Russia - General Discussion.

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member

Yes I was pointing out that in my opinion being paid a bonus to volunteer is not really volunteering. It seems more like an incentive. It wasn't my intent to confuse conscripts with contract or volunteer personal.
I mean... voluntary enlistments always come with a financial incentive, namely a paycheck. They also typically get benefits that are often worth financially far more than enlistment bonuses. And enlistment bonuses are a common practice for wartime recruiting. I think the distinction between conscription and voluntary service isn't the payment or lack thereof. It's the fact that they have a choice. Let's also not forget that Russia does in fact have conscripts and practices conscription. And those conscripts are not paid enlistment bonuses. And in at least two situation those conscripts ended up in combat during this war, the first during the initial invasion when ~600 conscripts ended up inside Ukraine as part of the logistics train and were ambushed. The second was during Ukraine's push into Kursk, where conscripts were used as part of border security forces. The first incident was misbehavior by Russian command, and several officers were reportedly put on trial for it. The second incident however was not. There are, to the best of my knowledge, still conscript military forces stationed along the Ukrainian border in areas away from the heavy fighting around Sumy and Kharkov. None of them received enlistment bonuses. None of them have any real choice in the matter. A Russian prisoner getting his sentence commuted to join Storm-Z, or a Russian young person from a poor region counting on the ~2mln RU bonus to buy a home, and signing a 6 month contract with a tank btln, are doing so voluntarily. They're deciding to jump into the grinder and roll the dice for patriotism, or a payoff, or because they're idiots and want adventure, or for any other number of reasons.

Given your position here, would it make service members in the USA that receive enlistment or re-enlistment bonuses also conscripts? ;)
 

Vanquish

Member
I mean... voluntary enlistments always come with a financial incentive, namely a paycheck. They also typically get benefits that are often worth financially far more than enlistment bonuses. And enlistment bonuses are a common practice for wartime recruiting. I think the distinction between conscription and voluntary service isn't the payment or lack thereof. It's the fact that they have a choice. Let's also not forget that Russia does in fact have conscripts and practices conscription. And those conscripts are not paid enlistment bonuses. And in at least two situation those conscripts ended up in combat during this war, the first during the initial invasion when ~600 conscripts ended up inside Ukraine as part of the logistics train and were ambushed. The second was during Ukraine's push into Kursk, where conscripts were used as part of border security forces. The first incident was misbehavior by Russian command, and several officers were reportedly put on trial for it. The second incident however was not. There are, to the best of my knowledge, still conscript military forces stationed along the Ukrainian border in areas away from the heavy fighting around Sumy and Kharkov. None of them received enlistment bonuses. None of them have any real choice in the matter. A Russian prisoner getting his sentence commuted to join Storm-Z, or a Russian young person from a poor region counting on the ~2mln RU bonus to buy a home, and signing a 6 month contract with a tank btln, are doing so voluntarily. They're deciding to jump into the grinder and roll the dice for patriotism, or a payoff, or because they're idiots and want adventure, or for any other number of reasons.

Given your position here, would it make service members in the USA that receive enlistment or re-enlistment bonuses also conscripts? ;)
Financial desperation making people volunteer for war, I would think fixing the cause of their economic situation would be a better solution. That's a difficult situation to address in a lot of cases however. As to offering retention bonuses, in Canada I know there is severe shortage of MARTECs and pilots for example as well as medical personal. In the past I believe some retention bonuses were tried to get critical service people to re-enlist but to my knowledge that practice is no longer happening. Should Canada use re-enlistment bonuses to keep specific trades. I would say the better option would be to offer service members compensation commensurate with what they can make in the private sector.
 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
Financial desperation making people volunteer for war, I would think fixing the cause of their economic situation would be a better solution. That's a difficult situation to address in a lot of cases however. As to offering retention bonuses, in Canada I know there is severe shortage of MARTECs and pilots for example as well as medical personal. In the past I believe some retention bonuses were tried to get critical service people to re-enlist but to my knowledge that practice is no longer happening. Should Canada use re-enlistment bonuses to keep specific trades. I would say the better option would be to offer service members compensation commensurate with what they can make in the private sector.
How would that be a solution? The problem enlistment bonuses are being used to solve is one of attracting people to serve in a brutal, bloody, and protracted war. If their economic situation was better they wouldn't enlist, creating a manpower shortage for Russia... Russia isn't using enlistment bonuses to solve social problems. They're using social problems to solve enlistment issues.
 

Vanquish

Member
How would that be a solution? The problem enlistment bonuses are being used to solve is one of attracting people to serve in a brutal, bloody, and protracted war. If their economic situation was better they wouldn't enlist, creating a manpower shortage for Russia... Russia isn't using enlistment bonuses to solve social problems. They're using social problems to solve enlistment issues.
That was my point going back to the beginning about the bonuses being offered. People are not going to volunteer for war unless it's the only solution to their personal economic station. Again the point that I understood or maybe misunderstood being made was that Russia was having no problem getting people to voluntarily enlist. I disagreed with that point. We agree that Russians and others that are primarily volunteering are doing so largely based on the huge bonuses being offered.
 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
That was my point going back to the beginning about the bonuses being offered. People are not going to volunteer for war unless it's the only solution to their personal economic station.
That simply isn't true. People volunteer for a number of reasons. One of them is a financial incentive. Another is to get access to opportunities they otherwise wouldn't get. A third is patriotic or nationalistic sentiment (or other ideological motivation). Russia specifically is leaning heavily on the financial incentive, with some attempt to tie career and educational opportunities to service as well. This has to do with the weakness of Russia on the ideological front, but it doesn't meant it isn't a factor. And often it's a combination of factors, rather then just it being the only solution to their personal economic station.

Again the point that I understood or maybe misunderstood being made was that Russia was having no problem getting people to voluntarily enlist. I disagreed with that point. We agree that Russians and others that are primarily volunteering are doing so largely based on the huge bonuses being offered.
Russia has no problem getting people to volunteer. The reason Russia has no problem getting people to volunteer is because of generous financial incentives, primarily, with secondary factors playing a role too.

I'll quote you your original post that started this discussion;

I think that's kind of dubious when conscripts are given signing bonuses.
Conscripts are not being given signing bonuses. Conscripts are not the primary source or even a major source of manpower for this war, their involvement is very rare. People signing up to serve because of financial incentives are not conscripts.
 

Vanquish

Member
I think we're somewhat going in circles here. I shouldn't have used the word conscripts when I meant "volunteers" to be clear.

Again as to volunteers, certainly some individuals may feel that going to war is best for them for whatever personal reason or gain. It would be interesting to know how many volunteer to go to war for an education in comparison to how many sign up to go to war for their bank account. I know we'll never know that answer.

However in my opinion Russia wouldn't have to offer ever increasing incentives for people to go to war if they were having no issue in recruiting "volunteers". I would imagine everyday Russians are learning more and more about the devastating casualties that both involved countries are suffering and while they are still "volunteering" it's taking greater incentives to attract them.

Others have spent many pages on here informing the difficulty Ukraine experiences in the regards to recruitment. I'm merely trying to point out that while Russia seemingly is able to fill it's ranks, it's not coming without great expenditure for the treasury. To me that implies that individuals are becoming less likely to want to volunteer for patriotism or other reasons and most likely only due to economic reasons.
 

seaspear

Well-Known Member
It does not appear that conscripts are voluntary and certainly they can be sent to regions in Russia requiring combat duties without compense
.
 

Feanor

Super Moderator
Staff member
It does not appear that conscripts are voluntary and certainly they can be sent to regions in Russia requiring combat duties without compense
.
Conscription in Russia is absolutely not voluntary and never has been. In the 2010's it was easier to get alternative service, i.e. nonmilitary public service, but it's gotten harder during the past 5 years. I believe they were tightening it up even before the war, certainly more-so during it. And yes, while conscripts that end up in combat in Kursk or Belgorod regions do get combat veteran status and the associated benefits, they aren't going to be paid as contract soldiers. There is also a problem with command trying to pressure conscripts to sign contracts. The best chance for avoiding it is to reach out to your military prosecutor's office, or to have your family do so on your behalf. Russian military units aren't quite the closed off fiefdoms they used to be 20 years ago, but they are still far more isolated then living in normal society, and with the current war, draft dodging is definitely on the rise.

I think we're somewhat going in circles here. I shouldn't have used the word conscripts when I meant "volunteers" to be clear.

Again as to volunteers, certainly some individuals may feel that going to war is best for them for whatever personal reason or gain. It would be interesting to know how many volunteer to go to war for an education in comparison to how many sign up to go to war for their bank account. I know we'll never know that answer.

However in my opinion Russia wouldn't have to offer ever increasing incentives for people to go to war if they were having no issue in recruiting "volunteers". I would imagine everyday Russians are learning more and more about the devastating casualties that both involved countries are suffering and while they are still "volunteering" it's taking greater incentives to attract them.

Others have spent many pages on here informing the difficulty Ukraine experiences in the regards to recruitment. I'm merely trying to point out that while Russia seemingly is able to fill it's ranks, it's not coming without great expenditure for the treasury. To me that implies that individuals are becoming less likely to want to volunteer for patriotism or other reasons and most likely only due to economic reasons.
Agreed. In '22-'23 it was also common for people who wanted to fight to do so through volunteer formations or through the "orchestra" because conditions were better, and you were guaranteed a discharge, in volunteer units on desire, and in mercenary units upon completing your time. The MoD did a lot of strange things with contracts back then and it led to a major lack of trust in them. It's hard to tell what this looks like now, especially with volunteer units being less common and use of mercenaries scaled back. The fact that they do release people after the 6-month contracts also helped, as they came home flush with money, wearing medals, and telling war stories. Many went through the cash fast and hard, and were right back to signing the next contract in less than 3 months after getting out, and many others saw that as their opportunity to make money, but also earn some respect. In many economically more depressed parts of Russia a single 6-month contract is a life-changing amount of money. It can literally pay for an entire home, no mortgage.
 

John Fedup

The Bunker Group
Financial desperation making people volunteer for war, I would think fixing the cause of their economic situation would be a better solution. That's a difficult situation to address in a lot of cases however. As to offering retention bonuses, in Canada I know there is severe shortage of MARTECs and pilots for example as well as medical personal. In the past I believe some retention bonuses were tried to get critical service people to re-enlist but to my knowledge that practice is no longer happening. Should Canada use re-enlistment bonuses to keep specific trades. I would say the better option would be to offer service members compensation commensurate with what they can make in the private sector.
Decent accommodation and modern military kit would also help with Canada’s retention problem.
 

personaldesas

New Member
World economy is stagnate and fragile in Q1 this year. Almost everyone is tend to be down from Q4 24. Calling one quarter down is not recession. Western economist and Banks already call Russian economy facing strained since 22.

I'm not saying everything is good in Russia, and nothing to be concern. However the whole world economy right now is not in good term, the whole world economy facing adjustment. Big part of this due to Geopolitics of Trump, but significant part also because not all economics wheels already return to pre covid condition yet.

Russia is not in War Economy yet, unlike Ukraine. So they are not in war footing as in WW2 as example yet. Sanctions means they (Russia) are switching market. However global stagnation is not helping anyone now.


When IMF put 2.8% of global growth, it is shown fragility of World economies.
It feels like my point is being somewhat strawmaned here.

I’m not claiming that a single quarter of negative growth equals a recession, or that Russia is uniquely suffering while everyone else is doing fine. My point was that if Russia’s GDP is now falling, it’s significant *because* much of its post-invasion growth was driven by war-related sectors - sectors that don't improve longterm welfare and whose output is often literally destroyed. That kind of growth is inherently fragile.

Public war spending may have propped up the economy for a while, but if that engine is now sputtering - whatever the reasons - that’s worth paying attention to.
 
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Ananda

The Bunker Group
My point was that if Russia’s GDP is now falling, it’s significant *because* much of its post-invasion growth was driven by war-related sectors - sectors that don't improve longterm welfare and whose output is often literally destroyed. That kind of growth is inherently fragile.
The growth of Russia is not just from war related sector. That's what missleading and mostly taking cues only from some Western sources. The Russian growth coming from:
  1. Russian commodities exports, especially from rebound economies in global south after Covid,
  2. Increase their domestic Import Substitution to cater still growing public consumption,
  3. War related industries growth.
This is what my points from all along. Western media only taking cues from some think tanks that saying Russian growth mostly only come from one sector, Russian War time industries. However market data shown at least three sector that somewhat equally provide the growth.

Global economies slow down matter to #1 and effecting #2. Thus saying only #3 that fuel growth is not giving full picture of Russian economies. Yes rellying only to #3 will not going to provide sustainable growth. Then again slown down from #1 seems so far matter more.

Russian commodities market is slown down this Q1. Global growth rebound after Covid especially in Global South is slowing down. It is matter as it is still #1 engine growth for Russia.

As for #3, I have mention before in this thread, the rebound growth of Russia MIC due to war, can give soft landing or more sustainable if they can find exports market. Significant Investment on their MIC and related sector need to have external channel if the War slowing down later on. This is why Rosoboronexport recently increase their effort to regain back their market export, especially in Russia traditional Global South market.
 
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