round and round and round we go! Can a flanker out turn an amraam, or an aim 9x,ahh forget it...
Interesting theory. And poor attempt to deflect facts of the jets slow performance and poor battlespace mobility which leaves it slower than most jets. Replace the players mentioned in the piece... ( swap F-14 for Flanker ). People claiming the F-18E/F as a fighter always like to fall back on the slow speed turning performance. Nice. But doesn't help much if the jets opponent is in a situation where they can contempt of engage the jet, burn some fuel, add some speed and move around it and hit a target.... ( like a Flanker ). Super Hornet becomes dangerous when you are trying to stop it. However Super Hornet is less dangerous if the mission of the opponent doesn't have to engage it. That of course is just one example. However it is a pretty scary one. Seems that some can't understand that and at the end of the day when you stack up the Super Hornet against all the other 4.5 gen (marketing hype term) and 4th gen aircraft, you have a situation which leaves the Super Hornet at the bottom of the pack on total airframe performance. It's excellent avionics alone don't make a fighter that Defence purchased for the reason of maintaining regional air superiority. Super Hornet, given the peer group it is hyped into in comparison, is a very nice strike aircraft.
This gets to be more of a problem if the JSF fails due to the U.S. screwing up the funding track and costing it out to a high price that is unbearable, leaving the RAAF to buy more SH's to fill out the rest of the ranks over the years. This will be all very interesting. And I hope on this point I am very very wrong. Politicians will look at all the air power issues, see the pretty Super Hornet PowerPoint briefings that paint it as the most cost effective solution, and reach the conclusion that RAAF has enough shooter airframe stuff for the next several years and press on with existing business with the Navy and Army. All very possible. Since everyone and their brother has gone out of their way to hype the capability of the Super Hornet to monstrous extremes, including throwing around the word that it has stealth capability. You don't have to convince me of anything. You have to convince the politicians who on any given day, can barely tell the difference between an F-18 and an M-1 Abrams.
round and round and round we go! Can a flanker out turn an amraam, or an aim 9x,ahh forget it...
The users, in the case of the Navy are happy to have anything with a new car smell considering the rate we are eating up our airframe life on legacy Hornets. USN has even delayed their production slots of JSF because of a budget, that looks more an more being able to afford the only thing that is available: Super Hornet.The users are confident in the weapons system.
I wouldn't throw that away so easily. JSF production slots were delayed both as mentioned above with the USN and the federal budget in general, to pay for the war we are involved in. The U.S. military is being bled white on common day to day operating budget things like never before. The war is being run not on existing tax dollars, but credit. This isn't a fault of the JSF program itself, however the JSF program costs were based on not screwing up the production plan. That, has happened. Unless someone can wave a magic wand and make our budget problems go away in 2009, 2010, 2011 etc, this can only happen more. More JSF delays is more cost climb. I don't pretend to know what the export customers tolerance will be for this, but I am sure we will find out. The story of JSF cost, is yet to be written.As to the JSF program "failing". Hmm. Maybe the sky might fall on our heads too.
This is a view point so typical of the airshow loving Armchair Air Marshals and ‘knucklehead’ fighter pilots – both viewpoints are crap when it comes to predicting the outcome of air combat.Not really the issue. Engagement, or contempt of engagement is. The Flanker has the gas and the speed to stay out of engagement range if it chooses. The Super Hornet does not have the speed to avoid engagement if for some reason, it wanted to.
Hmm. And what is the BIGGEST purchaser of the F-35 going to do, namely the USAF if F-35 falls over, given the rapidly reducing airframe hours on it's F-16 fleet? Buy more? HA!The users, in the case of the Navy are happy to have anything with a new car smell considering the rate we are eating up our airframe life on legacy Hornets. USN has even delayed their production slots of JSF because of a budget, that looks more an more being able to afford the only thing that is available: Super Hornet.
LOW RATE production slots. NOT ful rate production slots. They haven't been touched...I wouldn't throw that away so easily. JSF production slots were delayed both as mentioned above with the USN and the federal budget in general, to pay for the war we are involved in. The U.S. military is being bled white on common day to day operating budget things like never before. The war is being run not on existing tax dollars, but credit. This isn't a fault of the JSF program itself, however the JSF program costs were based on not screwing up the production plan. That, has happened. Unless someone can wave a magic wand and make our budget problems go away in 2009, 2010, 2011 etc, this can only happen more. More JSF delays is more cost climb. I don't pretend to know what the export customers tolerance will be for this, but I am sure we will find out. The story of JSF cost, is yet to be written.
This is a view point so typical of the airshow loving Armchair Air Marshals and ‘knucklehead’ fighter pilots – both viewpoints are crap when it comes to predicting the outcome of air combat.
Lets look at that closer shall we? Would this include "Armchair Air Marshals" etc etc that reside right in Defence itself? The "crap" you mention seems to be a typical attitude in Defence to any criticism and this forum in general when Defence is criticised. A forum is a place to discuss differing viewpoints, however what happens here all too often is that anyone that is critical of Defence view x y or z is laughed at. Pretty sad.
Lets talk a lack of experience with military aviation. Starting from the top, where the DM's own webpage when mentioning the F-15 in passing - http://www.minister.defence.gov.au/NelsonMintpl.cfm?CurrentId=6437 - Almost all of that is.... wrong. Downcheck the F-15 for any number of valid reasons( like cost per flying hour, I don't know if Australia would enjoy paying for that kind of legacy dollar thing.) but everything else mentioned there is a convenient fabrication. Myself having been around the F-15 community for years, .... pilots, test pilots, maintainers, program managers. I can tell you most of the points re: F-15 on that page are a laugh. Who is the "armchair air marshal" now? If the F-15 was evaluated on capability there would be no problems, as it brings more ( especially in the jazzed up K variant ) to the fight than any Super Hornet can. So on that mark, Defence has no clue and is speaking from zero experience of what kind of damage a well motivated Strike Eagle community is capable of dishing out.
Another one I love is where one in Defence mentions that they don't want to risk an F-111 falling apart on them going mach 1.5 at a hundred feet off the ground. I know former F-111 aircrew and maintainers. Show me in any combat ops procedure where the F-111 does a low level penetration at mach 1.5 . That statement by Defence is a rubbish one based on little or no knowledge of how the F-111 operates.
Other mentions about F-111 are silly and uninformed on their best day. The idea that F-111 can't be sustained until 2020 would be one of them. The idea that the F-111s can't be sustained for combat in general also doesn't wash. USAF got rid of their F-111s because of lack of funds across the board, the fact that it had legions of tankers, and that it also had F-15E and B-1s going into the conventional world as backup. It was not retired due to a lack of combat capability. One of the last F-111 squadrons to be retired in USAF service got MC rates around 85%, the last year in existence after glass cockpit mods, that pushed up to over 90%. So go ahead and downcheck the F-111 and retire it for any number of reasons. But don't do it because it can't be a useful combat asset. Claiming this is untrue. If you want to get into an "expensive to maintain" scenario, start looking at the legacy Hornets RAAF has on hand now with all of the multi-flavoured HUG add ons. Where, the wing issue on the F-111 was a red herring by the fact that there were resources on had for refirb, the wing tip issues ( flex, water corrosion ) on legacy Hornets ( similar but also different than wing crack/fuel tank/water issues on Block 30/40 F-16 ). I would be more worried about paying for all of the legacy Hornet mods in the pipeline and how many are going to be out of service with the barrel issue coming up. F-111 going away in 2010, JSF potential delays, means risk at being low on strike ability for a while.
How is the Su-27/30 pilot going to decide to break off combat if it doesn’t know where the F/A-18E/F is? You can’t orientate, decide and act unless you can observe.
I hope you seriously don't believe that the Super Hornet has "Stealth" or even any meaningful L.O. qualities when it has combat stores hanging.
Not that the F/A-18E/F is invisible but it won’t be approaching from within the Su-27/30s own sensor footprint.
You mean nose on as in many engagements. This is a magic trick of not being in a SU's "sensor footprint" as you call it will be interesting. Even more interesting as SU sensor growth gets installed.
And if like ALL regional Su-27/30s it is not backed by a robust NCW capability with AEW&C and other broad area surveillance and C2 systems they will be flying along increasingly getting worried until their EWSP starts screaming that an AMRAAM has just gone terminally active…
I seriously hope Australia gets out of holding up NCW as if it is going to answer all of the problems. Wedgetail is almost 2 years behind and has to prove itself. Of course if for some reason it doesn't, it wouldn't be the first AWACS/ISR project to have integration problems and in the case of the Nimrod run into severe problems of lashing up all of the gear. Then there is bandwidth. We (U.S.) get away with a lot of NCW problems by throwing lots of money and quantity of platforms at the problem. Defence's own words in defending their fighter aircraft purchases by bringing up NCW doesn't face the reality of the problem that often in our ops there are numerous NCW dead spots where NCW isn't there to answer all of your all knowing situational awareness needs Where air battles can be decided in under a few minutes and many times under a minute, I wouldn't hold this up as a big defensive shield as in the way it is being over-sold. Our AWACs have had and still do, problems giving F-15 users a good picture 100% of the time. One of the F-15 v MiG-29 shootdowns in ex Yugo, is an excellent example, where F-15s had a poor/bad AWACs picture and solved the fight with poor AWACs support. They state that in their after action report. Our alleged situational awareness didn't help us from killing off our own guys in 2003 with our own SAMs. One of the reasons F-22 is so especially useful is because of its own teamwork/local network and less reliance on AWACs. It is processing S.I. much better than what AWACs can help with. Super Hornet will enjoy this ability. The more reliable end of NCW is the local area network and not the wide one. This being Super Hornets sharing info and passing it locally to their own element/flight/squadron. That is the dependable end of NCW.This includes advanced Flankers like how India is maturing them. Advanced Flankers have local network ability of their own as shown by a variety of combat exercises the last few years.
They will be stuck flying figure of eight patterns like the Syrian MiGs over Lebanon in ’82 with no idea what is going on, unable to talk to their GCI who temselves can’t work out what is going on until the Israelis come in and pick them off from the their flanks.
Well that may be the popular story but lets look closer. Analogies are always suspect and we can't always count on fighting a clueless enemy. So depending on your enemy being Syria might not be a good intel standup brief to the aircrew in an air plan or before the flight. Aircraft purchases such as the ones RAAF is involved in now will mean service life will go for 20 or more years. One thing man is really bad about is predicting the future 20 years ahead. Instead of pointing to a current threat and using that as a baseline, the better approach is "be prepared". Where the existing threat is already fielding an airframe with superior airframe performance and the growth room of the Flanker is, ...considering Israel, France, India etc are also involved in Flanker avionics and weapons growth, .....is something that will be in increasing threat and not a decreasing one.
Now this is why the RAAF F/A-18F Block IIs with all their great avionics and HMI robustly linked into the RAAF NCW capability will be so valuable. Not to punch holes in the sky but to spend most of their time destroying what NCW capability our potential opponents could have and leave the lost and blind Su-27/30s flying figure of eights over the South China Sea to the F/A-18A+s to actually shoot down
The idea of growing NCW ability is a good one. The idea that it is going to solve numerous combat problems on the wide area side of the house is yet to be proven and stood up.Ignoring that advanced Flankers..... and this includes their growth path..... have a local area network ability of their own is shortsighted in your assessment. Again, please tell me what the regional threat matrix will look like in 20 years... 30 years.... And please guarantee to me that all of the politicians, after being oversold and over hyped on Super Hornets simply amazing air to air prowess, will be willing to hand over yet more funds after an expenditure of $22 billion (JSF + Super Hornet) ......if the JSF program doesn't produce and RAAF ends up with a total shooter jet population of Super Hornets.
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...............Hmm. And what is the BIGGEST purchaser of the F-35 going to do, namely the USAF if F-35 falls over, given the rapidly reducing airframe hours on it's F-16 fleet? Buy more? HA!
USAF already has a plan in place to extend F-15 and F-16 use until 2025. This plan was put into place because of JSF production slowdown. You may want to consider doing your homework. Here is one example of what the USAF is doing:
http://www.afa.org/magazine/march2007/0307force.asp
USAF fighter force will get smaller AND IS already on that path.
The US needs F-35 JUST as much as the international buyers. THIS is why it ain't going to fall over.
Hoping and what will may happen can be two different things. Industry certainly needs JSF as they are trying to make a buck and the Navy needs a 5th gen of some kind on the deck. USAF to do it's mission can break any integrated IADS.... without JSF. Once large SAMs and enemy aircraft are killed off, the rest of the plinking can be done from 35,000 plus by legacy designs and small battlefield missiles, AAA, trashfire etc. can't do anything. I can touch you, but you can't touch me, in near any weather. So as for the USAF, the killing work can go on without JSF. If anything JSF has not proven a case for getting into USAF service except that it will have a new car smell. JSF doesn't have the stealth performance to weave into future stiff IADS. That isn't very useful. New Block F-16s could fill the number of small airframe needs (post killing off of big IADs threats) "good enough". Investing in more small airframes when for the past 40 years or more we (U.S.) have lost scores of overseas bases to fly from isn't a sound strategy. We need more long range strike aircraft not more short range strike aircraft. The dollars wasted on JSF could be farmed into FB-22, B-1 flight control and avionics upgrades ( much better MC rates ) the next long range bomber ( what ever that is ), and if J-UCAS or follow-ons prove themselves, that too. For USAF to invest in the Buick of Stealth given our very limited funds and the war, is dumb.
LOW RATE production slots. NOT ful rate production slots. They haven't been touched...
Getting good prices on JSFs depended on the production plan being unaltered. Your statement doesn't change the fact that with the current funding slow down of JSF production,..... now.... USAF has to extend the life of older airframes it really didn't want too. Older Block F-16s will reach a come to jesus event in shortage of airframes in the next 15 years. Now.... with the funding slowdown of production, The USAF wouldn't get it's last JSF until 2040. Completely silly and unrealistic considering how this service uses airframes. As for the Navy, Boeing is proposing the USN buy more Super Hornets ( USN asked for JSF production slot delays over a year ago before the latest JSF funding slow down: Reason-available funds). The plan for more Navy Supers will most likely have to go through as our legacy Hornet airframe life is getting serious with the current ops tempo. The Navy carrier air wing roadmap with Boeing SH sales pukes pushing good deals is going to potentially change from it's original JSF/Super Hornet carrier air wing vision.
Selective misquoting shows you are unaware of the facts of the matter or simply don't want to state the truth because it disagrees with your argument...
That is your opinion. However my views are from being very close to the DOD environment for over 25 years. I am sorry that my statements cause you to post that as your best argument on the points given.
As to your Iraq war costs, I kind of get the feeling they're going to drop DRAMATICALLY come November 08...
If that happens we should all be thankful and some kind of roadmap back from the abyss in large gold plated weapons systems funding shortfalls might bring things back in order. In the case of Iraq and Afghanistan, even if a post November 08 event helps, there is still the massive amounts of clean up and spending. The rate of how U.S. defence spending gets cured is at this point: unknown.
Yeah, but thats what would happen in an actual conflict.Not that the F/A-18E/F is invisible but it won’t be approaching from within the Su-27/30s own sensor footprint. And if like ALL regional Su-27/30s it is not backed by a robust NCW capability with AEW&C and other broad area surveillance and C2 systems they will be flying along increasingly getting worried until their EWSP starts screaming that an AMRAAM has just gone terminally active…
They will be stuck flying figure of eight patterns like the Syrian MiGs over Lebanon in ’82 with no idea what is going on, unable to talk to their GCI who temselves can’t work out what is going on until the Israelis come in and pick them off from the their flanks.
Now this is why the RAAF F/A-18F Block IIs with all their great avionics and HMI robustly linked into the RAAF NCW capability will be so valuable. Not to punch holes in the sky but to spend most of their time destroying what NCW capability our potential opponents could have and leave the lost and blind Su-27/30s flying figure of eights over the South China Sea to the F/A-18A+s to actually shoot down.
After 37 pages of "my plane is better than yours and here's why", someone has finally put the aircraft into a potential and realistic real world scenario. Thank you sir, at last I can see where the F/A-18EF fits into the air defense picture as far as a imagined attack on Australia is concerned. I still have concerns about the SH's ability to perform force projection missions though. Most of the literature I've read on the interweb suggests that Australia would have to commit a sizeable amount of assets to fulfil a similar role a couple of F111's can perform currently. I stand ready to be enlightened.This is a view point so typical of the airshow loving Armchair Air Marshals and ‘knucklehead’ fighter pilots – both viewpoints are crap when it comes to predicting the outcome of air combat.
How is the Su-27/30 pilot going to decide to break off combat if it doesn’t know where the F/A-18E/F is? You can’t orientate, decide and act unless you can observe.
Not that the F/A-18E/F is invisible but it won’t be approaching from within the Su-27/30s own sensor footprint. And if like ALL regional Su-27/30s it is not backed by a robust NCW capability with AEW&C and other broad area surveillance and C2 systems they will be flying along increasingly getting worried until their EWSP starts screaming that an AMRAAM has just gone terminally active…
They will be stuck flying figure of eight patterns like the Syrian MiGs over Lebanon in ’82 with no idea what is going on, unable to talk to their GCI who temselves can’t work out what is going on until the Israelis come in and pick them off from the their flanks.
Now this is why the RAAF F/A-18F Block IIs with all their great avionics and HMI robustly linked into the RAAF NCW capability will be so valuable. Not to punch holes in the sky but to spend most of their time destroying what NCW capability our potential opponents could have and leave the lost and blind Su-27/30s flying figure of eights over the South China Sea to the F/A-18A+s to actually shoot down.
You are again assuming the F-35 will lack performance when no results have been posted. The test aircraft has only flown a couple times.F-22 would be best, F-35 lacks the overal performances in A2A to compete vs these new generation "4.5 generation" aircraft and new generation DRM AAMs.
yes but not the capabilities of platform which is what the discussion is about. If you want to take into account all of the mirriad of factors that that effect A2A combat accuratly, well that would be impossible wouldn't it???? Perhaps all discussion that can not achieve this level of accuracy should be deemed herretical huh???This is a view point so typical of the airshow loving Armchair Air Marshals and ‘knucklehead’ fighter pilots – both viewpoints are crap when it comes to predicting the outcome of air combat.
You think a fully (or even partially) armed SH would not be detected by Ibis (or even BARS) equiped variants WELL beyond usefull launch ranges for AIM 120D's?????? And A50E supported Flankers would be well aware of the SH's location before the APG 79 would even detect the flanker. Your over simplified theory just doesent take the capabilities of the systems into account.How is the Su-27/30 pilot going to decide to break off combat if it doesn’t know where the F/A-18E/F is? You can’t orientate, decide and act unless you can observe.
You make this statement without actually taking the Flankers sensor footprint into account, not too mention much more capable radars that are well into development now. And the major regional powers either have or are aquireing desent AEW&C systems such as A50E's.Not that the F/A-18E/F is invisible but it won’t be approaching from within the Su-27/30s own sensor footprint. And if like ALL regional Su-27/30s it is not backed by a robust NCW capability with AEW&C and other broad area surveillance and C2 systems they will be flying along increasingly getting worried until their EWSP starts screaming that an AMRAAM has just gone terminally active…
Ahhh, i never realised it would all be so easy!!!! Maybe we could destroy the whole opposing force on the ground while there having breakfast like the Egyptians huh? If so then why replace the HUG BUG's???? There will never be any A2A combat anyway.They will be stuck flying figure of eight patterns like the Syrian MiGs over Lebanon in ’82 with no idea what is going on, unable to talk to their GCI who temselves can’t work out what is going on until the Israelis come in and pick them off from the their flanks.
LOL. Your implying that F18F's can penitrate an IADS or get within desent firing ranges for even AIM120D's to an AEW&C's as to get a shot off without being intercepted???? You have to punch "holes in the sky" in order to get to the jucy bits such as C3I, unless you can teleport, have great long range standoff weapons or have real LO. We may be buying JASSM, but were not going to intergrate it onto the SH. Again simplistic theory that does not take actual capabilities into account.Now this is why the RAAF F/A-18F Block IIs with all their great avionics and HMI robustly linked into the RAAF NCW capability will be so valuable. Not to punch holes in the sky but to spend most of their time destroying what NCW capability our potential opponents could have and leave the lost and blind Su-27/30s flying figure of eights over the South China Sea to the F/A-18A+s to actually shoot down.
You still persist in indulging in this fanciful notion that the combat is to be measured platform to platform - when it is about systems. Arguing that you want to debate it P1 to P2 only reinforces that you have no comprehension about what is going to happen in the battlespace. This isn't the red baron.yes but not the capabilities of platform which is what the discussion is about. If you want to take into account all of the mirriad of factors that that effect A2A combat accuratly, well that would be impossible wouldn't it???? Perhaps all discussion that can not achieve this level of accuracy should be deemed herretical huh???.
And your almost religious belief in the superiority of the opposing systems is based on what evidence?You think a fully (or even partially) armed SH would not be detected by Ibis (or even BARS) equiped variants WELL beyond usefull launch ranges for AIM 120D's?????? And A50E supported Flankers would be well aware of the SH's location before the APG 79 would even detect the flanker. Your over simplified theory just doesent take the capabilities of the systems into account.
Actually, battlespace planning does take it into account. One of the members in here has responsibility for planning the opening stages of an air campaign. That includes killing red/orange teams sensors, decapitating the detection merge and then conducting the air war against GBAD.You make this statement without actually taking the Flankers sensor footprint into account, not too mention much more capable radars that are well into development now. And the major regional powers either have or are aquireing desent AEW&C systems such as A50E's.
Actually it has been easy once you demonstrate superior competency at the training , integration and persistency level. Apart from india - who else in the region is even close? How long do you think that it will take for other AWACs users (who are potentially hostile forces against the F18's) to develop the requisite competencies to field, integrate and develop battlespace management. what force out side of singapore in our region has the ORBAT competency to do it?Ahhh, i never realised it would all be so easy!!!! Maybe we could destroy the whole opposing force on the ground while there having breakfast like the Egyptians huh? If so then why replace the HUG BUG's???? There will never be any A2A combat anyway.
and the last time you planned a decapitation mission was when? do you think that decapitation of C3I is restricted to an air campaign? The last 16 years shows that C3/C4 decapitation is handled by numerous assets. (and nobody else outside of aust and in reach except singapore is C4I) - and the US is the only C5I player in town.LOL. Your implying that F18F's can penitrate an IADS or get within desent firing ranges for even AIM120D's to an AEW&C's as to get a shot off without being intercepted???? You have to punch "holes in the sky" in order to get to the jucy bits such as C3I, unless you can teleport, have great long range standoff weapons or have real LO. We may be buying JASSM, but were not going to intergrate it onto the SH.
Yes, and you persist in simplifying it to validate your own perceptions. Include the real bits in the battlespace contest - thats what the people who are paid to do the job do.Again simplistic theory that does not take actual capabilities into account.
After 37 pages of "my plane is better than yours and here's why", someone has finally put the aircraft into a potential and realistic real world scenario. Thank you sir, at last I can see where the F/A-18EF fits into the air defense picture as far as a imagined attack on Australia is concerned. I still have concerns about the SH's ability to perform force projection missions though. Most of the literature I've read on the interweb suggests that Australia would have to commit a sizeable amount of assets to fulfil a similar role a couple of F111's can perform currently. I stand ready to be enlightened.
Yep, the actual aircraft buy and support package. Noteworthy is the fact that the ACTUAL aircraft purchase seems little more than AUD$100m per aircraft, rather less than some hereabouts have tried to argue...Hi AD,
Here is the deal officially signed off on:
Defence signs off on Super Hornet deal
http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200705/s1913509.htm
I may be totally missing the mark here, but the way I've always thought is that the primary mission of the ADF, as expected, is the defence of our Australia.*stuff about F-111s requiring escorts*
I may be totally missing the mark here, but the way I've always thought is that the primary mission of the ADF, as expected, is the defence of our Australia.
With that in mind, the F-111s range, payload and speed if so needed seems to extra-ordinarily useful if, bearing in mind this is a terrible scenario to consider, some country is crazy enough to actually attack us and land on our shores.
The specific scenarios vary greatly, but I would have thought that in such situations (i.e. over Australian soil) F-111s wouldn't really need an escort - not unless they've managed to get control of our airspace, right?
TBH, as an Australian and tax payer, I couldn't give a toss about force projection beyond our shores unless there is no question over our ability to defend ourselves first and foremost.