Following Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto is e…
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- The deal according to this still 48 but divide into 3 batches of 16,
- Not cleae yet if it will be Blk 2 or Batch 1, as ROK talk there will be export order on existing Blk 1 in production line. While Indonesia MinDef already talk if deal continues, Indonesia batches will be part of Multirole Blk 2.
- Not clear yet how far Industrial cooperation that DI got from KAI.
So based on this the target of 11-12 squadron will come from:
- 3 sq of Rafale with options of 4 sq (if additional option of 12-18 being taken),
- 2 sq of M346FA as Hawk 200 replacement,
- 3 sq of KF-21 as F-16 replacement (which in my opinion more coincide with KF-21 blk 2 timing).
The other 3 sq in my opinion put it as interim as it will be stop gap until TAI KAAN with ITAR free engine available. The Flankers could also be keep until KAAN ready with talk of all Su-27 can be replace by Su-35 and Su-30 will be maintain as Su-30 Mk2. The composition still speculate from current 11-5 or 9-7 or 8-8 combo of Su-30Mk2 and Su-27/35.
All this just base on the rumours and speculation base on procurement contract that MinDef already talk in media and marketing lobby rumours. Personally for those 3 sq of Interim Fighters, I'm speculating on 1 sq of Flankers combo and 2 sq of J-10B. Why ? Because shown Indonesia keep embracing BRICS (especially in defense co-op) to China and Russia, and second thing as the fiscally affordable solution. The Flankers and J-10B will share same engine and being station on Eastern Indonesia.