Agreed.Recent purchases of MRAPs have filled part of the requirement the wheeled FRES vehicle was meant to fulfil, taken some of the money meant for it, & the experience which led to buying the MRAPs via UORs has led to a re-think of the rest of the requirement. I think wheeled FRES is dead, at least for the time being.
A400M will depend on whether EADS can come up with a convincing remediation plan, acceptable financial terms, & (most of all) politics.
I doubt EADS will manage to make the A400M look like a good idea now. They're relying on the fact that France is desperate for it to succeed to stop the entire program from being cancelled for being, overweight, under performing, late and over budget - Pretty much everything that can be wrong with a procurement program.