Looking at the schedule of major RAN projects
- Future Submarine has an initial design concept in FY2009-10 to FY2010-11
- Maritime combat Helicopter (24 new Anti-Submarine Warfare/Anti-Surface Warfare Helicopters): First Pass Approval FY 2009-10 to FY 2010-11
- OPV scheduled First Pass Approval FY 2012-13 to FY 2014-15
- LCH scheduled First Pass Approval: FY 2012-13 to FY 2014-15
- Maritime Operational Support Capability.(Success replacement) 2016+
- Strategic Sealift: 2019+
- Future Frigate 2019+
I guess the desicions to expect in the near future are the intial concept design for the future submarine and the maritime warfare helicopter.
Any thoughts on the likely options for these?
A this point, it would seem that the Maritime Combat Helicopter choices revolve around either some version of the NFH-90, or a new version of the Seahawk, most likely the MH-60R.
My personal preference at this stage would be for the RAN to go with the MH-60R, or some Australianized version of it.
My preferences for are because I like the capabilities it is supposed to have, as well as the level of integration. Having a co-pilot that can assist the WSO with mission taskings because the information is available in the co-pilot's seat when they are not needed for flying IMO is a nice feature. Combining the sensors and systems that had previously been used in two different Seahawk versions into one helicopter, along with improvements to those systems, should allow a RAN FAA helicopter to provide the vessel(s) it operates with a greater level of support.
Other areas which I think makes the MH-60R a better choice for the RAN is the fact that there are already currently ~16 S-70B (-2, -9?) Seahawks in service within the RAN. This means that there is already familiarity within the fleet for operating and handling them, as well as an existing support base for the airframe. The RAN might even be able to have the existing airframes re-manufactured to the MH-60R (for re-manufacture incidentally) standard, with orders placed for however many new aircraft needed to reach the desired numbers of Maritime Combat helicopters.
The next and final areas where I think the MH-60R makes a better choice for the RAN, is that the programme is already well underway for the USN, with the first operational deployment scheduled for this year. By going with a MOTS design in service with the USN, the RAN can potentially tap into the existing developmet and support chain that the USN has and is setting up. Secondly, having entered service and been deployed, there less exposure to programme risk, as occurred with the ill-fated SH-2G(A) Super Seasprite. Since the design is in operational service with the USN, it might be possible for the RAN to acquire sufficient numbers to meet the helicopter needs of the RAN, if the USN is willing to give up or accept later production slots for their order.
The areas where I see the MH-60R not being the ideal choice it otherwise are two-fold. The first is that the AFG did have a helicopter rationalization plan, to reduce the total # of different designs to ease the support burden across the different services. As part of this, both Army Black Hawks and RAN Seahawks were to be phased out of service. The area item about the Seahawk is that the design itself is somewhat older and smaller, which means that as an aircraft, it is not as capable as the NFH-90 might be in terms of payload, unrefueled range and loiter time.
The pros for an Australian NFH-90 are that the helicopter airframe itself is newer, larger and lighter for its size than the Seahawk. This gives it the ability to carry greater amounts of stores over potentially longer distances before needing to bre refueled. Secondly, the airframe itself will be in common with the MRH-90 in service, thus allowing continuation of the planned helicopter rationalization. Lastly, the helicopter might be able to be constructed here at the same facilities where the MRH-90's are being constructed.
IMO the different marks against the RAN choosing the NFH-90 are as follows. AFAIK, initial delivery is not scheduled until some time this year, with IOC expected some time around 2011, which means the NFH-90 would not be available to immediate order and entry into service. The NFH-90 electronics and mission systems are oriented towards European systems, which is not necessarily the direction the RAN is going in terms of munitions, therefore the RAN might suffer extra risks and costs incorporating the desired munitions. Additionally, it appears that the NFH-90 production run will be smaller in total than the MH-60R, which means both a greater exposure to programme risk and cost. Lastly, it has not been stated (at least in a source I have) what sort of electronics and and mission systems the NFH-90 will have. It might emerge geared for ASW ops, but not ASuW...
My final thought on any future Maritime Combat helicopter is that the RAN/ADF should get started on this sooner, rather than later. At present, there are ~16 naval helicopters in service within the RAN, for use aboard 12 frigates. If loaded to capacity, those frigates could deploy with all the Seahawks the RAN has. What this means is that if something were to occur, the RAN would either deploy with every helicotper in inventory, regardless of what their operational status was (doing a work-up, being overhauled, etc) or not all frigates would be equipped with their helicopter capacity. If the Seasprites had entered service, then the FAA would have a total of ~27 naval helicopters, nearly twice the current inventory. The longer the purchase or replacement is delayed, the greater the chances the comparatively low helicopter inventory will be a problem.
-Cheers