I am curious if you actually did read the link as it does go on to cross over some of the points.
Well, most F35Bs will be either taking-over the RAAF's existing A order, or tap on the extra 25 F-35 options. So most of the acquisition cost for the Bs has been spent for the As already.
We can't exactly say most or any of the F35B's will be taking over the F35A slots from the RAAF for a few simple fact's,
- We have committed to 72 F35A purchases
- Redirecting any F35A acquisitions into B's would have a negative effect on the force make up of the RAAF for mainland Australia and over seas deployments.
- For the foreseeable future the F35B's have been flat out taken off the table for us.
- Any extra F35's in the B configuration would have to come from the other 28 possible purchase slots thus the $5 billion figure does apply in full.
Some cost for modifications can be easily absorbed into the major refits.
Not so sure that is possible as the current systems aboard are still very different to what would need to be fitted and built into the ship. That said I'm sure there are other's on here that would have a better understanding of what would be involved and if there is any over lap between your average major refit and modifying the ship to perform a role it was not built to do.
The cost of extra LHD or AWD is also a bit BS as: 1. we are not going to get any extra ADW or LHD anyway, 2. The ANZAC replacements are now much more capable and we are going to have 9 rather than 8. In the Labor's RGR regime, our surface fleet was suppose to shrink down to 11, which is not true anymore. So the cost for the extra escort has been allocated.
If you read the article you would see mention that while having the LHD's be configured on a mission based requirement (ie: Having F35B's part time) sounds great in theory, In reality there is a risk that with only 2 LHD's the ADF could compromise it's ability to prepare for either role properly. In effect by trying to do everything you risk being unable to do anything effectively.
It is for that reason the article made mention of a third LHD being required if we desired F35B's because any capable F35B compliment would all but destroy the amphibious capability for that ship. If you dont get an extra LHD then we effectively wipe out 1/3rd of our amphibious fleet just in unit numbers or 41% of troop transport capacity.
As for the extra AWD that would be contingent on any extra LHD acquisition, AWD's have been the one ship mentioned numerous times as being the vessel that would be escorting the LHD's in hostile environments. If we don't get any extra LHD's then current number's could suffice however any further purchases would need at least 1 AWD per an LHD with an extra AWD in reserve. I just dont see a frigate, even one more capable then the Anzac class cutting it.
In my POW, is it more about what sort of operation(s) our ADF is expected to fight. Are we going to sacrifice a bit of RAAF's control of their fighters and the availability of the amphibious capability for a much more capable sea control/naval strike capability?
If the answer is yes, then a F-35B on LHD is a very cost effective investment.
If the answer is no, then it is another story.
As mentioned in the article the cost benefit for STOVL operations off the LHD's just don't stack up, The scenarios where STOVL would be of use are extremely vague while significantly impacting the amphibious capability of the fleet.
It's an extremely costly affair that if you want done with out impacting current/planned amphibious capability will require a 3rd dedicated ship, In fact they say an actual aircraft carrier would be the best bet if we are to aim for F35B's at all.
One way or another, It's not as simple as changing some of the F35A orders to B's and modifying one or both of the ships, there is a lot more to do and a hell of a lot more to spend if you dont want to do it half a**ed while buggering up the ADF force structure.