wimpymouse
Banned Member
As you've realized by your own math, VE isn't going to attack any neighbour. Not only would they find them selves in deep shit, but an essential bit here is lacking; motive.Sir, another point would be against which neighbour would he be able to actively due something? Colombia, which probably has the most experienced army and air force in Latin America right now, due to its continuous drug-funded guerrilla? Or Brazil, which is about 10 times as big, and has a strong industrial base. That base would allow us, in my point of view, to give Chavez really serious problems to think about, even without any international involvement. He may also want to tackle France, since French Guayana is a department of France...
I can´t see any logical reason for his weapons purchase, especially idiotic things such as buying 100000 rifles, and manufacturing licenses for more, for a population aroung 20000000 people...
As far as I can see, which is about one hand from my nose in military related topics, most recent Venezuelan weapon systems acquisitions are hard to justify on a defense basis, and I just can´t see which country Venezuela could have reasonable expectations to need to attack...
Regards to all, and congratulations on the high level of the discussion.
Mario
The 100.000 AK-103's (?), and the additional to be built in VE, aren't for the army. Chavez is creating a type of 'neighborhood defence' and is training ordinary civilians to give an occupational force an irritation large enough for the US not wanting to invade. City Guerrillas.
Brazil isn't a threat to anybody, they have oilfields of their own to protect from BB Wolf, and Colombia will never act on their own. Although they will be a bridge in a future invasion and I'd be surprised if their army and AUC will just stand put during that.I know it is off topic, but... I don´t think it would be fair to say Colombia is starting an arms race, with the kind of equipment they buy, and with the internal problems they face, due to their drug-financed terrorist groups.
As for Brazil, if you take values be themselves, it may be thought to be a big spender. If you relate them to economy or population, it would be clear that Brazil is among the countries with lowest spenditures on the military...
Another point is that I do not recall to see either the Brazilian or Colombian goverments with the habit of interfering with internal politics of the neighbours, while Chavez (and that is a whole different thing from Venezuela) does or tries to do that quite frequently, as can be seen by some episodes in the media.
Now getting back to topic, I would say that for now, with the external policy the Venezuelan government follows, it only has Russia as a credible military supplier, with China being a distant second choice. So, since from what I see in the news it would mean a Mig29 or SU30/35 variant, and as they already have some of the latter, that would be a no brainer.
As far as drug money, there isn't a drug exporting country in the world that isn't benefitting from it, even though indirectly. Check out what the Colombian attorney general is up to regarding Uribe.
About that media you're watching, if you stand a little bit closer you'll be able to smell their BS. :nutkick