Agree that Canterbury has been a brand new capability for RNZN, and they are on a steep learning curve. Dubious about replacement with a superior vessel in the foreseeable future, nice though that would be.
http://www.defence.govt.nz/pdfs/reports-publications/defence-capability-plan-2011.pdf
Looking back at the Defence Capability Plan p33), it envisaged the new tanker entering service in mid-2019, with the Littoral Warfare ship being delivered in 2018. Interesting that the RFI's went out in the opposite order.
I don't know much about the RAN, but that infallible source (!) Wikipedia had this to say
.
If correct, the time frame for the tanker builds matches NZ closely. I still think a joint purchase is far from certain, unless it offers good cost benefits on both sides of the Tasman. Australia might see advantages in a Navantia design, to maintain commonality with the rest of their Spanish-designed fleet. This is irrelevant to NZ. Similarly, Australia may wish to build locally for political/industrial reasons while NZ will be looking for an offshore-built turn-key solution.
ASC - Presenting the Aegir 18A
This could still fit with ASC's Aegir proposal, splitting the build between Korea and Australia. But it only makes sense to NZ if Aust/NZ agree on a common design, and adding ASC into the BMT/DSME mix doesn't raise costs.
I don't know that I'd be holding my breath that Australia and NZ would go down the path of a 'joint' purchase, and regardless of a joint purchase, even ending up with the same class of ships, but hey, who knows!
If the
Aegir ships built in SK do turn out to be as cheap as the various figures published for the UK and Norwegian ships being purchased, that's probably the path I reckon NZ would follow.
You would have to imagine that the
Cantabria design would be the frontrunner for the RAN after having spent almost all of last year here, the reported commonality of systems with the LHD's and AWD's and added to that the existing relationship with BAE and Navantia, and the need to save job's at Williamstown too.
Obviously the right type of ship needs to be selected for the RAN, but if both those design do meet the requirement, it may come down to who offers the best industry package.
I would imagine that if the BAE / Cantabria bid was selected that the ships may be built in a similar fashion to the LHD's, hulls build in Spain, superstructure built in Williamstown and integrated in Williamstown (probably not much block work for Adelaide or Newcastle with this option).
On the other hand if the ASC / Aegir selection was made, and the proposed 3 hulls were selected, it would see the first two built in SK (and that is where it might be interesting if NZ was involved in the project too) and the third ship completely built here with block work going to both Williamstown and Newcastle.
But since ASC release that PDF regarding their proposal, I do remember reading somewhere (might have been APDR magazine) that ASC had said that their offering would also include the 'commonality' with systems on both the AWD's and LHD's and I also think they said that instead of building 2 in SK and one here, it could be done the other way too.
I remember just prior to the 2013 election the then Government was talking about speeding up the process for the replacement of Success and Sirius, but things seem to have gone a bit quiet since then.
I suspect that we may not see anything from Government till the new 2015 DWP has been released, but then again, in the last little while the new Government has made announcements about the P-8A's, Triton and of course the F-35A's, so maybe we might see some defence related announcements in the soon to be announced Federal Budget.