journalist, not a highly qualified and respected aeronautical engineer. If she is the latter she should've been able to have solved the problem and had the aircraft serviceable in short order instead of whining like a Rolls Royce Dart engine.

Finally Vernon Small in another opinion piece on Stuff Add 'PM slams military for airplane breakdown' to other headlines you will never read asks what I think is the most important question: "Who funds the plane and all the other military kit, so who is ultimately to blame if its reliability is sub-standard?" He then went on to say: "Nevertheless, Key's reaction that it was "a little bit sub-optimal" took Kiwi understatement straight out of a Flight of the Conchords script. Is it really acceptable that a plane that had presumably been well prepared for a long return trip to India, should break down after a few hours' hop to Australia? Yes they are old, but it's the maintenance that's at issue. As acting PM Bill English pointed out, it's not that they are worn out - the airforce has much older kit than them - but they don't see enough action."

There appear to be two pertinent themes coming through. The first is that the aircraft are no longer fit for purpose and should be replaced and the second is that that NZDF should not have to fund non defence related activities. I would agree with that. As to the comments that have been made regarding aircraft are easier to maintain if they are kept flying, I am not qualified to answer that because I am not an aircraft technician.
 

ngatimozart

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True, but consider what half a dozen of F/A-50 could do for New Zealand defence. F/A-50 armed with a pair of anti-ship missiles will have far greater reach than the ANZAC frigates. F/A-50 armed with smart munitions will be able to give New Zealand army an organic air support that can reach much further and possibly faster than their artillery.

NZ has the similar population size as Singapore, and I struggle to understand why they struggle to maintain fast jet capability post the Skyhawks. Underinvesting in the armed forces is probably the main factor, and perhaps a much smaller GDP. NZ's military expenditure as a & of GDP is also sadly less than 2%.
I actually agree with ADMk2 on this. It would not be the optimal solution, however having said that if it was the only option then it is better than what we have now.
 

Rob c

The Bunker Group
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I actually agree with ADMk2 on this. It would not be the optimal solution, however having said that if it was the only option then it is better than what we have now.
Yes I agree it is not the optimal solution, but at least it is a solution though I think the numbers are a bit light. What we must keep in min is the question, how often do the NZ armed forces get the optimal solution. If the get the correct gear it is usually in too a small number, or they get the cheep option.
 

ADMk2

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True, but consider what half a dozen of F/A-50 could do for New Zealand defence. F/A-50 armed with a pair of anti-ship missiles will have far greater reach than the ANZAC frigates. F/A-50 armed with smart munitions will be able to give New Zealand army an organic air support that can reach much further and possibly faster than their artillery.

NZ has the similar population size as Singapore, and I struggle to understand why they struggle to maintain fast jet capability post the Skyhawks. Underinvesting in the armed forces is probably the main factor, and perhaps a much smaller GDP. NZ's military expenditure as a & of GDP is also sadly less than 2%.
Consider what half a dozen Gripens, F-16's or Super Hornets could do over and above the capability that a LIFT brings...

That was the point being made in the context of an ACF being re-raised due to the falling world strategic situation.

The discussion was about raising it quickly, hence the discussion on pilot / maintainer training schemes and operational type conversion being done in other systems with only basic flight training and frontline capability being operated in New Zealand, as a way to save money and speed up the reintroduction of a legitimate frontline ACF.

The F/A-50 is great and all, but I'm not convinced of it's utility against a modern and capable air threat. The only country that employs it so does so through lack of financial options to employ better...

If all you want is an airframe to sling some ASCM's and outrange a Frigate (quickly) then a P-8A or whichever MPA you choose will do so just fine...

The lack of a LIFT in this scheme is based around the idea of speed and limiting expenditure when it isn't strictly necessary so that funding can be devoted as far as possible on the pointy end...
 

John Newman

The Bunker Group
NZ has the similar population size as Singapore, and I struggle to understand why they struggle to maintain fast jet capability post the Skyhawks. Underinvesting in the armed forces is probably the main factor, and perhaps a much smaller GDP. NZ's military expenditure as a & of GDP is also sadly less than 2%.
Maybe if Singapore and NZ swapped geographical positions, maybe the question would be the other way around, "why does Singapore struggle to maintain fast jet capability?"

Just a thought!!
 

RegR

Well-Known Member
Very well put, These aircraft would have done far less cycles than their commercial counterparts and they don't do the military type flight's such as low level , sort field ops and rough field ops which has chewed up fatigue life of the herk's at a heavy rate.I don't think their life expectancy is a problem but they have been criticized as lacking flexibility( they need specialist gear to unload bulk etc) and this I think is the main driver for their replacement , plus their technology is not very adaptable to electronic updating. In other words they are not fully fit for purpose.
What exactly is the purpose of the boeings that they are not particularly suited to? The 757s and the C130s are different beasts better suited to different theatres and therefore used accordingly or in conjunction. I have seen a B757 being unloaded onto the back of a truck just as I have seen a C130 being unloaded in the same fashion, whilst alittle more technically difficult not at all impossible. Oversized and heavy bulk cargo still requires some level of support regardless of how it got there and the vast majority of airfeilds we go to have more than adequate cargo handling procedures and facilities anyway.

The boeings and the hercs are different for a reason with tasks to match, the latest one making the news is a prime example.
 

Rob c

The Bunker Group
Verified Defense Pro
Consider what half a dozen Gripens, F-16's or Super Hornets could do over and above the capability that a LIFT brings...

That was the point being made in the context of an ACF being re-raised due to the falling world strategic situation.

The discussion was about raising it quickly, hence the discussion on pilot / maintainer training schemes and operational type conversion being done in other systems with only basic flight training and frontline capability being operated in New Zealand, as a way to save money and speed up the reintroduction of a legitimate frontline ACF.

The F/A-50 is great and all, but I'm not convinced of it's utility against a modern and capable air threat. The only country that employs it so does so through lack of financial options to employ better...

If all you want is an airframe to sling some ASCM's and outrange a Frigate (quickly) then a P-8A or whichever MPA you choose will do so just fine...

The lack of a LIFT in this scheme is based around the idea of speed and limiting expenditure when it isn't strictly necessary so that funding can be devoted as far as possible on the pointy end...
A couple of points, NZ is only going to face a modern air threat from nations that have significant aircraft carriers and they are thin on the ground, the FA50 would be for local defence purposes they would be employed mainly on strike or interception of transport type aircraft. In regard to training you would not only need LIFT but also operational conversion as well and I don't know of many air forces that contract out both as you lose to much control of the finished product (the pilot) In the case of the FA 50 you could do both in the same aircraft . In the end it will largely depend on how much money is available. An other point is that quickly raising an ACF is not an option unless you employ foreign pilots for your senior positions, that is why we cannot what to raise an ACF until forced too, because we will always be to late. The air force's time to achieve a fully capable sqn was 15 years and they are the experts who should know. During my deployments to Singapore I watch the SAF in their endeavors to create an AFC over the years with the help of the RAF and from that experience have no reason to doubt the 15 year figure. We would need to start simple before upgrading. The old adage that you need to learn to walk before you learn to run is very true in this case.
 

RegR

Well-Known Member
Four media stories about B757 NZ7571 falling over (= went unserviceable / broken / won't work) in Townsville yesterday. Two are opinion pieces with different takes on the situation and the first two are news stories. The opposition pollies have got on the band wagon about the suitability of the B757 and the need for its replacement.

News Hub are reporting that Ron Mark of NZ First has said:

They also state that whilst the PM was in Laos for the East Asia Summit last month the B757 on that trip fell over and then had to be flown to Guam for repairs.

The NZ Herald reported Davis Shearer of the Labour Party as:


Then Audrey Young of the Herald in an opinion piece states that Key should be seething over Air Force breakdown claiming that the RNZAF are at fault and that: "The break down was unforgivable. ... It is not just one of those things that should be accepted an unavoidable. Every breakdown can be avoidable just as every crash is avoidable. The Air Force has failed at the absolute basics, to keep its planes in reasonable working order." I am given to understand that she is a journalist, not a highly qualified and respected aeronautical engineer. If she is the latter she should've been able to have solved the problem and had the aircraft serviceable in short order instead of whining like a Rolls Royce Dart engine.

Finally Vernon Small in another opinion piece on Stuff Add 'PM slams military for airplane breakdown' to other headlines you will never read asks what I think is the most important question: "Who funds the plane and all the other military kit, so who is ultimately to blame if its reliability is sub-standard?" He then went on to say: "Nevertheless, Key's reaction that it was "a little bit sub-optimal" took Kiwi understatement straight out of a Flight of the Conchords script. Is it really acceptable that a plane that had presumably been well prepared for a long return trip to India, should break down after a few hours' hop to Australia? Yes they are old, but it's the maintenance that's at issue. As acting PM Bill English pointed out, it's not that they are worn out - the airforce has much older kit than them - but they don't see enough action."

There appear to be two pertinent themes coming through. The first is that the aircraft are no longer fit for purpose and should be replaced and the second is that that NZDF should not have to fund non defence related activities. I would agree with that. As to the comments that have been made regarding aircraft are easier to maintain if they are kept flying, I am not qualified to answer that because I am not an aircraft technician.
Air New Zealand aircraft (in fact any commercial airline) still have technical difficulties which can cause grounding and even cancellations so unsure why RNZAF would be exempt. I think Audrey is being alittle naive if she thinks all equipment will never have issues so long as you "maintain" them, especially older equipment.

Comparing RNZAF boeings to say AirNZ boeings and quoting under use as an issue is alittle off as all aircraft maintainence is based mainly on hours flown not nesscessarily time passed so is all relative, even minimum hours can be achieved via training but then what is minimum hours required anyway? Commercials flights gain efficiencies via consistant flights generating profit whilst military flights are efficient by being available and flexible for ever changing missions. Whilst air force "airliners" do not clock up as many air miles as their civilian counterparts their support regimes are still to exacting standards.

A C130 could have just as easily (if not moreso) had technical issues completing the exact same task and then we would be here discussing their suitability, role and age with the story hungry media and exposure hungry politicians attacking every angle, possibility and rumour all for alittle airtime all the while talking around the main issue.

This just reminds me of a few other NZDF incidents where something happens, however minor or mundane, and all the civilian experts come out of the woodwork with their educated theories (good and bad) to begin building the mountain on top of the molehill.
 

Rob c

The Bunker Group
Verified Defense Pro
Four media stories about B757 NZ7571 falling over (= went unserviceable / broken / won't work) in Townsville yesterday. Two are opinion pieces with different takes on the situation and the first two are news stories. The opposition pollies have got on the band wagon about the suitability of the B757 and the need for its replacement.

News Hub are reporting that Ron Mark of NZ First has said:

They also state that whilst the PM was in Laos for the East Asia Summit last month the B757 on that trip fell over and then had to be flown to Guam for repairs.

The NZ Herald reported Davis Shearer of the Labour Party as:


Then Audrey Young of the Herald in an opinion piece states that Key should be seething over Air Force breakdown claiming that the RNZAF are at fault and that: "The break down was unforgivable. ... It is not just one of those things that should be accepted an unavoidable. Every breakdown can be avoidable just as every crash is avoidable. The Air Force has failed at the absolute basics, to keep its planes in reasonable working order." I am given to understand that she is a journalist, not a highly qualified and respected aeronautical engineer. If she is the latter she should've been able to have solved the problem and had the aircraft serviceable in short order instead of whining like a Rolls Royce Dart engine.

Finally Vernon Small in another opinion piece on Stuff Add 'PM slams military for airplane breakdown' to other headlines you will never read asks what I think is the most important question: "Who funds the plane and all the other military kit, so who is ultimately to blame if its reliability is sub-standard?" He then went on to say: "Nevertheless, Key's reaction that it was "a little bit sub-optimal" took Kiwi understatement straight out of a Flight of the Conchords script. Is it really acceptable that a plane that had presumably been well prepared for a long return trip to India, should break down after a few hours' hop to Australia? Yes they are old, but it's the maintenance that's at issue. As acting PM Bill English pointed out, it's not that they are worn out - the airforce has much older kit than them - but they don't see enough action."

There appear to be two pertinent themes coming through. The first is that the aircraft are no longer fit for purpose and should be replaced and the second is that that NZDF should not have to fund non defence related activities. I would agree with that. As to the comments that have been made regarding aircraft are easier to maintain if they are kept flying, I am not qualified to answer that because I am not an aircraft technician.
Most of what has come out from the press, the TV and the pollies has been absolute rubbish, showing a large amount of ignorance. The tv1 aviation expert had it right when his basic theme was that it was quite normal. Ron Mark finally got one thing wright when he said that the replacement needed longer legs. Out side that it has all been a load of over emotive rubbish. If we had a larger fleet there would have been a spare aircraft to take over in 4-6 hours and all would have been well.
 

ngatimozart

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A couple of points, NZ is only going to face a modern air threat from nations that have significant aircraft carriers and they are thin on the ground, the FA50 would be for local defence purposes they would be employed mainly on strike or interception of transport type aircraft.
Are we? Are we really? Where are our areas of interest and who do we have defence agreements with? Where does our navy, army air force deploy operationally? Where are our SLOC? What I am doing is trying to get people to thing beyond the NZ homeland. That is always our big failing with regard to defence - a myopic view of our security situation that stops at the 12nm limit; sea and air blindness.
In regard to training you would not only need LIFT but also operational conversion as well and I don't know of many air forces that contract out both as you lose to much control of the finished product (the pilot) In the case of the FA 50 you could do both in the same aircraft . In the end it will largely depend on how much money is available. An other point is that quickly raising an ACF is not an option unless you employ foreign pilots for your senior positions, that is why we cannot what to raise an ACF until forced too, because we will always be to late. The air force's time to achieve a fully capable sqn was 15 years and they are the experts who should know. During my deployments to Singapore I watch the SAF in their endeavors to create an AFC over the years with the help of the RAF and from that experience have no reason to doubt the 15 year figure. We would need to start simple before upgrading. The old adage that you need to learn to walk before you learn to run is very true in this case.
The adage maybe true however we can shortcut the system by not acquiring LIFT and having that phase done on contract overseas with a 5i's nation. Then we only need to acquire the combat aircraft. As far as potential ACF senior leadership goes I am sure that we could attract suitably qualified personnel again from 5i's nations. It's been done by us before. Yes as far as standing up an ACF again and getting it FOC, we have to crawl, walk, run and it doesn't happen overnight. However I think that we could achieve IOC in 5 years and possibly FOC within 10 years given the appropriate political will and resources.
 
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MrConservative

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Staff member
A couple of points, NZ is only going to face a modern air threat from nations that have significant aircraft carriers and they are thin on the ground, the FA50 would be for local defence purposes they would be employed mainly on strike or interception of transport type aircraft.
I would expect the rationale for their (or any ACC usage) if we indeed go down that route would have to be a little wider than local defence / interception.

An FA-50 variant has potential but it has to evolve beyond the current weaknesses and the evolution requires a number of ducks lining up.

In regard to training you would not only need LIFT but also operational conversion as well and I don't know of many air forces that contract out both as you lose to much control of the finished product (the pilot) In the case of the FA 50 you could do both in the same aircraft.
Try Uncle Sam. In fact I would not do anything without him right down to airframe selection, training and support package et al. The FA-50 will need LM success in the T-X bid anyway if you wanted it to actually work.

In the end it will largely depend on how much money is available.
Yep. That would inform ones options from F-16V's / FA-50's at the low cost spectrum up through to the more expensive F-18F / JSF.

Another point is that quickly raising an ACF is not an option unless you employ foreign pilots for your senior positions, that is why we cannot what to raise an ACF until forced too, because we will always be to late. The air force's time to achieve a fully capable sqn was 15 years and they are the experts who should know.
The 15 year figure was the most pessimistic one offered and factored in a wholly solo re-establishment effort on the RNZAF's part of an ACF of around late 1990's size from LIFT through to a deployment of an OLOC Strike package.

Seconding / contracting in USN, USMC and USAF aircrew / ex-aircrew would be the preferred way to go.

During my deployments to Singapore I watch the SAF in their endeavours to create an AFC over the years with the help of the RAF and from that experience have no reason to doubt the 15 year figure.
The Singa's for many years have had great service from their turnkey contract based at USAF Luke AFB. Training methodology has changed in the last 30-40 years.

We would need to start simple before upgrading. The old adage that you need to learn to walk before you learn to run is very true in this case.
I would say that without contracting into an offshore training and support package, ideally US we would never even get off our knees let alone walk.
 
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Rob c

The Bunker Group
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The need for overseas expertise I would agree is essential. There can be no doubt that without it we would not get very far. I am not conversant with modern American training methods but in my time we easily eclipsed any American unit we came up against. The pilot exchange system in place at that time saw some of our pilots moved into instructor positions and their term in the US extended at the request of the yanks as they were highly regarded. Then our system was based on the Pom system and at that time allowed for greater flexibility and allowed for more initiative by the individual . The American system has the advantage of size which could allow more availability.
 

ngatimozart

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That would inform ones options from F-16V's / FA-50's at the low spectrum up through to F-18F / JSF.
The new build F16V is on the same level as a new build F18E/F both being 4+ generation aircraft. The F35 JSF is a whole tier ahead of the F18E/F; it is like saying the capabilities of the post Kahu A4K are similar to that of the F16V, when in fact the F16V is far more advanced than the post Kahu A4K A4K ever was. The only similarity between the F-18F / JSF will be the projected flyaway cost of the F35A being around US$80 million in 2019. The F18F flyaway cost is around US$78 million for FY2018.
 

MrConservative

Super Moderator
Staff member
The new build F16V is on the same level as a new build F18E/F both being 4+ generation aircraft. The F35 JSF is a whole tier ahead of the F18E/F; it is like saying the capabilities of the post Kahu A4K are similar to that of the F16V, when in fact the F16V is far more advanced than the post Kahu A4K A4K ever was. The only similarity between the F-18F / JSF will be the projected flyaway cost of the F35A being around US$80 million in 2019. The F18F flyaway cost is around US$78 million for FY2018.
Ah... Low cost spectrum. I was just being too economical in my reply. Added the missing word cost.
 

ADMk2

Just a bloke
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A couple of points, NZ is only going to face a modern air threat from nations that have significant aircraft carriers and they are thin on the ground, the FA50 would be for local defence purposes they would be employed mainly on strike or interception of transport type aircraft. In regard to training you would not only need LIFT but also operational conversion as well and I don't know of many air forces that contract out both as you lose to much control of the finished product (the pilot) In the case of the FA 50 you could do both in the same aircraft . In the end it will largely depend on how much money is available. An other point is that quickly raising an ACF is not an option unless you employ foreign pilots for your senior positions, that is why we cannot what to raise an ACF until forced too, because we will always be to late. The air force's time to achieve a fully capable sqn was 15 years and they are the experts who should know. During my deployments to Singapore I watch the SAF in their endeavors to create an AFC over the years with the help of the RAF and from that experience have no reason to doubt the 15 year figure. We would need to start simple before upgrading. The old adage that you need to learn to walk before you learn to run is very true in this case.
On the contrary my friend. Neither Iraq nor Hungary operate a LIFT as of right now and both operate frontline fighter jets in the form of F-16 in Iraq's case and Gripen in Hungary's case.

Hungary does NFTC training in Canada and Operational Conversion in Sweden. Saudi Arabia and the UAE utilise NFTC in Canada as well.

The RAAF sends it's pilots to undertake Super Hornet and Growler Operational Conversion with the USN.

Iraq does all their flight training apart from basic with the US Air Force. Iraq undoubtedly forced through operational requirement went from starting it's own training systems with USAF help (CAFTT) in 2007 to developing the capability to operate C-208 Caravans to F-16's conducting combat operations in 2016...

That is operating undoubtedly flat chat and I suspect the RNZAF opinion was based on peacetime rates of effort and funding, but that 15 year figure isn't the whole story I suspect.

There are plenty of further real world examples where Countries that are trying to rapidly build capability utilise assets and training systems of other countries. Longer term it may well be a better option to develop a completely domestic training system, but I doubt it is cheaper and it certainly won't be quicker. Hungary in particular wouldn't operate the way it does if it were cheaper to operate their own LIFT and training system. Of course QFI's and service mastery will need to be developed in time, but a basic IOC I'm sure could be achieved quickly.
 

ngatimozart

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To be honest NG I am sceptical with respect to General Bogdan's claim that the A model with its F135 engine will ever become available for just USD$80m.
I'm not holding my breathe on it either, but he has put LM on notice about it and from what I've seen and read he's not afraid of them. So we'll wait and see.
 
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