I asked the question as a thought bubble because of possibilities; looking at future possibilities for CTY and / or its replacement down the track. Whilst a well-dock is an ideal capability, we must learn to walk before we can run and I've always seen CTY as the ship we learn Amphib Ops and maritime projection on. My opinion is that it is well thought out in some areas, especially in the aviation side with four helo spots. I read last year the some USN officers were impressed with the bridge layout and the extended bridge wings, over the ships side, allowing good vision for ship manoeuvring activities in confined spaces, or evolutions where the bridge officers needed good views of what was happening. Undoubtedly there are other areas that I am unaware of, where it is well thought out too. Conversely, there will be areas where improvements need to happen. Like I said this is, IMHO, our amphib ship with trainer wheels on
I would like to think that son or daughter of CTY will build on these lessons, pollies and bean counters allowing. IMHO I would like to see a through deck LHD of around the 12,000 class in RNZN colours. This LHD would have a minimum of four medium sized helo spots with maybe six preferable and capable of lily-padding a chook or a MV22 Osprey.
Like Reg, I have some reservations about Future 35 and the talk of a single service sends shivers down my spine. It didn't work for the Canadians and what makes the CDF (who was Army same as current one) think that it will for NZ? It speaks more of bean counters and pollies, but that is not for this thread except to state that it has the potential of killing the culture and ethos of the RNZN (& RNZAF). Having said that, Future 35 does lay the course for future NZDF direction and as such it should provide a theoretical grounding upon which NZDF can build.
The biggest problem that the pollies, the bean counters and the general public have is that they forget, or do not understand, that NZ is a maritime nation, one that is the remotest nation in the world. Our EEZ is the 4th largest in the world and we are totally dependant upon maritime trade, with 99.4% of our imports / exports transported by sea. Our SLOC extend well beyond Australia to Asia and North America. We are dependent upon Middle East oil for our hydro carbon energy needs and that's just the present. The oil that we drill is of the sour crude type and unable to be distilled by the refinery at Marsden Point, therefore having to be exported. Hence we have to import sweet crude to distil at our refinery so we are still totally dependant on foreign oil. We import petrol from Singapore and Seoul.
The future is not one of sublime peaceful coexistence nor a benign future like the trendy lefties have us believe, nor the bean counters and MFAT have us think. China is flexing its muscles especially in the maritime sphere and Russia is becoming more belligerent against the west. NATO has reported that Russian regular forces are operating in the Ukraine. Continued and further sanctions against Russia will drive them closer to China, economically and militarily. If this happens and some form of pact between the two nations eventuates then China will be emboldened to further press claims it already has and any future claims it may have both in the maritime areas adjacent to China as well as in the Arctic and Antarctica. This will create serious challenges to NZs security and economic wellbeing. Therefore when we discuss frigates and OPVs we should keep this in mind as well as the usual standard NZ pollie head in the sand approach to maritime and defence security issues.
Regarding the IPV / OPV mix,
if the IPVs are reduced and replaced with OPVs then numbers are very important. If there is a change of govt at the election then Goff may be able to persuade the Cabinet to fund say another three or four OPVs to protect his beloved fisheries BUT at what expense? If the govt isn't changed then we lose two IPVs for one OPV and will it be capable of doing what is best for NZ Inc?
To whit frigates. I am of the firm opinion that NZ Inc., needs three frigates or two frigates and possibly an Absalon type ship built to milspecs. At the present point in time an Absalon type would be desirable and in FOC before the current ANZAC frigates are due to be replaced, in order that we do have one frigate type vessel available at all times. We have spoken of the advantages of an Absalon type before and one of them is as a c2 or c3 (or possibly c4) ship when it is not practical to have CTY in the mix, plus all the other capabilities said vessel has. Think Defence have a
section devoted to the Type 26. I think that at present it would be a front runner for the RNZN ANZAC replacement especially if we can take the expensive stuff from the ANZAC
FSU through as planned, much like the RN intend doing with kit from their Type 23 frigates. The RNZN would be looking at the GP variant of the Type 26, rather than the ASW or anti air variants. This is further along than any mooted Australian ANZAC replacement and considering that the RNZN ANZACs, are looking to being replaced around 2025 - 2027, then they (Aussies) will have to start things soonish.
That's my take on things at the moment.