Thanks for the reply gf0012-austgf0012-aust said:Lets ignore the polemics and deal with known data:
The US hasn't had to fight a symetrical war for eons because it has had absolute technical dominance across the spectrum.
- There are more F-22's flying than Rafales (2 squadrons - 42+ frames)
- The first full operational squadron goes gold in November
- When have Russian SAMs performed disproportionately against a target opportunity over a long term period? The Israelis had counters to the threat within 6 working days - the US developed AR solutions
- Where is there any empirical data that supports the absolute threat capability of the S400?
- What evidence at all is there that Wild Weasel or EW platforms will be vulnerable against the S400?? - absolutely none. The US doesn't send platforms in by themselves - they use systems - if one is compromised - then there are redundant solutions available. What other country has the same level of overlayed package deployability across a broad front at an intercontinental level?
and can people get the Vietnam analogy right? The US never ever lost a force majeur contact in Vietnam, after the Tet offensive the NVA was absolutely decimated at a force upon force level. They never came out and played force against force after that. In fact Linebacker was predominantly responsible for getting them to Paris for the peace talks. They had to start negotiation in good faith.
Using Vietnam as an example of symetrical engagement is absolutely fallacious.
Warfare is about systems and logistics - and not in that order. Who and where has any other country got the capacity to maintain tempo in a force on force engagement?
Just a reminder for some: Warfare is about the multiple "P's":
Projection
Persistence
Performance
Precision
Political Will and Intent
Packages
Lets not ignore reality as well.
You make your case clearly enough but I think our thought processes differ somewhat.
Whilst you rightly say that there is no empirical data on S400 threat assessments there is equally none on the effectiveness of the F22 (!). Obviously we would be wise to consider that the F22 is likely to be effective –but the same goes for the S400.
All this talk of the F22 being operational… not in the SEAD role. SEAD is still the domain of non-stealthy aircraft, particularly the F16 and A6 in US doctrine.
S400 is a mobile set-up designed to be moved around (assumption based on S300 pedigree). It’s phased array radar, data link networking etc make it an inherently difficult system to counter –the target aircraft is not aware if it has been ‘locked onto’. The missile launchers can be many miles closer to the target than the radar.
Whilst the US makes great pains to reduce the shoot-loop it is still unrealistic to suggest that stealth aircraft such as the F117 can be employed loitering above the battlefield waiting for a non-stealthy aircraft to be shot at so that it can respond with JDAMS (unless F117 is operational with ARMs?).
S400 poses a real threat to stand-of surveillance platforms such as AWACs and JSTAR which tend to be relatively high flying slow moving targets. The question is, would the US run out of JSTARS/AWACs quicker than the enemy runs out of S400….
Well anyway, it’s not as if S400 is even deployed in meaningful numbers… yet.
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