What kind of airframe numbers are we realistically looking at? 24 airframes?UH1Ys don't have a shot at the SF helicopter requirement. The pot of money for SF helicopters is only so big, so I think one of two things will happen - a buy of Blackhawks to equip all of 6 Avn, or a buy of Little Birds to equip one squadron, with MRH equipping the other. There won't be enough money for both new Blackhawks and Little Birds. My money is just on new Blackhawks.
A FMS of blackhawks seems to make a lot of sense. They are a very useful piece of kit with commonality with the US blackhawk fleet, our MH-60Rs and will have a relatively easy transition with our current blackhawk experience.
Little Birds to me seem to be a nice to have. If it is a choice (as it seems to be) of a number of Little Birds or a similar number of new blackhawks, the latter seem to give alot more bang for buck.