Interesting reading everybody’s 2 cents worth about what to do with the "gap" in future naval construction, for what it’s worth, here’s mine.
First thing I looked at was the current Defence Capability Plan and Guide, the projects are in order of IOC:
JP2048 Ph4 A/B - 2 x LHD – IOC 2014-16 (currently under construction)
SEA 4000 - 3 x AWD’s due in service between 2016-19 (currently under construction)
SEA 1180 - 20 x OCV’s - IOC 2018-21
SEA 1654 - 1 x AOR, Success replacement - IOC 2018-23
JP 2048 Ph 5 - 6 x Landing Craft Heavy – IOC 2022-24
JP 2048 Ph 4C - 1 x Strategic Sealift Ship – IOC 2022-2024
SEA 1000 - 12 x Submarines – IOC 2025-27
SEA 5000 - 8 x Future Frigates – IOC 2027-30
Excluding the 3 AWD’s and the 2 LHD’s under construction there are another 48 vessels currently planned.
The discussion at the moment revolves around the “gap” in construction between the last AWD and the first of the 12 Submarines.
Another question is, if all of the above are built in Australia do we have a potential problem in the future with a “bottle neck” happening when various projects overlap? It’s either a “feast or famine” for the ship building industry.
Also which yards are going to be the lead for assembly, which yards will build the blocks, etc. This is not just a question of industrial capacity but also a “political” question too, this and future governments will no doubt want to “spead the love” around the country from an employment point of view too.
My 2 cents worth is:
Adelaide - If the $’s can be found, build a 4th AWD to fill the gap before the 12 Submarines start construction, get the Submarine design right and don’t rush into construction till it is.
Melbourne - As soon as the LHD’s are complete, if the facilities are large enough and if Navy is happy with Cantabria too, start building a replacement there for Success and maybe follow up with a 2nd as a replacement for Sirius too.
Newcastle - With the last of the LCH going out of commission in the next couple of years, move the IOC forward and start construction of their replacements soon. Also at a later date build the Stategic Sealift Ship there too.
WA – Austal to construct the 20 OCV’s.
Where do we build the 8 Future Frigates?
Once Adelaide starts on the 12 Submarines, is it going to have the capacity to also construct the 8 Future Frigates? If the answer is no, maybe have them assembled in Melbourne or split across two yards.
Block construction for all the projects could also be spead around the various yards mentioned as their work load decreases on their primary project.
Anyway, that’s my 2 cents worth!!!