The Arafura conversation is not really about comparing it to this or that,but rather acknowledging the reality that all six of them will be in service by 2029.
That’s six 80 m 1640t vessels of actual reality before we see any Hunters, Mogami , upgraded Hobarts or SSNs.
That bigger more potent navy is still a long way off into the future
Now Arafura’s potential is still limited and expectations should not be grand.
That said there is scope in the Arafura’s design to make them a greater asset than what they are today.
With our little 9 to 10 vessel fleet most of which are either old or out of the water with upgrades it seems prudent to capitalise on what you have that’s actually new and entering service.
No doubt this debate will continue as defence dangle carrots or curiosities for us to ponder.
I have a feeling Navy will ( reluctantly ) evolve this ship and would not be surprised if a couple more are added to the fleets numbers.
Ties in well with their construction timeframe and also a federal election in a couple of years time.
Or potentially maybe sooner !!!!!!!
turbulent world and all
Cheers S
I think what I come back to with these discussions, is at the end of the day we still need a vessel like the Arafura to do the longer distance patrolling and surveillance. It can't be done by the Capes, and its too much of an opportunity cost to do it with frigates. And there are lots of things aircraft can't do, like persistence. I think for the next 10 years that is still likely to be the dominant picture.
I think people would be surprised by just how much of the frigate and destroyer fleet uptime gets allocated to patrols and surveillance. When I was at sea, it ended up being about half our job. I think even with six Arafuras permanently allocated to patrols and surveillance, it would still not completely cover the task.
If we upgun the Arafuras, then we still find ourselves in the situation of needing the Arafuras to do the open ocean patrolling and surveilance, just we have spent a lot of money on equipment they will not use for that purpose.
So you end up where you started. Whether we stick with the current armament, or install a whole lot more, the ship is still going to be doing the same function, because that's what's required.
The Arafura's benefit is that it releases a frigate to do something more important, and we can get the very best bang for buck out of this small fleet of real combatants.
With reflection, I think if there is a pot of money available for the Arafuras (which there appears to be), then a few more basic hulls allows more patrols and reconnaissance, say three for an additional continuous loop, releasing another 1.5 frigates (on my maths above) for other more muscular jobs. And for what is left over then upgrade drone support systems and surveillance equipment.
If I had a choice between a big gun and some very fancy front end ESM/ECM gear for the Arafuras, I'm thinking the EW suite is the better option. Most of this equipment is relatively small and it looks like a radar farm. It turns an Arafura however into a floating MC-55 Perigrine. Imagine that capability.
Add to it some very intelligent drones with say a 300-400km range (which the old S100 camcopter had), then it can surveil a seriously large area of ocean.