Takao
The Bunker Group
Kinda. Historically correct, but a specific project to purchase additional F-35s was changed in 2016 DWP. We used that previous change to drive the idea that Additional Air Combat Capability was much broader in 2020 FSP. That offered AFHQ options - it could be additional crewed platforms, uncrewed platforms, weapons or radars. But specifically calling out an additional 28x F-35? That was explicitly kept out in 2020.Sorry, but you are wrong, completely wrong.
The project that is now known as “Additional Air Combat Capability” has gone through many many name changes.
Go back to the 2009 DWP and 2009 DCP, it clearly spelt out this project as the 4th Sqn of up to 28 F-35A.
Over the years the Defence Capability Plan (DCP) changed names too, and became the Defence Integrated Investment Plan (DIIP), by 2020 it was called the Force Structure Plan (FSP), same animal, different name.
Back in the early days of AIR 6000, Phase 2a/2b was the approved 72 aircraft, the ‘4th Sqn’ was known as Phase 2c.
Somewhere between then and now Phase 2c became Phase 7 (again, same animal, different name).
In latter years the ‘definition’ of the project became broader, stopped specifically naming the F-35A, but didn’t discard that option either.
Not quite...One more point, it can’t be confused with MQ-28A, that is a completely separate project, with a completely separate budget allocation.
In the 2020 FSP, there was the “Additional Air Combat Capability” project with a budget allocation of up to $6.7B, and separately the “Teaming Air Vehicle” project (MQ-28A) with a budget allocation of up to $11B.
Two separate projects, two separate budget allocations.
Originally there was a key HQ within AFHQ that was very anti-Loyal Wingman (and no, the lead of cell was not aircrew of any type). The was a deliberate campaign to restrict all funding to it. Simultaneously, there was a need to fund teaming air vehicles, but what that looks like was unknown in 2019. We assessed that LW was a fine technology demonstrator, but unlikely to match what the RAAF needed in 2030+. Add in the desire to inject flexibility to allow AFHQ to match the threat (that changed AACC above) and we had two funding streams. AACC could help fund LW into service while TAV would be used to identify and fund the LW replacement.
Noting this may have shifted in 2023, that was the broad, overall intent. There are actually significant 'chunks' of funding within the FSP20 for uncrewed platforms - simply to allow the RAAF more flexibility than the Services had been provided to date.
There is always an argument about how much of the IIP should be released for public viewing - but frankly where that specific $6.7 b goes is not really for the public to know. The quick answer is - it depends. Ultimately, Defence's budget can be changed at any point to match Government priorities - and that's fine. Its harder to do that as you get closer to the current FY, but in the past I've had to help find spare funding to transfer out in April.Here’s another question (that doesn’t appear to have an answer), what happens to the up to $6.7B that had been allocated to that project? Does it just disappear from the Defence Budget (specifically RAAF budget)?
This is an example of why I have a problem with the 2023 Albo DSR, Army projects cut, RAAF projects cut, we await the RAN review (which won’t be pretty), but we’ve just had a taste with the S-100 project being chopped.
Yes funds get reallocated, but we continue to be left in the dark where those Defence budget allocations are going.
Will they stay in Defence or end up outside of Defence? Maybe in a Green/Left looney project?
Who knows?
Specifically, noting when it is, it's probably been rolled out into other projects. The in-year amounts for the first decade have already been provided and we are expected to meet them - so it's unlikely that it was handed back to consolidated revenue. Instead, it'll have been reallocated across other projects to (a) bring them into service earlier, (b) shift their delivery profile to allow a third capability to be delivered earlier, or (c) shifted into projects that simply don't have the cash they need.