The announcement is very specific in that they want a boat that's in the water, not on the drawing board - no paper boats, no concept art, they want something that they can put seed corn crew on board and have them come home and say "well, it's a pommie boat and they don't f*** shower but we can fix that" (for example)Could the RN develop a sub to replace the Astutes but not actually receive the first boat. The RAN Could recieve a batch first then both navies Could accept boats at intervals.
It may be just speculation, but I think what they're claiming would actually be the path of least resistance, delay and risk. The boats could be near off the shelf designs and with the US having to take the lead on any design problems with their vessels, it would be about as safe a bet as any new SSN program could be. Not to mention the interoperability and operational benefits of having the same class vessel as Australia's largest ally in the Pacific.From Global Defense Corp:
Australia to Build Eight Nuclear Submarines Based on Virginia-class Block V – Global Defense Corp
Surely just speculation?
Yes astute starting to make sense purely on construction timetable. Possibly build first one in the Uk by accelerating the current build and tack us onto the end. Then build the rest hereAstute production has a slower drumbeat to keep the yard busy until Dreadnaught ramps up as others have mentioned. Another factor allowing a higher drumbeat in the US, IIRC, is both Newport News and Electric Boat are invoked in sub construction now.
I might have agreed with you if the US wasn't currently operating 28 Los Angeles class Submarines with an average age of 30+ years. The USN need for new Submarines is as great or even greater then the RANs.I was intrigued when Dutton and Australia's Finance minister Simon Birmingham both confirmed in separate interviews that Australia would consider leasing submarines until we could build our own.
Given that this has been planned for 18 months it is quite possible that a lot of the detail has already been worked out and just not made public. I doubt Dutton would say something like that unless he was pretty sure that the Americans or British would be willing to provide a submarine. Australia probably couldn't operate a Los Angeles or Trafalgar class and I doubt the UK could spare an Astute so that leaves the Americans.
So I looked back and found this.
US Navy inks deal for a tenth Virginia-class submarine
The U.S. Navy sealed the deal on a 10th ship in its latest iteration of the Virginia-class attack submarine, issuing a $2.4 billion adjustment on a contract initially awarded in December 2019.www.defensenews.com
Ok so the American's ordered an additional nuke back in March. So conspiracy theory hats on ... this might have been added purely to give the USN a spare submarine that could either be leased, or replace a submarine that could be leased to Australia.
The UK is in a similar state - we're running on some T boats which are really tired and maintenance intensive so ideally, Astute builds would have been earlier and quicker.I might have agreed with you if the US wasn't currently operating 28 Los Angeles class Submarines with an average age of 30+ years. The USN need for new Submarines is as great or even greater then the RANs.
The problem there though would be your yards then run out of work and you lose the decades of experience in building Subs and are forced to restart to build the Dreadnoughts. 11 subs is probably the bare minimum to maintain a continuous build.The UK is in a similar state - we're running on some T boats which are really tired and maintenance intensive so ideally, Astute builds would have been earlier and quicker.
I don't think Dutton would raise the possibility of an overseas buy or lease unless there was some contingency plan.I might have agreed with you if the US wasn't currently operating 28 Los Angeles class Submarines with an average age of 30+ years. The USN need for new Submarines is as great or even greater then the RANs.
Which then begs the question..."What is the UK involvement in this whole submarine plan?"I don't think Dutton would raise the possibility of an overseas buy or lease unless there was some contingency plan.
He was also fairly specific in mentioning that no decision would be made until after an 18 month assessment was made of the ASC. In my mind that raises another possibility and that is that it simply won't be feasible to build a nuclear sub in Australia. That being the case Australia may well end up building modules and providing components in some sort of workshare arrangement similar to the F-35.
This of course would only really work if we went with a US designed sub. This could actually benefit the US since it would effectively give them another shipyard and allow them to accelerate sub production.
Our benefit would be that we would get our boats sooner and probably a lot cheaper.
Win Win really.
Maybe the UK is providing the reactor PWR3? Is the US sensitive about it’s reactors being used by third party countries?Which then begs the question..."What is the UK involvement in this whole submarine plan?"
One liner - I know - but that is the 64 million dollar question
MB
Absolutely the US is sensitive about naval reactors. The UK or Australia can only build US reactors for themselves or each other. However, Australia is likely going to have one of the partners build theirs, less expensive and the builder will be responsible for disposal.Maybe the UK is providing the reactor PWR3? Is the US sensitive about it’s reactors being used by third party countries?
Australia will not be building Reactors here in Australia, my feeling is that the Reactor will be part of an entire Module that will be built in whichever Country is providing the design and shipped to Australia.Absolutely the US is sensitive about naval reactors. The UK or Australia can only build US reactors for themselves or each other. However, Australia is likely going to have one of the partners build theirs, less expensive and the builder will be responsible for disposal.