I know this is a change of subject, but it is something that has concerned me for years.
Back in the '60's. the RAAF had some 40 Australian assembled Canberra Light Bombers, and 112 Australian assembled Mirages 111'.s. With the retirement of the F111;s, we will have some 70 FA18;s and 24 F/A 18F's, until such time as the F35's arrive to replace the F/A18's.
Now it should be obvious to one and all that like the RAN, the RAAF has been allowed to downsize. Australia has grown considerably since the '60's, by maybe 20%. The RAN and RAAF should also have grown in proportion, not shrunk.
The F111 should have been retired 10 - 12 years ago, and we should now be considering an upgrade to its replacement. The F/A-18 should have been replaced about the time it was realised the bodies were wearing out, some 5 years ago. And I see we are going to replace our 18 Orions with 8 aircraft. Another example of downsizing.
I know some will argue that the replacement aircraft are far more capable than the previous aircraft, but is'nt that always the case?
Again, we should be increasing the size of our air force and navy to reflect the growth of our population and economy.
RAN and RAAF are not alone. Army has shrunk overall too (ELF be damned!) and it's qualitative edge has been allowed to diminish significantly (there is no longer a capability within Army that provides over-match within the SEA region, with the possible exception of SOCOMD... Even our M1A1 and LAND 17 projects at best will allow us to catch up to regional capabilities already extant, though in FAR smaller quantities...)
Our defence budget keeps rising, but the force we possess that is qualitatively sufficient to allow it to deploy to a modern battlespace keeps shrinking. One wonders where all that money is going...
RAAF submitted a proposal to "grow" to a fifth operational fighter squadron to adequately support the Army's "Enhanced Land Force" expansion a couple of years back. Such would have brought us back to a force level of about 120x tactical fighters.
The outcome of this request can be seen by all and sundry...
Of course our capability is far greater today than it has been in years gone by, but there is no doubting the fact that RAAF's operational fighter strike capability has reduced in quantity over the years.
I actually consider it extremely lucky that they've managed to stay at 4x operational fighter squadrons. The RAAF itself recommended reducing it's capability to only 3x F/A-18A/B+ Hornet Squadrons in the 2000 White Paper, with the alleged overall capability improved with the addition of long ranged standoff missiles, greater PGM capability and a handful of new air to air refuellers.
Thank god the much maligned Brendan Nelson had the foresight to insist upon acquiring the Super Hornets or RAAF would be hard pressed arguing their much touted "over match" status within SEA. Given our defence structure is still largely defined by the structure that Paul DIBB enabled to be put in place, it doesn't say much for the Australian Governance of Defence, that it's primary strategy no longer achieves it's aim (obvious over match of air and sea capabilities to defend the air-sea gap and mobile land based forces designed to defeat "limited incursions".)
JASSM is a good missile (provided Defence ever manage to complete it's integration on the Hornets...) and JDAM's are top shelf PGM's no doubt about it, but they don't do much for concurrent operational capability...