Russia is apparently preparing an offensive operation to take the Georgian city of Zugdidi. Witnesses report "hundreds" of Russian military vehicles and tanks massing on the Abkhazian side.
Civilians have fled the city by the tens of thousands.
It looks like Russia's endgame here is
1. To destroy as much as they can of Georgia's military infrastructure
2. To fully occupy all of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, on the road to incorporation into the Russian Federaton
and
3a. To station "peacekeepers" many kilometers deep past Abkhazian/Ossetian borders [i.e., in the territory they will seize in the upcoming offensives].
OR
3b. (Preferably) to topple the government and put a nice "pro-Russian" government in Tbilisi instead. [A puppet state]. Making "peacekeepers" in 'Georgia proper' unnecessary.
When the smoke clears, Russia will possess perhaps 25%-30% of Georgian territory, while the West did nothing at all to stop it. This small little war may be a paradigm-changer in world affairs. "When push comes to shove", Russia can shove around any small country and NATO will talk, talk, talk, but nothing more?