Hi Todjaegr,
It is captain Hendrix who has suggested that a saturation attack by DF-21 could sink or disable a carrier, Not me.
I well understand that the US is already working on several ways to disrupt the DF-21 killl chain. cheers.
I know. I was pointing out that at present, the 'threat' presented by a DF-21D saturation attack is a theoretical one, and that there are some real questions as to whether technical issues which would need to be resolved before an ASBM attack would be a viable threat.
Some commentators on defence matters tend to look at new/upcoming weapon systems and treat them like 'silver bullet' systems, while ignoring the supporting systems which either support the new weapon system, or would be used to oppose it.
In this case, the ballistic missile which the DF-21D was based off of has a CEP of ~50 m IIRC. That is against a stationary target. Using the same or a very similar sort of ballistic missile against a maneuvering vessel at sea adds in several additional variables which would be inclined to reduce the chances of a hit, beyond what a CEP of 50 m already does.
To ignore the need for the incoming ballistic missile/warhead to be able to maneuver to adjust for changes in the position of the target, and particularly the difficulties in being able to have something on a ballistic trajectory maneuver, is to overstate the threat.
At the same time, the PRC has not demonstrated the sort of broad area maritime surveillance capabilities which would allow mid- to long-ranged warshots at a CBG.
All of this is without the US devoting resources to making it more difficult to target USN vessels. I fully expect that the US is carefully watching Chinese ISR developments, along with ballistic missile technology, to see if the capability is or becomes real.
-Cheers