The RAN isn't going to go nuclear.
Submarines are certainly are a problem. Skills and knowledge are so specific and specialised that they are easily lost, submarines themselves are inherently complicated and every part is critical.
I think with the next generation of submarines they take a conservative approach and adopt low risk technologies and proven equipment. 12 hulls will help absorbs costs in development across greater number of hulls, these costs would exists if there was 4 boats or 12 boats.
12 boats allows you to spread out the construction in a more sustainable manner.
Australia has been talking about 8 submarines for a very long time. The Oberons were ment to be 8 subs, collins was ment to be 8 subs. Going from 6 to 12 is not impossible in the next few decades. First one won't be commisioned until 2025 and then only 1 max a year to be built, your talking about 2035 assuming everything is on time to get up to 12. No one crewing a Collins now would be expected to kick in much time on its replacement.
Nuclear submarines aren't without issue and would hardly be a cost saving.Brazil has spend $10billion on 4 conventional submarines with nuclear transfer agreements. They already have a decent domestic nuclear industry so you can easily add $10 billion on minium capability for Australia.
You say the first won't be commisioned until 2025, I have my doubts, with only one active Collins boat and more issues with reliability involving long periods in deep maintenance (possible cutting open of hulls), it might get to the stage where a new buy has to be brought forward simply because there is no other option.
One active boat out of six is unacceptable for the defence of a country the size of Aus. The way things are going sub crews will start losing confidence in the platform and will not want to deploy far from home for safety reasons, combine this with the recent problems associated with the Aussie submarine rescue system and the silent service suddenly appears an unattractive employment option.
When the LHP's are built and deployed you will need to have at least one Collins to cover the ARG & support SF beach recce operations, not forgetting any other covert long endurance tasks supporting strategic intelligence gathering in support of the nations national interests. I would have thought you need a minimum of three active: one in reserve / training, one transitting to/from a deployment area, and one on active deployment.