NZDF under change of Govt
Recently had a 1:1 with National's defence spokesman Wayne Mapp (boy can politicians talk!). Got a fairly good idea of what to expect under a National party defence policy.
Disclaimer: Any such policy is not yet formulated so the following is only my interpretation of our discussion...
Basically National is now fairly comfortable with what Labour has done with the NZDF - however they want to consolidate that in a few areas.
Army:
Focus is manpower & retention, with a possible view to raising a 3rd batallion, but much work to be done yet in this area. 'Light Patrol Force' looks like their buzzword (not sure I like the sound of it either!) :unknown
Navy:
Frigates - would still like to look at option for a 3rd, but appreciates this may be unlikely given manning issues etc. OPV uparming more likely (see below).
Questions the need to upgrade ANZACs versus replacing although with replacement sometime out there is serious consideration of aligning our ANZACs with RAN equivalents.
Dr Mapp shows keen interest in LCS as a replacement, not so much by virtue of their specialist (niche) capability but more on their affordabilty (no numbers discussed).
OPVs - keen to look at option of limited uparming OPV's to provide some back-up for ANZACs (esp. wants to see ability to counter FIAC with shoulder fired SSM). Don't expect to see a major uparming - but enough to provide serious Patrol capability - 57mm gun & rear facing RWS seem options as does some form of search radar (vs pure Nav radar as fitted).
Also sees the case for a 3rd OPV.
MRV - didn't discuss much & doesn't seem to be a concern for him - pity with it lack of any serious defensive capability - even against FIAC.
AirForce:
Air Combat force - sorry guys, this is definitely off the agenda!
Jet trainers (Aermacchi) - he's keen to investigate this, although it seems more as a point of difference to Labour than for it's actual value. Would be stirctly in a training role as cost must be kept down. BUT get this - he states that the Minister of Defence (Phil Goff) has actually stated to him that if the RNZAF came asking him if they could use them NOW for training, he wouldn't have a probelm with them doing so!!! So suggests it's as much a dysfunctional RNZAF/NZDF as anything that's grounded them! To be fair they've been gutted by the Govt so maybe I'm being a bit harsh!
Air Transports - he supports starting work on replacements soon - RNZAF have stated they want A400M's!
Maritime patrol - also supports looking at replacemenst for these - suspect a 'more affordable' (ie: less capable) aircraft may be favoured.
T/LUH - Strongly feels that the hgh cost of NH-90 operation will lead to a requirement for significantly more T/LUH (possibly 20) to perform more of the 'smaller' tasks where full NH-90 capacity isn't needed. No obvious opinion on arming either type beyond door mounted M-60's.
Summary:
Anything not covered wasn't discussed, and policy is yet to be refined. Looks like the NZDF will remain a 'light' force...just hope there's no NASTY surprises!