The USA is forbidden by international agreements from supplying Australia with nuclear-powered submarines or their propulsion. The same agreements ban, for example, France from supplying Brazil with reactors for its planned nuclear submarines, & explain why the offered French development assistance does not include help with the reactors.
As always you bring up some excellent points and some that I was unaware of. That said, I will repeat I was not discussing the political view. More to the point that a SSN would be better suited to the requirement stated for Australia's Future Submarines. Regardless, while I don't consider it likely that the US would change the current international agreements as you've stated. Nor, the fact that Australia could politically embrace Nuclear Power for its Submarines at this time. You never know???
Regardless, if Australia does go the Conventional Route. It will be very interesting to see the end result??? Something not likely to be as effective within the Littorals as a SSK or a SSN in Blue Water Operations.
Sorry, doesn't sound like a good idea to me? Yet, to make any worth while assessment. We would need vastly more information. Sadly, that's many many years off.
Brazil has a much larger economy, & (unlike Australia) a domestic nuclear power industry. It has lower internal prices than Australia, & sizable domestic defence industries, so that much of its military expenditure (e.g. supporting its equipment fleets, manpower costs) is at those lower domestic prices. Conversion at exchange rates therefore understates Brazilian expenditure relative to Australias. The budgetary bases also differ, & IIRC Brazilian reactor development is not paid for from the defence budget. BTW, when one looks at the
actual Brazilian defence budget for 2009 (do you read Portuguese?), one finds that it is about USD30 billion, not the USD24 bn reported by Wikipedia. Maybe Wikipedia used the wrong exchange rate.
My source was "globalfirepower.com" Which, compilies its information from several sources. As for the cost of Australia's Future Submarine. Its going to be extremely expensive and take decades to build and develope. Which, was part of my point with an American SSN's. As its already in production and the design is mature and ready. So, while Nuclear Submarines are expensive. The Future Submarine that Australia is talking about could very well be more expensive. Not counting the decades it will take to get it to maturity. (and it may not be as capable when it does enter service)
When German submarines in WW2 started losing the Battles of the Atlantic, they had to transit through waters patrolled by hundreds of ships & thousands of aircraft. Their bases, & therefor the start of their transits, were within range of WW2 fighter-bombers based in the UK, . In those circumstances, surfaced transits would be suicidal today - but who can create such conditions in open oceans today? Certainly not any potential enemy of Australia.
Most German Submarines left for there patrols from Western France. Which, is out of range for most fighter bombers of the period. Plus, they usually departed at dusk. Which, would give them a good 200-240 mile advantage before day light. Not knowing the precise route of the submarine and when it left of course. My detection pretty hard. Of course as time went and Allied Aicraft, Ships, and most importantly Radars improved. The tide change considerably.
As for potential threats and enemies. Any Submarine that operates in todays environment on the Surface. Would be in grave danger in my opinion.
Well, I have to go.
Until next time!