F-35 Multirole Joint Strike Fighter

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Aussie Digger

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At some point it simply has to be accepted that the F-35 program has been managed very poorly, as the current program manager Adm Vinlet stated to Congress on March 15th, and that delays keep getting announced. Now USAF IOC is stated to have another 2 year delay from 2016 to 2018 in the 2nd panels USAF submitted remarks to the above hearing.

At this point the program has completed around 500 of 7,700 test flights. Based on what is known now IOC will be 2018. Would a fool assume 2018 or that with 7,200 test flights to go that perhaps some more design changes will be required causing further delays?

The USN is buying more new F/A-18E/F's to compensate for delays in F-35 as well as planning for a long range LO strike UCAS to complement the F-18's and eventual F-35's. Long term they are working on another aircraft to replace the F-18's.

The USAF not buying any new tactical fighters for a generation and betting the farm on the F-35 was a hideous mistake. If not more F-22's then they should have purchased more F-15/16's. The only result of this poor decision will be a reduction in force structure as they will not be able to afford large enough yearly buys of F-35's to support the current force.

One can be a strong supporter of the F-35 and still be realistic about it's ongoing problems.
Flight testing is at about 700 flights now (687 prior to March 8). Admittedly most of the fleet was grounded last week, but 7 are back in the air now and 55 flights in total are planned for March 2011, with at least 24 out of these 55 having been flown by March 8.

You can say the progam has been poorly managed or you can say that perhaps the program was overly ambitious to start with. Certainly the idea of coupling the F-35B STOVL aircraft capability into the same basic airframe for F-35 variants doesn't seem like such a hot idea with the benefit of hindsight, nor does the idea of coupling the test and development phase of the 3 variant together seem such a good idea, now that one variant has run into more development trouble than the other two and they've had to be "de-coupled" not yet a third of the way through the development phase.

However, such comments are with the benefit of hindsight. If you wish, you can pick apart virtually any such program, but what you can't do is deny that for whatever reason the USA set for itself an enormous challenge, that will in all likelyhood be met.

Let us hope that in future a slightly more realistic approach is agreed upon earlier. Meanwhile I'll enjoy the unprecedented insight into what it takes to build a modern 5th Gen fighter aircraft.

And videos like these, where you can see some very interesting things...

[nomedia="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XQyf2jeElyg&feature=feedu"]YouTube - F-35 Flight Test Highlights[/nomedia]
 

Volkodav

The Bunker Group
Verified Defense Pro
I am curious to which airframe the inevitable future models of the F-35, the two seater, the SEAD version, the enhanced deep penetrator (F-15E replacement) etc will be based on. Logic would seem to suggest the larger, heavier, stronger F-35C.

The F-15 was launched with the motto of "Not a pound for air to ground" and both the F-16 and F-17/18 were conceived as lightweight dog fighters to engage the hordes of Migs expected in WWIII. All three are now multi role strike aircraft that spend most of their time dropping bombs on and shooting missiles at ground targets.

There will be evolved versions of the F-35 for decades to come; I'm just intrigued as to what when and how.
 

LGB

New Member
This is not correct. The USAF has made various statements regarding the new 2 year delay, this delay was leaked by CAPE around 5 months ago, this delay was reported in Airforce Magazine online for March 17th, and submitted in written testimony to Congress on March 15th by the USAF and GAO.

This new delay is based on the TBR. It would have been in fact shocking to have no new program delays given the TBR.

A two year delay doesn't mean the sky is falling. However, everyone interested in the program should fully understand that the current forecast is based on less than 10% of 7,700 flight tests being flown so far. There are no assurances that new problems will arise resulting in more required design changes that could cause further delays.



From the testimony:



Like I said, the expected delay is the one that pushed the IOC from a 2014 timeframe to a 2016 timeframe.
 

Todjaeger

Potstirrer
This is not correct. The USAF has made various statements regarding the new 2 year delay, this delay was leaked by CAPE around 5 months ago, this delay was reported in Airforce Magazine online for March 17th, and submitted in written testimony to Congress on March 15th by the USAF and GAO.

This new delay is based on the TBR. It would have been in fact shocking to have no new program delays given the TBR.

A two year delay doesn't mean the sky is falling. However, everyone interested in the program should fully understand that the current forecast is based on less than 10% of 7,700 flight tests being flown so far. There are no assurances that new problems will arise resulting in more required design changes that could cause further delays.
Per the copy of the GAO report linked in the Air Force magazine here, the GAO mentioned that it expected the USMC IOC date of 2012 to slip, as well as the USAF and USN IOC dates in 2016 to slip. There was not a mention that I came across in the GAO report of an expection additional two year delay to IOC. The main references I came across to 2018 is that is when LRIP is expected to end with full rate production commencing. That is also the expected date of total system development completion.

Unless I am missing something, the F-35A/C models could well reach IOC in 2016. There could of course be additional delays as well, but at present, no recent delays have been announced that I am aware of. The GAO as of March 15th have concerns about the amount of flight testing and software coding which has been completed so far with captions like the following from Bloomberg.

Lockheed F-35 Faces ‘Significant’ Software Delays, GAO Says
When makes mention a potential two year delay curious is the following quoted from prepared testimony here.

The Air Force’s position on IOC remains unchanged. We will declare IOC for our F-35As based on achieving the required ORD-compliant capability and capacity criteria, and not on a specific date. We are currently analyzing the impacts to program delivery timelines due to the most recent program restructure, and the results of this analysis will be available later this year. When this analysis is complete, the Air Force will reevaluate our IOC estimate, but we currently expect up to a two year delay.
Note the bolded sentences at the very beginning and end of the paragraph. Given that, it suggests there might be a delay (perhaps another one, perhaps the same delay as current) and whatever delay the general was speaking of could be up to two years. In short, there was a great deal of doublespeak (no surprise given D.C.) without a definite declaration of "Yes, there is another delay of nn time," or "No, things are on schedule and IOC will occur in 20xx."

At this time, we need to give more time to see what develops.

-Cheers
 

LGB

New Member
Daily Report Archive

From March 17th

Another F-35A IOC Slip Looms: The Air Force may have to wait up to two additional years beyond the current estimate before its first unit of F-35A strike fighters is declared ready for operations, according to two senior service officials. Last June, Air Combat Command estimated that it would be able to reach initial operational capability with the F-35A in 2016. But this may change depending on the outcome of subsequent ongoing analysis weighing the impacts of the most recent F-35 program changes, said Lt. Gen. Herbert Carlisle, deputy chief of staff for operations, plans, and requirements, and Lt. Gen. Mark Shackelford, military deputy to USAF's acquisition executive, in a joint statement submitted to the House Armed Services Committee's tactical air and land forces panel Tuesday. "When this analysis is complete [later this year], the Air Force will reevaluate our IOC estimate, but we currently expect up to a two-year delay," they wrote. (Carlisle-Shackelford prepared testimony) (See also DOD F-35 fact sheet outlining program changes.)
 

bonehead

New Member
F35 Delays

Does anyone know when the in service dates may now be expected due to the delays, and or possible know knock on effects to the order books
 
I know this may be a bit odd but won't all these delays mean the UK government have more time to find the money and still be in the same place in the build queue?
Maybe we won't have carriers chugging round the world with no planes on them after all.
 

Rickredline

New Member
I am under the impression that these awesome projects f22/35 have already been shelved??
I am further under the impression that what the Russians have done in terms of developing thrust vectoring has pretty much rendered obsolete to a large enough degree all the developments that would have made the f22/35's worthwhile.
What is the latest on these planes? Can US/EURO collaboration field anything competitive with the latest Russian designs?
 

Sea Toby

New Member
Does anyone know when the in service dates may now be expected due to the delays, and or possible know knock on effects to the order books
When they are operational I don't think anyone knows as testing is ongoing. But the aircraft are being bought and built... The delay is for IOC, not construction per say...

Having said that, software is still being wrote and the tweaks still have to be tested... But the program hasn't come to a complete and utter stop...
 

Cailet

Member
I am under the impression that these awesome projects f22/35 have already been shelved??
I am further under the impression that what the Russians have done in terms of developing thrust vectoring has pretty much rendered obsolete to a large enough degree all the developments that would have made the f22/35's worthwhile.
What is the latest on these planes? Can US/EURO collaboration field anything competitive with the latest Russian designs?
Hmmm, Thrust vectoring or VLO, networking, AESA radar and a modern Ewar package?

I know which one I'd have and it ain't the one that wows the crowds at an airshow.

What makes the F-35 special isn't it's performance numbers, it won't set records for speed or turn rate or any of that. What it will do is use it's own 'stealth' abilities and modern advances in data-sharing to win fights before it's opponent can engage it.

The nearest Russian competitor (PAK-FA) is nowhere near entering service and when it does, whatever it's capabilities end up being it will be following in the trail blazed by the F-22/F-35, if it has TVC that won't be it's selling point to anyone other than the Russian Knights, what the airforce cares about is warfighting capability.

The F-35 certainly hasn't been cancelled. F-22 has ceased production due to cost and changed political priorities but is in service (maybe even in action, I'm not sure) as I type.

Honestly, I'd recommend a quick trip to Wikipedia, you won't find much in the way of quality assessment there but a quick comparison of the progress of the various projects would be a good place to start.
 

SpudmanWP

The Bunker Group
Turkey REALLY wants the codes and puts a hold on the order.

Bigger question, what are they talking about in the underlined sections?

Turkey Puts F-35 Order on Hold Over US Refusal to Share Technology


(Source: Today’s Zaman; published March 23, 2011)



Turkey has announced that it is putting the planned purchase of 100 F-35 fighter jets from the US on hold because the Pentagon refuses to share the source code used in the software designed for the aircraft as well as the codes that might be used externally to activate the planes.

Defense Minister Vecdi Gönül said on Tuesday, following a meeting of the Defense Industry Implementation Committee (SSİK), that the negotiations over the F-35 procurement tender had not yielded “satisfactory results.” He said, “We will evaluate the order in the next meeting, in light of the progress made in the talks by then.”

He said much ground had been covered in the talks in terms of technology sharing, but this was not enough for Turkey to accept the jets. He said the costs of the project had also increased but that the Turkish side had failed to secure the source code and the remote flight codes for the planes for which it will be paying $16 billion.

Without the source code, Turkish engineers wouldn't be able to make any changes to the software that operates the jets. The external flight codes are equally important, if not more, as they can be used externally to navigate the jets.

Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Chief of General Staff Gen. Işık Koşaner and Minister Gönül attended Monday's SSİK meeting, which took place at the Undersecretariat for the Defense Industry (SSM) offices.
 

jack412

Active Member
i guess it could be the optionally manned or it may be the pilot doing WSO stuff and handing off flight duties, that they are refering to
either way, as I understand it, Turkey or anyone else isnt going to get the core OS codes, eg windows, you only get access to subsystems and plug and play

2006, Lockheed Martin reveals plans for unmanned F-35 JSF among other new UAV concepts
Lockheed Martin reveals plans for unmanned F-35 JSF among other new UAV concepts-15/08/2006-Washington DC-Flightglobal.com
 

Todjaeger

Potstirrer
I am under the impression that these awesome projects f22/35 have already been shelved??
I am further under the impression that what the Russians have done in terms of developing thrust vectoring has pretty much rendered obsolete to a large enough degree all the developments that would have made the f22/35's worthwhile.
What is the latest on these planes? Can US/EURO collaboration field anything competitive with the latest Russian designs?
This might be the impression you have, but several areas are incorrect, if not opposite what you seem to think.

The F-22 Raptor is no longer in production, but has entered service (~183 IIRC). The F-35A/B/C Lightning II is in flight and system testing, and also due to commence LRIP soon, if it has not already done so.

I could be mistaken, but the F-35 I believe is considerably further along in testing and development than the PAK-FA, with the F-35 having achieved first flight December 15th, 2006. The PAK-FA on the other hand, did not have its first flight until January of 2010.

As for thrust vectoring negating advances made by the F-22 and F-35 programmes... That is not accurate in the least. All thrust vectoring does is (potentially) increase the maneuverability of an aircraft. That maneuverability increase can aid an aircraft in a dogfight, and/or escape/evade inbound missiles, but not much more than that, at least from a warfighting perspective. Flight demos for airshows are of course a completely different story.

Where the real work has been done on the F-22 and F-35 programmes is in the areas of Sig management, sensor fusion, systems integration (more the F-35 than the F-22) and maintenance reduction. All of these have impacts on warfighting capabilities.

With Sig management, the aircraft can become harder for enemy assets to detect, target and engage. It is much better if ones enemy does not know that one is present and therefore does not get shot at, than to be better at evading shots the enemy takes. With sensor fusion, more and more distributed sensor systems gave a better picture of a battle space, making it easier for enemy targets to be detected and engaged. With Sig management and sensor fusion acting in concert, an aircraft can become capable of taking effective warshots at hostile aircraft, before the hostiles even become aware they are being engaged. Put another way, Sig management and sensor fusion are capabilities that enable one to act, thrust vectoring only allows one to (possibly) react.

Now, here at DT we do not like "vs." type threads, as it does lead to nationalist chest thumping of "no, MY country is better..." type discussions, and the question of competitive designs does sound like where this could head. Having said that...

In the US/European aerospace industry there have been several new aircraft designs which came out in the US and Europe after the fall of the Soviet Union. Granted some of them originated from Cold War era design requirements, these are still new aircraft. In the US there are the F/A-18E/F Super Hornet, EA-18G Growler, the F-22 Raptor and the upcoming F-35A/B/C Lightning II. For Europe, there is the Eurofighter Typhoon, Rafale and Gripen. In addition to these, there are the various earlier aircraft designs which have had updates done and/or new variants developed.

By contrast, Russia has three 'new' aircraft in development. These are namely the PAK-FA, the MiG-35, and the Su-35. Of these, the Su-35 is a development of the Su-27, while the MiG-35 is a development of the MiG-29M, albeit heavier and with new avionics. In short, the PAK-FA is really the only entirely 'new' design from a platform/airframe level. Hence why it could be designed from the start to be LO.

Another area to keep in mind, and consider the ramifications of. Since the fall of the Iron Curtain, and the breakup of the Soviet Union, how many air campaigns has Russia waged, and how many has the US/NATO engaged in? That sort of operational experience, both in terms of what sort of kit/capabilities a force requires, as well as testing of doctrine, will dictate service needs.

-Cheers
 

F-15 Eagle

New Member
As for thrust vectoring negating advances made by the F-22 and F-35 programmes... That is not accurate in the least. All thrust vectoring does is (potentially) increase the maneuverability of an aircraft. That maneuverability increase can aid an aircraft in a dogfight, and/or escape/evade inbound missiles, but not much more than that, at least from a warfighting perspective. Flight demos for airshows are of course a completely different story.
The F/A-18 Super Hornet does not need thrust vectoring and it still can put on one hell of an airshow.:D

[nomedia="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a4KF5KUVtUQ&feature=channel_video_title"]YouTube - 2010 Joint Services Open House - F/A-18F Super Hornet Demonstration[/nomedia]
 

SpudmanWP

The Bunker Group
The first two F-35A LRIP jets (AF-6&7) have made their first flight.

There are 12 flying and 7 non-flying SDD aircraft that have been produced.

A total of 94 production F-35s (2-12-17-31-32) are at some stage of production. Two have flown and another 2 are off the production line.
 
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Todjaeger

Potstirrer
The F/A-18 Super Hornet does not need thrust vectoring and it still can put on one hell of an airshow.:D

YouTube - 2010 Joint Services Open House - F/A-18F Super Hornet Demonstration
My point was that while TVC is nice, it is not really a game-changer. A modern aircraft and airframe can withstand ~15G maneuvers. A fit pilot, in the latest flight suits, can operate for short times at 11G before blacking/redding out. That still falls well short of the 50G to 60G that current air to air missiles can manuever.

-Cheers
 

F-15 Eagle

New Member
My point was that while TVC is nice, it is not really a game-changer. A modern aircraft and airframe can withstand ~15G maneuvers. A fit pilot, in the latest flight suits, can operate for short times at 11G before blacking/redding out. That still falls well short of the 50G to 60G that current air to air missiles can manuever.

-Cheers
I agree with you.

Thats why I posted the F/A-18 video to prove your point.;) TVC is not that big of a deal, thus fighters like the F/A-18 and F-35 are not needing it.

F-35 test pilots say the F-35 is almost as maneuverable as the F-22...not quite but almost and more so than any legacy F-15 or F-16.
 

Abraham Gubler

Defense Professional
Verified Defense Pro
i guess it could be the optionally manned or it may be the pilot doing WSO stuff and handing off flight duties, that they are refering to
either way, as I understand it, Turkey or anyone else isnt going to get the core OS codes, eg windows, you only get access to subsystems and plug and play
The F-35 in its current forms is not optionally manned. However the plane can fly itself so the pilot can concentrate on the air battle. Basically it can fly in a point and click manner like many autonomous UAVs.

The Turks are just being overly demanding as is their way. Once again they've overplayed their hand for domestic consumption.
 
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