I can't see searam or Phalanx on the Arafuras as that weight is upwards of 6-8 tonnes, and it needs to be mounted relatively high up for effectiveness. There's also no existing platform for it, so will also need a substantial structure resulting in even more weight. Ship stability would likey be compromised after all of that.The way the world is going I would think 57mm or 76mm (if possible) with smart ammunition plus at least something like SeaRam at a bare minimum. Because the Arafuras will essentially be operating in our littorial environment they shouldn't need NSM or ESSM as that capability should be under the umbrella of coastal defence from HIMARS if the powers that be get their act together. Any further out will require a Tier 1 or Tier 2 combatant.
I would have though that 40mm is the maximum that these vessels will ever get, however I would view that a navalised EOS R400 with a 30mm bushmaster is a more likely outcome, perhaps with a Spike, Javelin, Hellfire or other missile that this system already works with. Its only about half a tonne, maybe a tonne with missiles, and already in the inventory.
Again these won't get weapons until they are properly in service and their purpose has been proven. That has to come first.
Mind you, I've seen systems bolted to ships going into active operational areas in very quick time. What can take years in peacetime, can (unsuprisingly) happen very fast when push comes to shove, particularly for well understood weapons.
So if the scenario suddenly changes, and for what ever reason Arafuras need a self defence gun, then it can be done quickly. Else we might see this upgrade after the class has proven itself in service (which I'm certain it will).
