Talking about project reviews etc...
If you were the new Australian Defence Minister and you had to review projects they were currently in trouble, what would you dump, and what would you keep?
Let's try to keep the answers to somewhat educated ones rather than based on something someone has read on wiki or on brand/product loyalty.
For mine, I'd dump Seasprite and buy one squadron of MH-60Rs immediately, and then another one in 2012 to replace the Seahawks.
I'd persist with FFG-UP only because there is no alternative available immediately or in the medium term.
Wedgetail is coming good and will be awesome, as will the tankers if they can get the boom to work, although I'd like to see at least one more Wedgetail and two or three more tankers (yeah I know, we have crew shortages...don't get me started on that).
The Caribous proved in PNG Assist that there is still nothing out there that can do what they can do...except perhaps V-22. We need to get inside that program and do a full assessment of the Osprey... which I suspect may be happening anyway.
I'd dump HUG Phase 3.2 (centre-barrels), expand on Phase 3.1 work, and buy an additional 24 Super Hornets. This takes further risk out of HUG, allows the oldest classic airframes to be parked as they time-expire, and adds additional capability through the early to middle part of next decade.
It's still too early to tell with F-35 - if the flight test program and systems integration goes to plan, then the aircraft will be a good one, although there is so much risk remaining in the program that we should probably push the decision date back to the end of 2009 and the introduction of the first unit to 2015.
Cheers
Magoo
I pretty much agree, though if additional Rhino's are to be acquired, I think the opportunity to acquire Growler should be chosen as well. As our main strike aircraft for a longer period, it could probably do with some EW assistance as future threats develop, in the outer years of the planned project...
I can't imagine RAAF signing up for up to 48x Super Hornets and then only maintaining them until 2023...
FFG-UP has to be maintained simply because there is nothing else suitable around to replace it, AFAIK. AWD's are scheduled to start arriving in 2013. I think a 4th should be acquired to allow one for one replacement of the FFG's.
To cover any gap in the meantime, ANZAC anti-ship missile defence should be pursued as a priority and possibly expanded to cover the "hole" left by any further delays in FFG-UP. I think the "2nd layer" CIWS/SAM system should be included.
Wedgetail and KC-30B should be continued and KC-30B's accepted into limited service as soon as possible, so we can still use their hose and drogue capability, until the boom is sorted out and they can be released to full operational capability.
I would persist with Seasprite, too much cash has been spent and it's too close to an operational capability to dump now, IMHO. If Kaman are to be believed, the remaining issue is ADF's certification practices rather than the aircraft's capability. If so, it seems pointless to dump than now. The only reason I'd persist is to allow the NH-90 maritime helicopter time to develop, sufficiently to meet Australia's needs. If it proves a capable helicopter, commonality with our MRH-90's would be a worthwhile goal.
I agree with CBR being dropped. I always prefer the higher capability where possible, though buying another 24x Rhino's would be more expensive, it'd give greater overall capability too.
Can 2x legacy Hornet Squadrons be maintained through "discrete" structural modifications though, Magoo?
Re: the Caribou, I'd suspect that the Chinook could do the work of the Caribou, if we had enough of them. I'd rather a larger Chinook fleet, than investment in the hideously expensive and rather limited V-22. It's forward speed and range are it's only real advantage over a Chinook. It's payload does not even come close...
As with the Bugs/Rhinos there are different ways to overcome range issues and to that extent I'd like to see some KC-130J-30 acquired to a) replace the C-130H aircraft along with C-17 and b) to provide a helo inflight refuelling capability...
I agree with the F-35 proposal, though I personally believe it will be a superior combat aircraft in years to come and vastly superior to anything else we CAN get in every role...