It is expected that all twelve Arafura Class vessels will be in service before the first of the Hunters hit the water.There are a few questions which keep popping up in my mind whenever someone starts to bring up the ideas of up-gunning the OPV's, or building some sort of corvette or light/patrol frigate class based off the OPV's.
One of the questions of course involves costs. How much is this supposed to cost, where is the money coming from, who is paying for it, and what is being underfunded or left unfunded, etc?
The next question is, who is supposed to be crewing these OPV-turned corvettes? If such vessels are suppose to have a more useful wartime role, then not only will the vessel require more than a 40 mm gun, but the vessel will also require additional crew who can both operate and support the additional systems. Take sonar for instance. If the MFU's and some sort of ASW focused OPV or FS were to both be in service in numbers, then the RAN might need to double the number of personnel trained to effectively operate and maintain the sonar systems. While I am confident that the RAN could successfully increase the number of personnel if needed, it would be a task which requires time, and further funding which would just increase the costs of the capability further.
Next up would be the question of where would or could such vessels be built? AFAIK Australia does not have sufficient naval shipbuilding capabilities to fulfill both the current OPV and frigate orders, have capacity to also meet the sub order which is supposed to be coming, and also fit in ordering an additional class of vessels. The closest option might be for the OPV build to get shelved in favour of a corvette build, but that is still something that would take years to carry out and would leave the patrol forces short of suitable vessels. That would be acceptable in wartime, but not so much in peace, which we still have.
Lastly, we come to just what would be needed to both be effective, be able to be included into a vessel of the appropriate size, and the desire work to achieve that. The more combat systems, sensors and weapons included in a vessel, then either the shorter the vessel's range and endurance, speed, or the need to increase the size of the vessel to be able to fit the desired systems. So some thought would be needed regarding not just want was needed and wanted, but also what vessel designs could fit the desired systems. If the RAN desired, I am certain that a slightly modified, ASW-focused version of the MEKO 200 could be designed and built for RAN service, but by then one it back to talking more about expanding the surface major warships fleet. Minor warships, at least those which would be more than just extra targets, run into some hard limitations given the operation ranges and potential threats RAN vessels could encounter in a wartime situation.
With the commitment to acquire an addition eight Arafura's to fulfil the Mine / Survey role and bringing forward their build schedule, they will also be in service before the first of the Hunters hit the water.
No fantasy fleets so far
The Hunters and the Attack class will not start to provide a service until the mid 2030's and that's a best case scenario.
No fantasy fleets so far
Our fleet as is with the introduction the Arafura Class is our fleet going forward to the mid 30's.
I do get the questions of limitations of the Arafura class and the questions of cost and time.
I also see opportunity and need.
Put all the constabulary bollocks for the OPV's in the bin when even the most limited of confrontation is encountered.
Our limited numbers of major fleet units will be hard pressed to perform the wide range of tasks asked of them in this environment, made worse when they are tasked to do the lighter roles that should of been performed by a corvette sized vessel.
So do we want to build 20 x 1800t "harbour harlot"s restricted to port unable to venture to sea?
Or do we actually take the opportunity that they are the constant in our future fleet that provides the best opportunity in the short term to add fire power and options to the fleet.
Yes the Arafura's are not a Corvette, but they have much more potential than being a under gunned OPV.
If the Geo political situation is as dire as the government suggests as reflected in the Strategic Defence Review, then investment in the OPV's makes a lot of sense.
Not a fantasy fleet and yes we do have the money to make it a reality.
Regards S
PS - Was it eighty years ago we had most of our southern and east coast shipping confined to port as enemy submarines were creating havoc to all that ventured out to sea.
That was with technology of 8 decades ago.
What would that scenario look like today?