A few corrections and observations.
The AMDR is not a program of record yet, and will be chosen specifically to fit into the BLOCK III. I suspect the Navy has already made decisions on this - but won't tip their hand before the competition is complete.
The Navy's current 5 year plan (FY11-FY15) includes funding for 8 Burkes - all of which will be BLOCK IIA + BMD capability. The BLOCK III would presumably begin in FY16.
The Burke does have about 10% growth margin remaining in the hull for a "plus" redesign, which could include an extension of the hull (sometimes referred to as a plug). As these ships will be using a more powerful radar - it is possible we will see a slight size increase with extra cooling and some power adjustments folded into the new design. With these design changes we will certainly also see some SMARTSHIP tech get added in an attempt to reduce crew size.
The BLOCK III will also get some upgrades for ASW in addition to BMD. I suspect the Navy can get the BLOCK IIAs for around $1.8 billion in FY11 dollars for the 5th-8th ship, but the BLOCK IIIs will run at around $2.2 billion (in other words, be more expensive).
Expect cost growth on DDG-1000s - before they add the AMDR to the hull (yes they will add it). The DDG-1000s will be a playground for new technologies and the Navy will find a way to add new tech into the hull. While you won't find anyone praising the DDG-1000 on the record - I still strongly believe this is going to be one incredible ship. Some very, very smart folks (Navy folks who aren't industry shrill) still make strong arguments that DDG-1000 will be extremely challenging for any enemy to attack OTH, will be very hard for submarines to detect, and the gun system has strong support and has largely been successful.
One prevailing thought on the DDG-1000 is that of a goalkeeper role defensively in major war operations where the ship would hold goalkeeper with ~200 ESSMs and protect HVUs from any ASMs that get through a layered AEGIS defense. Some of the analysis of these roles is quite interesting - and creative. Ultimately, it will be very useful to actually have a platform to test these emerging theories.
We won't see a common hull design program until later this decade, so until then it will be Burkes and Zumwalts to help find the right mix of tech for the common hull design that will likely be the core of the US Navy surface combatant force for most of the 21st century.
The AMDR is not a program of record yet, and will be chosen specifically to fit into the BLOCK III. I suspect the Navy has already made decisions on this - but won't tip their hand before the competition is complete.
The Navy's current 5 year plan (FY11-FY15) includes funding for 8 Burkes - all of which will be BLOCK IIA + BMD capability. The BLOCK III would presumably begin in FY16.
The Burke does have about 10% growth margin remaining in the hull for a "plus" redesign, which could include an extension of the hull (sometimes referred to as a plug). As these ships will be using a more powerful radar - it is possible we will see a slight size increase with extra cooling and some power adjustments folded into the new design. With these design changes we will certainly also see some SMARTSHIP tech get added in an attempt to reduce crew size.
The BLOCK III will also get some upgrades for ASW in addition to BMD. I suspect the Navy can get the BLOCK IIAs for around $1.8 billion in FY11 dollars for the 5th-8th ship, but the BLOCK IIIs will run at around $2.2 billion (in other words, be more expensive).
Expect cost growth on DDG-1000s - before they add the AMDR to the hull (yes they will add it). The DDG-1000s will be a playground for new technologies and the Navy will find a way to add new tech into the hull. While you won't find anyone praising the DDG-1000 on the record - I still strongly believe this is going to be one incredible ship. Some very, very smart folks (Navy folks who aren't industry shrill) still make strong arguments that DDG-1000 will be extremely challenging for any enemy to attack OTH, will be very hard for submarines to detect, and the gun system has strong support and has largely been successful.
One prevailing thought on the DDG-1000 is that of a goalkeeper role defensively in major war operations where the ship would hold goalkeeper with ~200 ESSMs and protect HVUs from any ASMs that get through a layered AEGIS defense. Some of the analysis of these roles is quite interesting - and creative. Ultimately, it will be very useful to actually have a platform to test these emerging theories.
We won't see a common hull design program until later this decade, so until then it will be Burkes and Zumwalts to help find the right mix of tech for the common hull design that will likely be the core of the US Navy surface combatant force for most of the 21st century.