There are a number of technical errors in that article, so I'd be taking a bit of it with a pinch of salt.
You might want to talk to your doctor then, as I am not certain the amount of salt required is healthy...
2030
Combat:
• 24 F/A-18F (Second Hand from the RAAF when they replace it with F-35s)
• 10 Hawk Trainers (Second Hand from the RAAF/RAF)
Training:
• 5 or more Beech King Air B200
• 13 or more CT-4E Air trainers
Maritime Patrol:
• 4 to 6 P-8 Poseidons
Cargo Transport
• 5 C-130J
VIP Transport
• 2 Boeing 757-200
Helicopter Transport:
• 8 or more NH90
• 5 or more A109
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles:
• 3 to 5 UAVs (Global Hawk or MQ-1 Predator)
To be honest, I do not think this OrBat would be particularly suitable for the NZDF, even in 2030.
For one thing, the 757-200s likely would be up for, if not already past due for replacement. IIRC the line closed several years ago and the ones the RNZAF acquired were purchased on the 2nd hand aircraft market.
IMO, the RNZAF is currently understrength in essentially all areas. The OrBat given for 2030 only really addresses the lack of the ACF, and even then it does not do so all that well IMO. Assuming that the RNZAF is allowed to purchase the ex-RAAF SHornets, then in 2030 it would be using fighters that are ~20 years old and should therefore commence looking for a replacement. OTOH, I do not think that any ex-RAAF Hawk 127 LIFT would be available for the RNZAF, or if they were, that they would be useful. I could be mistaken but I was under the impression that the ADF was getting essentially full use out of them, to the point where there is no additional fast mover training capacity within the ADF. Secondly, I was also under the impression that RAAF Hawk 127s were getting used up and experiencing stress cracks and fatigue already. By the time the RAAF moves onto whatever will be the Hawk 127 replacement, I expect the RAAF Hawks to be completely stuffed.
For the other areas, everything else listed (aside from the 1:1 replacement P-3K Orion with P-8A Poseidon) is either what is already on order, or just a 1:1 replacement of similar capability.
Given where NZ is and how necessary logistical support is, I would like to see additional transports. This could be in the form of greater numbers of types currently set to enter service, or additional types (like the C-27J) to augment what is in service or on order.
Something else which would likely be quite welcome, both for the NZDF but also amongst allies, would be some form of AAR capability. To that end, my preference for the C-130H Hercules replacement would be KC-130J Hercules II. Similarly when the Boeing 757-200s are replaced, it would be better to have their replacements fitted as MRTT, possibly like the RAAF A330 MRTT or whatever the USAF tanker replacement programme finally settles on.
One of the important things which IMO has been overlooked, is not just what a particular force should look like, but why? And then as a follow on to that, how to develop the force towards the designed result.
One of the first things I would advocate for would be a greater sensor footprint around NZ. With that in place, NZ could then make more efficient use of NZDF assets to respond when needed.
Another thing I would advocate for would be, in concert with other FPDA nations, the re-establishment of a fast jet training squadron. I would model on the NATO Flying School in Canada, but instead have 'client' nations be drawn from FPDA/ASEAN. AFAIK NZ has some fairly open airspace, the same cannot be said for all nations in ASEAN (Singapore comes to mind) and having such a setup can potentially help all parties through economy of scale as well as potential space and facilities available. As adjuncts to this, I would recommend that the fast jet trainer be a dual-use design with a secondary attack/air defence role, like the TA-50 Golden Eagle, or if some version of Hawk comes out merging the capabilities of Hawk 100 & 200-series aircraft. Also, it would make more sense IMO for NZ to allow Singapore to operate some of the RSAF from NZ, IIRC there is a unit of RSAF TA-4 Skyhawks currently based in France. They could likely be based in NZ just as easily and perhaps even less expensively...
Something to consider at least.
-Cheers