USA Fighter Dilemma

God Bless USA

New Member
First according to globalsecurity web site. Simulations conducted by British Aerospace and the British Defense Research Agency compared the effectiveness of the F-15C, Rafale, EF-2000, and F-22 against the Russian Su-35 armed with active radar missiles similar to the AIM-120 Advanced Medium Range Air-to-Air Missile (AMRAAM). The Rafale achieved a 1:1 kill ratio (1 Su-35 destroyed for each Rafale lost). The EF-2000 kill ratio was 4.5:1 while the F-22 achieved a ratio of 10:1. In stark contrast was the F-15C, losing 1.3 Eagles for each Su-35 destroyed. The F-15 Eagle is ageing (and falling apart in flight) and the F-22 Raptor is very expensive. Now what would you do to remedy USA fighter program for the future?
 

Scorpion82

New Member
Well the studies were conducted about a decade ago a lot has changed since then and the results of these studies aren't fully representive. One F-15r falling apart doesn't mean the entire fleet is going to be falling apart. It is of course true that the Eagle is showing age and slowly needs to be replaced. For the years to come the F-15 will still be able to do the job as a part of the overall US war fighting machine. The F-22 won't be procured in sufficient numbers to replace the F-15 on a 1 to 1 basis, but don't forget about the F-35 which is also going to be a very capable air superiority platform.
 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
The Su-35 is a 4th gen, aircraft with some 5th gen. features (if we're talking about the BM version). You can't even compare it to the raptor. I'm assuming the (very generous) 10:1 ratio was gotten without factoring in AWACS availability, pilot proficiency, the availability of said advanced missiles etc. not to mention many other factors.
 

Scorpion82

New Member
The Su-35 is a 4th gen, aircraft with some 5th gen. features (if we're talking about the BM version). You can't even compare it to the raptor. I'm assuming the (very generous) 10:1 ratio was gotten without factoring in AWACS availability, pilot proficiency, the availability of said advanced missiles etc. not to mention many other factors.
The studies in question included multiple scenarios from 1vs1 to multi bogey scenarios including AWACS support. Different pilots were flying in different simulators. The Su-35 was in fact a fictional upgraded Su-27 which was supposed to be compareable to the Su-27M (old Su-35). The fact that these studies were conducted more than a decade ago should make you understand that. The simulation was of course limited to available data/information at that time and is therefore neither fully representive nor current.
 

God Bless USA

New Member
  • Thread Starter Thread Starter
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Re

The question remains. The USA has between 2000-3000 fighters. Raptors are great but very expensive. The F-15 Eagle needs no explanation because it record speaks for itself. Age is slowly catching up to the Eagle. I know in a few years the F-35 will be in production. Money wise the USA will only be able to produce the F-35 in large numbers. What if the Su-37 Terminator (Super Flanker) started full production, can the F-35 compete with it?
 

Grand Danois

Entertainer
The question remains. The USA has between 2000-3000 fighters. Raptors are great but very expensive. The F-15 Eagle needs no explanation because it record speaks for itself. Age is slowly catching up to the Eagle. I know in a few years the F-35 will be in production. Money wise the USA will only be able to produce the F-35 in large numbers. What if the Su-37 Terminator (Super Flanker) started full production, can the F-35 compete with it?
Yes. Because that "Super Flanker" will only be yet another rehash of the Flanker.
 

Todjaeger

Potstirrer
The question remains. The USA has between 2000-3000 fighters. Raptors are great but very expensive. The F-15 Eagle needs no explanation because it record speaks for itself. Age is slowly catching up to the Eagle. I know in a few years the F-35 will be in production. Money wise the USA will only be able to produce the F-35 in large numbers. What if the Su-37 Terminator (Super Flanker) started full production, can the F-35 compete with it?
A concept that must be remember, and DefPro and Senior members often bring up, is that the situation is about systems, not platforms.

In the case given above, what would the circumstances be, if there was an engagement between a US fighter (of any kind) and some Su or MiG fighter? Is the US penetrating hostile airspace? Or is it US airspace which is being defended? If one looks at how the US conducts an air campaign, the last few that have happen would suggest that an air combat capability is of less importance that multi-role functionality. Largely IMV due to the equipment and tactics developed to compromise IADS.

Once the IADS has been compromised (or collapsed) then US fighters no longer have airborne opposition to contend with and become bombtrucks.

As for the utility of air combat in actually carrying out the campaign against an IADS, given the availability of LO/VLO platforms, stand-off weaponry and ISR assets, I would expect most enemy fighter forces to be destroyed on the ground as opposed to engaged in the air.

I am not saying that there is no place for air superiority fighters in the US, just that it is not as important as it once was.

-Cheers
 

obrescia

Banned Member
Some will hate me...but..

Whether the F-22 (F-35) should enter service is largely academic. Our 'teen' airframes are wearing out.

The Gulf of Sidra incident, January 4, 1989; just about says all anyone needs to say on this subject matter. (Audio recording of engagement) Select download MP3 file

http://www.ka8vit.com/sd/shootdown.htm

The F-22 tactical use issues (never mind F-35, not even worth discussion) are:

1) Primary main weapon range / Newton’s second law of motion.
2) ECM detection of mid-course update transmission(s) for main weapon.
3) Thermal signature(s) of platform & main weapon.
4) Daylight/Moonlight contrail(s) of platform & main weapon.
5) Super-cruise only at high altitude.

Reason(s)

1) Despite claim(s) of an AIM-120D version, dimensions may be the issue. First, what is the amount of propellant possible in standard AIM-120 round? Second, FMRAAM (ramjet version) fitment inside F-22 weapons bay? The Europeans who were partnered on the AIM-120 program have since embarked on a more suitable weapon, the Meteor.

If the 'kinematics' augment is to be advanced by F-22 proponents as a key capability, to sweep the airspace of enemy fighters then there are several problems. They include: combined closure rate, maneuverability, airframe thermal heating due to air friction and hot exhaust exposure.

See:
http://www.ausairpower.net/APA-Raptor.html

Simplified Condition: Initial head-on frontal aspect intercept of Flanker (firing R-77M) by F-22 (firing AIM-120C). A flight of 4 to 6 Flankers flying at 500 knots, against flight of 4 Raptors flying in super cruise at 1500 knots. The combined closer rate of all aircraft would be 2000 knots (500 + 1500).

The 'kinematics' augment says that F-22 will use its faster speed to 'push' its AIM-120 missiles towards Flanker, If both opposing flights of aircraft fire their weapons, both attacker and defender missile range benefit from a head-on engagement via the closure rate. F-22 fires AIM-120C sooner but also effectively flies INTO Flankers IR R-77 (!) Missile range = launch aircraft speed + missile velocity + target speed. Raptor faces additional problems at higher speeds because of simple physics, thermal airframe heating (IRST detection) and reduced maneuvering potential due to the limits of pilot G-loads. Flanker moving at 500 knots would have enormous advantage in defensive maneuvering (AIM-120 avoidance) and to turn and fire on exiting Raptor.

Whatever the remaining aircraft, they now flash past each other at approximate 2000 knots and initiate turns, Raptor now exposes it’s hot exhaust to Flanker as F-22 make a wide sweeping turn due to it 1500 knot speed/pilot G-limit. The engagement then starts all over again. Typically this involves into a classic tuning/maneuvering contest...the dogfight.

This whole this boils down to this. If F-22 press their attack, closure rates will be so high and air-to-air weapons malfunctions (missiles fly wide) such a regular occurrence (on both sides) that F-22 aircrews will be in a dogfight within moments after calling "fox-3" Against the Advanced Flanker is truly a nightmare scenario.

R-77 See:
http://www.aerospaceweb.org/question/weapons/q0261.shtml

2) Flanker will most certainly be equipped with a Threat Warning System that listens for Raptors AIM-120 mid-course update (data burst transmission) after F-22 weapon release. From here two (2) things could happen. First, the Threat Warning System triggers automatic release of expendables (chaff/flares). See page 41 'c'. Second, Flanker pilot then initiates a defensive 'beaming' or 'beam-turn' maneuver. See page 36-37 'c', page 97 ’d’.

3) IRST see:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infra-red_search_and_track

Flanker uses as primary system for gun firing solution. Development/advancement cycles for IRST systems would be orders of magnitude more frequent than F-22 airframes changes, combined with IR-versions of the R-77 (R-77M1) missile being the first problem. The second is Flanker radar (slaved to IRST). The IRST may see something and then point its main radar straight at F-22, (straight to ‘track’).

The canard equipped versions of the flanker is an astonishing aircraft.
Please see: (w/sound)
[ame="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J1o3rov7cB4"]YouTube - Su-37 presentation video[/ame]

[ame="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xY0t_mPv6I4"]YouTube - Sukhoi SU-30 Flight Demonstration[/ame]

http://www.defensetech.org/archives/000976.html

Beaten the F-15 time to clime records,
http://www.ausairpower.net/flanker.html

http://www.air-races.com/aircraft/Sukhoi Su-31.htm

4) Self-evident. Anything supersonic makes contrails (even a smokeless AIM-120)

5) F-22 low-bypass engines are the key to its high altitude super cruise capability. Low bypass engines require more use of reheat (afterburner) at lower maneuvering speed and/or altitudes. This is plainly evident, see:
[ame="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rUgPscDjf7U"]YouTube - F22 Langley 2007 Friday Evening Demo[/ame]


Also F-22 unusual 'speed-brake' control scheme may also reveal its true nature as an aircraft more akin to the Lockheed YF-12, than the plane it replaces, the F-15, see:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_YF-12

If Raptor is to be flown at high altitudes and high speed vs. Advanced Flanker a situation similar to what occurred in the early stages of the Falkland conflict could emerge. Argentine Mirages stayed at high altitudes while Royal Navy Harriers remained at medium altitudes (neither side content to give away his advantage) in what is best described as a series of 'non-engagements'.

The Russians were forced to counter our superb F-14, F-15, F-16 and F-18. The Flanker appears to be able to that job (F-14 w/AIM-54 was a big maybe) very (very) well. Cope India was a nasty shock to air force brass. Yes the analysts tried to diminish the results, but they said the same thing about the cobra maneuver, (which the F-22 has been out copying). Now as we all know this maneuver was just a hint at Flankers jaw dropping agility – the analysts were wrong.

A astute observer may also notice things like published range for the F-16 and even the F-15 are always with drop tanks, the Mig-29 and Sukhoi are published without tanks.

All Flanker (and Mig-31) really need to do is scare off our AWACS, (Joint Stars) and tankers. Bottom line is the next war will likely start and end during the flight time of a KS-172.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Novator_KS-172_AAM-L

The Flanker airframe has enormous growth potential typified by the Su-27M and Su-34. The Advanced Flanker Series (canard/thrust vectoring) might just be….the most significant fighter aircraft since the Spitfire.

The Europeans tested the non-mid-course-update version of AMRAAM (AIM-120), and its kill probability dropped below that of their existing Skyflash weapon.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AIM-120_AMRAAM
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Skyflash

One last note. If Mr. Clancy's comments are correct: that a future opponent would need to indeed track every object down to say the size of an insect to 'see' the F-22 Raptor. Uh well, they'd just focus on "insect" sized object(s), flying in a straight line, line abreast of say about a mile separation, at high altitude, around 1.5+ Mach....

Those should be your F-22s.

The Russians appear to have thought through all these issues with the precision of a chess master.

Checkmate?

Note: China is in possession of large numbers of Flanker. Historically however the Chinese Air Force combat performance would best be described as abysmal.

- Olaf Brescia / Sacramento, CA

c) Iranian F-14 Tomcat Units In Combat- Cooper, Tom; Bishop, Farzad; Osprey Publishing, 2004.

d) ...And Kill MiGs, Air to Air Combat From Vietnam to the Gulf War (3rd), Squadron/Signal Publications, Lou Drendel.

e) Air War South Atlantic - Ethell, Jeffrey L.; Price, Alfred - New York, NY, USA: MacMillan, 1983.
 
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Grand Danois

Entertainer
Obrescia,

It would be appreciated if you would stop posting the same stuff again and again over multiple threads.

/GD


Also, it doesn't become fact because you post it again after it has been debunked.
 

Todjaeger

Potstirrer
[SNIP]Whether the F-22 (F-35) should enter service is largely academic. Our 'teen' airframes are wearing out.[/SNIP]
Now where have I read this before... Oh yeah, right here...

What posters have apparently repeatedly overlooked (or ignored) is how platforms/packages fit into overall systems, and how the overall system will respond.

As for the "simplified" condition, the accuracy of such a situation or scenario is questionable, but that has been gone over in some detail in this thread.

-Cheers

PS Oops... Beat me to it GD
 
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Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
The studies in question included multiple scenarios from 1vs1 to multi bogey scenarios including AWACS support. Different pilots were flying in different simulators. The Su-35 was in fact a fictional upgraded Su-27 which was supposed to be compareable to the Su-27M (old Su-35). The fact that these studies were conducted more than a decade ago should make you understand that. The simulation was of course limited to available data/information at that time and is therefore neither fully representive nor current.
So they were done.... with a fictional aircraft in mind? :unknown

What if the Su-37 Terminator (Super Flanker) started full production, can the F-35 compete with it?
What? Come on. The Su-37 was a Flanker experimenting with new TVC engines. The new Su-35BM is already superior to it. The Terminator is never going to enter serial production.
 

F-15 Eagle

New Member
Yes the F-15 is aging but the F-15C wont retire until 2025 when it will be replaced by the F-22 and F-35. The F-15E will remain in service until 2035 when it will be replaced by the new 2018 Bomber and the F-35. So the F-15 still has a lot of service left in it and it can still take on anything it comes up against. With the F-15s, F-16s, F-22s and the new F-35s the USAF has more then enough firepower in its arsenal and there is not any dilemma. Just because one F-15 broke apart does not mean the entire fleet is down. There has been a few F-15s that broke apart in the 1990s and early 2000s as well but the F-15s are still here.
 

obrescia

Banned Member
Look to just about every thread you have posted in. You haven't rebutted any replies with substance or argument.
I’m afraid that note exactly a fair statement, (and I say again easy to verify, by looking back). People just disagree, that's fine, but with what? They site no reference material to back up their rebuttal? I was told i need to take an online radar class in Radar to know the Raptor isn’t invisible? I can say the same thing to people, that they can’t disagree if they don’t read some historical books. I invite anyone to logically-historically dissect any of my posts point by point....please thank you.
 

rjmaz1

New Member
I'm waiting for the debunk?
You must be blind. You've been debunked in the previous thread ;)

I'll bite again

Your idea of having the suhkoi's and F-22's flying head to head is, to put simply, stupid. It ignores all history of air combat, which proves you lack an in-depth understanding of the topic and even basic tactics.

Aircraft do not have head on engagements. One is usually defending and the other is attacking. Aircraft when on patrol do not fly in and out of enemy territory perpendicular to the boarder. Their flight path will closely resemble a parallel line to the boarder. This instantly rules out a high closing speed head on engagement. The defending aircraft will either engage the strike package from its flank or the defending aircraft will get engaged from its flank.

The large majority A2A kills have seen coalition fighter come in from the flank due to their better detecting range allowing them to engage at the best opportunity. Remember detection range is also increased by supporting assets, its about systems not individual aircraft. By the time missiles hit the enemy the coalition aircraft are in the aft/flank position relative to the enemy flight path.

Look at the Mig-25's trying to bait the F-15's. They did not fly at the F-15's and then do a U turn and go back. This would allow for a head on engagement but doing so would bleed all of the Mig-25's energy and would see it shot down. Instead they fly across the F-15's flight path at a 90 degree angle. The Mig-25's fly in a big arc into the F-15's airspace parallel to the boarder. The Mig-25's may be flying at 1000knots but their effective closing speed would be 100 knots at best. Once the F-15's begin to pursue, the Mig-25's simply turn slightly and that closing speed goes to zero and the F-15's can no longer intercept.

The only way i could imagine a head on engagement would be the enemy launching a strike package at the same time and the strikes packages fly directly towards each other by sheer luck.

Against the Advanced Flanker is truly a nightmare scenario.
No its a delusional scenario. :rolleyes:

By the way thanks for the videos, they were rather entertaining yet provide nothing to back up your argument.

I invite anyone to logically-historically dissect any of my posts point by point....
Invitation accepted, your post has been dissected and debunked ;)
 

obrescia

Banned Member
something is delusional that's for sure

Let’s start with start with very beginning of my big post. The Gulf of Sidra incident, January 4, 1989. That was head-on; the aircraft were snaking towards each other. Correct! The KS-172 is all about the ‘systems’. Historically the most successful engagement aspects are frontal or rear. Historically a perpendicular hit may have more to do with the target trying to evade the shot. One would need to take issue/concerns up with the authors.

Reference:

Iranian F-14 Tomcat Units In Combat- Cooper, Tom; Bishop, Farzad; Osprey Publishing, 2004.

...And Kill MiGs, Air to Air Combat From Vietnam to the Gulf War (3rd), Squadron/Signal Publications, Lou Drendel.

Air War South Atlantic - Ethell, Jeffrey L.; Price, Alfred - New York, NY, USA: MacMillan, 1983.

Iranian F-4 Fhantom II Units In Combat- Cooper, Tom; Bishop, Farzad; Osprey Publishing, 2003.

Arab Mig-19 and Mig-21 Units In Combat- Cooper, Tom; Nicolle, David; Osprey Publishing, 2004.

Wings of the Red Star; Box set, NTSC; Rating: Discovery Channel; VHS Release Date: March 17, 1998. Narration by Sir Peter Ustinov.
 
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obrescia

Banned Member
Houston...we got a ringer!

You must be blind. You've been debunked in the previous thread ;)

I'll bite again

Your idea of having the suhkoi's and F-22's flying head to head is, to put simply, stupid. It ignores all history of air combat, which proves you lack an in-depth understanding of the topic and even basic tactics.

Aircraft do not have head on engagements. One is usually defending and the other is attacking. Aircraft when on patrol do not fly in and out of enemy territory perpendicular to the boarder. Their flight path will closely resemble a parallel line to the boarder. This instantly rules out a high closing speed head on engagement. The defending aircraft will either engage the strike package from its flank or the defending aircraft will get engaged from its flank.

The large majority A2A kills have seen coalition fighter come in from the flank due to their better detecting range allowing them to engage at the best opportunity. Remember detection range is also increased by supporting assets, its about systems not individual aircraft. By the time missiles hit the enemy the coalition aircraft are in the aft/flank position relative to the enemy flight path.

Look at the Mig-25's trying to bait the F-15's. They did not fly at the F-15's and then do a U turn and go back. This would allow for a head on engagement but doing so would bleed all of the Mig-25's energy and would see it shot down. Instead they fly across the F-15's flight path at a 90 degree angle. The Mig-25's fly in a big arc into the F-15's airspace parallel to the boarder. The Mig-25's may be flying at 1000knots but their effective closing speed would be 100 knots at best. Once the F-15's begin to pursue, the Mig-25's simply turn slightly and that closing speed goes to zero and the F-15's can no longer intercept.

The only way i could imagine a head on engagement would be the enemy launching a strike package at the same time and the strikes packages fly directly towards each other by sheer luck.


No its a delusional scenario. :rolleyes:

By the way thanks for the videos, they were rather entertaining yet provide nothing to back up your argument.


Invitation accepted, your post has been dissected and debunked ;)
I’m starting to think some folks are kidding around w/me. Fair enough!:rolleyes:
 
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