I was listening to the BBC comments and it is interesting to see their view on the drivers of the various parties:Personally I thought they were going to request more time, but I can't say this was unexpected by any measure.
The interesting thing in that article is that it says "Germany was fundamentally opposed", i'd have thought it would have been a more French orientated affair.
EDIT: According to the Telegraph, the UK and France were both in favour of the idea
BAE and EADS ditch £28bn mega merger - Telegraph
Then this speaks volumes about who would've really gained if it took place
- Apparently the BAE board were keen, with their concern about the heavy defence exposure with a declining outlook
- UK Government very keen to regain some influence via BAE shareholding over the UK jobs in EADS.
- Quite a few major BAE shareholders not keen
- German government fundamentally against, because they were not prepared to have a smaller holding than the French.
With the merger now off, I don't know where that leaves BAE, they could: try again later, go more US maybe even merge with a big US group or stay independent and rationalise/try organic growth. Maybe they should look for at a more balanced merger with an view to the future...Embraer?
Either way I think it would be good for UK MOD & BAE to separate off the marine business, the money could be used to support an merger and the activity is not that attractive to aerospace companies.