Reading an article on the Dutch Air Force Hercules replacement, they have already rejected the A400 as its "less operationally agile", which I presume means its too big for many of the tasks.
Other A400 operators obviously think the same as the Germans intend to keep the C130, the French also intend to keep the C130 & also operate the C235M, Spain, Turkey and Malaysia also operate the C235M
What has changed after the decision was made to keep the Hercules in service until 2035?
I'm sure there is a market for 2nd hand RAF C130s especially after fitting of new centre wings, but in a volatile world, politically and environmentally & with the UK commitment to Pacific operations why would we want to reduce our transport fleet?
Unless the Hercules is replaced with A400 or another type, the fleet isn’t been modernised it’s been cut.