My main take is Chavez is indeed winning. He's defined winning in his rants against the US and the UK. He, along with the other "loud mouths" around the word are preaching an almost identical message.
Chavez uses, "I'm elected and thus we have a democracy. We were all lead to believe a democracy would give us the 'American Dream'. However, just looking around at your neighbor, everyone sees both our neighbors and us are living an American/UK Imperial Nightmare. They are trying in every way to steal our country's oil, they want to make us a poor country/continent forever.
I'm not changing anything in our constitution except the influences that the foreign elements trying to undermine us have covertly installed in our constitution in order to keep the people of our country and continent, poor and imprisoned. Our revolution for freedom everywhere depends upon everyone understanding the 'force' working against us...etc." The same/similar junk coming from all of the people Chavez calls his friends these days.
What's dangerous is:
-Oil (money tree), can buy weapons for asymmetrical warfare.
-Chavez gives "free oil" to neighbors as well as weapons.
-There are reports he received WMDs (Chemical and Biological), from spain after the bombings and change in gov't there. I can provide a link later (4:45am here, sleepy... but Google it, I think Europa has an article among others-I don't know the slant of the paper, but it's in other places too). These reports (facts) are a big problem for our gov't. Not only is there already a deep base of "radicals" in that area (Hizbollah has a large following in a certain ungoverned area that they have built up since their bombings in Argentina). This is the "quiet but large problem" that the US is dealing with.
-Chavez has turned/sold certain oil fields to China. Oil for Arms and cheap products.
-China is buying as much oil as it can. Both POP and Market Value--which means they help drive up prices and are than given a "nice rebate." i.e. they aren't paying anything like market price, which hurts us and Europe. China is doing this all over the world. Same with minerals and metals.
-Chavez (ad friends) see this and know it hurts the "Devils."
-Like Ahmadinejad, Chavez isn't stupid. He understands what he's doing. He's flipping "Democracy on its head." Like so many others, he's equated having elections as being a Democracy. The thing is, he was elected in a "democratic manor" and thus has the mandate from the people to "free them" (i.e. do what he wants with anything, like the constitution). Chavez's revolution is a perfect example of "Destroy and Rebuild."
I'm not sure the UK would want to get involved in a S. America "insurgents" vs. the UK/USA!?!:unknown
I think the following is an excellent look into Chavez. It's long and in depth, but I think it is well-worth the read as I see the same analysis/conclusions:
HTML version
http://64.233.167.104/search?q=cach...oncern&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=9&gl=us&client=safari
PDF version
http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/PUB628.pdf
Peace