Happy Birthday — Mr Putin
But from the videos it only appears that only one span of what looks like a two span roadway is down. If that's the case then the Russians can still truck stuff in.
Some have claimed it to be a missile strike but, if that was the case, evidence of such would most likely show on the roadways and there doesn't appear to be any yet, so it may suggest a SF OP.
1. Superior intelligence enabled the attack — the Crimean bridge attack destroys a key component of Russia's war infrastructure to sustain its invasion of Ukraine.
2. But this does not mean that Russia can't do without the Crimean bridge, but it's a significant loss.
3. The bridge is an escape route out of Crimea for its estimated 2 million residents. There will be a renewed desire to leave Crimea — this will trigger another wave of people leaving for Russia.
(a) Those in Crimea who are in cahoots with the Russians will evacuate their families and pack light, to ensure that when the time comes, a bag and some essentials are all they need.
(b) These Ukrainian criminals, who have betrayed their country (for rewards offered by the Russian intelligence services), will increasingly face the same worries as former ANA troops still in Afghanistan — these Ukrainians in cahoots with the Russians will face at least jail time for betraying their country (and that would be a lucky outcome for them).
(c) Looking at the above video, internal security in occupied territories will be a problem for Russia, as there will be more and more car bombs going off in Crimea, as well as increased partisan attacks in all Russian occupied areas — the Russians are caught torturing Ukrainians, so I don’t think Ukrainian partisans are in a forgiving mood.
4. Putin has cornered himself, by conducting a sham referenda, and repeatedly brandishing nuclear weapons — the bluff has been called. It’s is a dangerous moment for the world as China is facing tech. access economic warfare by the Americans concurrently.
5. The issue for President Xi is whether he will double down on his bet on Putin. If Putin gets arms from China in the coming days, after the major Chinese Communist Party congress (where Xi will be re-elected into power), tactical nuclear use by Putin is not out of the question. But that carries a cost at the G20. The G7 is very pro-Ukraine but don’t have traction at the G20. Nuclear use will make all G20 nations face a united G7 & the Europeans will ask G20 members are you for us or against us — in our struggle against Putin.
