Whether the F-22 (F-35) should enter service is largely academic. Our 'teen' airframes are wearing out.
The F-22 tactical use issues (never mind F-35, not even worth discussion) are:
1) Primary main weapon range / Newton’s second law of motion.
2) ECM detection of mid-course update transmission(s) for main weapon.
3) Thermal signature(s) platform & main weapon.
4) Daylight contrail(s) platform & main weapon.
5) Super-cruise only at high altitude.
Reason(s)
1) Despite claim(s) of an AIM-120D version, dimensions may be the issue. First, what is the amount of propellant possible in standard AIM-120 round? Second, FMRAAM (ramjet version) fitment inside F-22 weapons bay? The Europeans who were partnered on the AIM-120 program have since embarked on a more suitable weapon, the Meteor.
If the 'kinematics' augment is to be advanced by F-22 proponents as a key capability, to sweep the airspace of enemy fighters then there are several problems. They include: combined closure rate, maneuverability, airframe thermal heating due to air friction and hot exhaust exposure.
Simplified Condition: Initial head-on frontal aspect intercept of Flanker (firing R-77M) by F-22 (firing AIM-120C). A flight of 4 to 6 Flankers flying at 500 knots, against flight of 4 Raptors flying in super cruise at 1500 knots. The combined closer rate of all aircraft would be 2000 knots (500 + 1500).
The 'kinematics' augment says that F-22 will use its faster speed to 'push' its AIM-120 missiles towards Flanker, If both opposing flights of aircraft fire their weapons, both attacker and defender missile range benefit from a head-on engagement via the closure rate. F-22 fires AIM-120C sooner but also effectively flies INTO Flankers R-77M (!) Missile range = launch aircraft speed + missile velocity + target speed. Raptor faces additional problems at higher speeds because of simple physics, Thermal airframe heating (IRST detection) and reduced maneuvering potential due to the limits of pilot G-loads. Flanker moving at 500 knots would have enormous advantage in defensive maneuvering (AIM-120 avoidance) and to turn and fire on exiting Raptor.
Whatever the remaining aircraft, they now flash past each other at approximate 2000 knots and initiate turns, Raptor now exposes it’s hot exhaust to Flanker as F-22 make a wide sweeping turn due to it 1500 knot speed/pilot G-limit. The engagement then starts all over again. Typically this involves into a classic tuning/maneuvering contest...the dogfight.
This whole this boils down to this. If F-22 press their attack, closure rates will be so high and air-air weapons malfunctions (missiles fly wide) such a regular occurrence (on both sides) that F-22 aircrews will be in a dogfight within moments after calling "fox-3" Against the advanced Flanker, this is truly a nightmare scenario.
2) Flanker will most certainly be equipped with a Threat Warning System that listens for Raptors AIM-120 mid-course update (data burst transmission) after F-22 weapon release. From here two (2) things could happen. First, the Threat Warning System triggers automatic release of expendables (chaff/flares). See page 41 'c'. Second, Flanker pilot then initiates a defensive 'beaming' or 'beam-turn' maneuver. See page 36-37 'c', page 97 ’d’.
3) IRST
Flanker uses as primary system for gun firing solution. Development/advancement cycles for IRST systems would be orders of magnitude more frequent than F-22 airframes changes, combined with IR-versions of the R-77 (R-77M1) missile being the first problem. The second is Flanker radar (slaved to IRST). The IRST may see something and then point its main radar straight at F-22, (straight to ‘track’).
The canard equipped versions of the Flanker is an astonishing aircraft. Not only has if beaten the F-15 time to clime records, but Cope India has shown the F-15 weapons package (effectively the same as US 5-Gen) is vulnerable to "less-advanced" aircraft using proper tactics/training, (i.e. Mig-21 Bison, and Su-30MK, note not MKI).
4) Self-evident
5) F-22 low-bypass engines are the key to its high altitude super cruise capability. Low bypass engines require more use of reheat (afterburner) at lower maneuvering speed and/or altitudes. This is plainly evident if one watches video of Raptor during displays.
Also F-22 unusual 'speed-brake' control scheme may also reveal its true nature as an aircraft more akin to the Lockheed YF-12, than the plane it replaces, the F-15.
If Raptor is to be flown at high altitudes and high speed vs. Advanced Flanker a situation similar to what occurred in the early stages of the Falkland conflict could emerge. Argentine Mirages stayed at high altitudes while Royal Navy Harriers remained at medium altitudes (neither side content to give away his advantage) in what is best described as a series of 'non-engagements'.
The Russians were forced to counter our superb F-14, F-15, F-16 and F-18. The Flanker appears to be able to that job (F-14 w/AIM-54 was a big maybe) very (very) well. Cope India was a nasty shock to air force brass. Yes the analysts tried to diminish the results, but they said the same thing about the cobra maneuver, (which the F-22 has been out copying). Now as we all know this maneuver was just a hint at Flankers jaw dropping agility – the analysts were wrong.
An astute observer may also notice things like published range for the F-16 and even the F-15 is always with drop tanks; the Mig-29 and Sukhoi are published without tanks.
The Mig-25 was designed to counter the North American Mach-3 XB-70, the B-58 Hustler and the B-52. There is some method to their madness. The Russians still have the Mig-1.44, Su-47 and a moving target called PAK-FA. Whether they build them or not is likely an issue of need rather than finances.
The excellent range of Flanker has to do with geography/history. Russia is the largest country on earth and its history has seen Genghis Khan to the Panzer Divisions.
All Flanker (and Mig-31) really need to do is scare off our AWACS, (Joint Stars) and tankers. Bottom line is the next war will likely start and end during the flight time of an anti-awacs KS-172.
The Flanker airframe has enormous growth potential typified by the Su-27M and Su-34. The Advanced Flanker Series (canard/thrust vectoring) might just be….the most significant fighter aircraft since the Spitfire of WWII.
The Europeans tested the non-mid-course-update version of AMRAAM (AIM-120), and its kill probability dropped below that of their existing Skyflash weapon.
One last comment. If Mr. Clancy's comments are correct: that a future opponent would need to indeed track every object down to say the size of an insect to 'see' the F-22 Raptor. Uh well, they'd just focus on "insect" sized object(s), flying in a straight line, line abreast of say about a mile separation, at high altitude, around 1.5+ Mach....
Those should be your F-22s.
The Russians appear to have thought through all these issues with the precision of a chess grand master.
Checkmate?
Note: China is in possession of large numbers of Flanker. Historically however the Chinese Air Force combat performance would best be described as abysmal.
- Olaf Brescia / Sacramento, CA
c) Iranian F-14 Tomcat Units In Combat- Cooper, Tom; Bishop, Farzad; Osprey Publishing, 2004.
d) ...And Kill MiGs, Air to Air Combat From Vietnam to the Gulf War (3rd), Squadron/Signal Publications, Lou Drendel.
e) Air War South Atlantic - Ethell, Jeffrey L.; Price, Alfred - New York, NY, USA: MacMillan, 1983.
I dont know why no one has addressed this yet but I will.
I have a major problem with your analysis, you look at individual capabilities in a vacuum.
1) A few points:
a) R-77M does not exist.
b) FRAAM has been cancelled, the next gen BVRAAM will be the Boeing JDRAAM, and it wont be ramjet powered.
c) AIM-120D can be updated from a 3rd party so launch platform can remain EM cold.
d) at 60,000ft and 1500 knots AIM 120D will have an engagement envelope in excess of 200km vs a flanker at say 30,000 ft, so the F-22 can egress after launch. You seem to think that the Raptor will continue to charge headlong at the incomeing flankers. Theres no frigging way a raptor would get anywere near a merge in that situation.
e) BVR launch is not feasible for a Flanker equiped with R-77M, its primary sensor's capability is reduced to tactically insignificant range performance by VLO. BVR launch is most definatly viable for F-22.
f) It boils down to the F-22A's only need to be at those speeds at launch to enjoy all the kinematic missile advantages, they can then maneuver any way they want.
2) Are you kidding me? What is this system? A RWR? ESM? Its going to pick up a low power data-link and somehow know its a missile being uptadeted and its the target. That is a huge leap of logic. The AIM-120D can be updated by a 3rd party and in the real world there's going to be plenty of datalinks iradeiateing the battlespace. Even if the missiles uplink can be detected (which uses LPI techniques) at those ranges how will it know its a threat. the russians must have leapfroged the EW game significantly lately, AFAIK thats the sort of thing you need something as big, expenceive and complicated as a Rivet Joint for. Now its a RWR? Those russians are pretty darn clever...
3) IRST will ALLWAYS have generic limitations. It will never be able to see through the weather, it will allways have trouble with volume search, i.e. try looking through a straw. Then theres the whole range determination issue. IRST will never keep up with fighter radar missile combinations, which is the point.
a) F-15C weapons package is no were near the "same" as a 5th gen avionics/weapons combination. This statement pretty clearly illustrates the lack of objectivity in this piece of "analysis". A slotted, plannar array radar, analogue RWR and EWSP suite with no offenceive EW capability vs a 3rd gen AESA, digital RWR/EWSP suite and significant EA capability. Yeah identical...
b) cope india was a joke. It was an exercise designed to train indian pilots and the ROE's were constructed to further that goal. Makeing conclusions on capability from this exercise is an "exercise" in futility...
4)Your going to target a weapon on a contrail? And you think this fantasy is comperable to a 3rd gen AESA AIM-120D combination?
5) You seem miss the whole information dominance thing. Advanced flanker variants will not be able to see a F-22, will not be able to engage an F-22, they wont be able to spit at an F-22. You speak of this like its a legacy platform, its NOT...
Cobra maneuver....:lol3
How are you going to track insect sized objects outside of the threat stand off weapon envilope against an opponant who enjoys significant EW overmatch (which the USAF does in the real world). Again you speak of fantasy as if its reality.
Checkmate? This get better and better.....
Flankers have less advanced radar missile combinations, less advanced EW/EWSP suites, less advanced HUI's, less advanced kinematically and they have no VLO. And you somehow think they are more capable... Now i know why no one has responded yet. Jesus...