I first read this article in Pacific Sentinel blog Pacific Sentinel and followed the link back to original source, the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses in New Delhi Towards an Asia-Pacific Alliance | Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses It argues that the US is slowly pushing Asia - Pacific nations into a NATO type arrangement in order to deter Chinese expansionism and perceived aggression. Much as NATO did against the USSR and subsequent Warsaw Pact. The authors also suggested that in the long term, for this to work properly, eventually China would have to be included within the security sphere. This Asia - Pacific incarnation of NATO would include NZ and Australia and of course the US. No mention is made of Russia.
We had SEATO back in the 1950s and 1960s, which was an attempt to replicate NATO in SEA and the Pacific, to confront the scourge of communism in its Soviet form and its Chinese form. However SEATO didn't survive because of a lack of internal cohesion and common purpose within the group of treaty nations. Therefore one would have to ask, has that changed today some 40 or 50 years later? In NZs case we are keen to make defence committments as a matter of foreign policy, but our pollies don't have the moral fortitude or common sense, to backup their promises with adequate resourcing of NZDF, which is going to be the ones who have to carry out the committments. 50 years ago we had an air force and navy that could project NZ diplomacy and govt policy within the international arena, as well as meeting committments made by the NZG. No longer does that situation exist and a scion of SEATO, if it eventuates, is going to place a great deal of extra pressure on NZDF.
One can argue, relatively easily, that it would be in NZs best interest for such a security treaty structure to exist, but having said that, unless there is a 180 degree change in attitude by Kiwi pollies, and significantly greater access to resources and funding given to NZDF, then NZ entering such an agreement would, IMHO, not be in NZDFs best interest, because it wouldn't have the capability to meet the committments required of it, and that could do it irrepairable harm.
We had SEATO back in the 1950s and 1960s, which was an attempt to replicate NATO in SEA and the Pacific, to confront the scourge of communism in its Soviet form and its Chinese form. However SEATO didn't survive because of a lack of internal cohesion and common purpose within the group of treaty nations. Therefore one would have to ask, has that changed today some 40 or 50 years later? In NZs case we are keen to make defence committments as a matter of foreign policy, but our pollies don't have the moral fortitude or common sense, to backup their promises with adequate resourcing of NZDF, which is going to be the ones who have to carry out the committments. 50 years ago we had an air force and navy that could project NZ diplomacy and govt policy within the international arena, as well as meeting committments made by the NZG. No longer does that situation exist and a scion of SEATO, if it eventuates, is going to place a great deal of extra pressure on NZDF.
One can argue, relatively easily, that it would be in NZs best interest for such a security treaty structure to exist, but having said that, unless there is a 180 degree change in attitude by Kiwi pollies, and significantly greater access to resources and funding given to NZDF, then NZ entering such an agreement would, IMHO, not be in NZDFs best interest, because it wouldn't have the capability to meet the committments required of it, and that could do it irrepairable harm.