Gonna be long…
A lot of uncertainty. The entire premise for the war, as had now been outlined by Rubio, is rather ludicrous. The reported plan to have a Venezuela scenario as a template also shows a complete lack of understanding of the situation.
Rubio’s comments make zero sense to me. The logic is completely flawed.
This is complete nonsense. Especially the part where he says that Iran would attack the US bases regardless of who attacked Iran - be it Israel, US or anyone else. Doubt he believes it himself. He should have said that Israel was set to go to war and we would attack regardless once Iran retaliated against Israel, or, alternatively, we were set to go to war. I understand that a good chunk of population (and even a much greater chunk of their prime electorate) lacks the ability to think critically, but nonetheless.
Then there is the genius Secretary of Defense (or War, whatever tickles the childish narcissistic ego).
More reverse logic from Waltz:
Overall, the time it took them to move the assets in preparation should have been more than sufficient to form a coherent strategy and be prepared to clearly explain it by any given member of the administration who is allowed anywhere near a mike. But they just keep delivering:
I think the author of the post commented sufficiently, though I am not sure that all the Arab countries, including some of those being attacked, wanted to avoid the war. They wanted to avoid being attacked, no doubt. The irony here is that a reasonable person can say with the utmost certainty that if the US attacked Iran, Iran would respond by attacking the Arab countries being attacked. As advertised.
Anyway, moving on. There is so much talk about Israel and the the US running out of interceptors and Iran winning the war of attrition. Lots of talk about Israel and the US running out of other munitions as well (what they hit with can probably be said can last “indefinitely”). Complete nonsense again. Sure, stock limitations on AD interceptors are real. However, we are in day two (well, I guess three) into it. The obvious question is whether Iran itself can sustain the strike intensity (which does not appear to be as intense, to be honest; more dated and fake videos out there than of real current footage). Completely agree with Decker here:
The Arabs running out of AD capabilities, I think, is a more pertinent matter at the moment. Speaking of fakes, this one appeared early in the morning, claiming to show the board from the Shahed that landed in Cyprus:
I saw a couple of posts questioning the content (way before the “community note” appeared suggesting that the video is from 2024, which took a while). The giveaways were clear though. The guy in the video clearly says “kometa”, while the post itself never mentions it and concentrates on “thanking” the Europeans still supplying the dictators with components and tags #Shahed in particular (don’t think there is still any official confirmation regarding the type of the UV involved, but stand to be corrected). Zero doubt in my mind that this is a part of the Ukrainian campaign (that is also, simultaneously, claims that Russia had betrayed its “axis” partner).
Some of the idiocy is actually being reposted by serious people:
To note, the proposition in itself is far from impossible and is rather plausible. To base one’s assumptions (or statements of fact, rather) on this rubbish, however, is the Spaniard’s level of abilities.
One of the original posts calling bullshit (the “og” post above had circulated for quite some time and was picked up and reposted many, many times before the call-out):
Moving on.
With obvious consequences:
I haven’t yet seen much consideration given to the fact that this is how the “Arabs” get their food, as well as other imports into their countries. Wondering how long this will last and how it develops.
Wasn’t the following exactly what was proposed the first time around last year? The common suggestion is that the regime chose crowd control over its own safety. I find that questionable, personally. Also, since this was advertised last time, months ago, one would think precautions would have been made. Stupid is as stupid does?
While there is more to post and discuss, I am going to wrap this up with some humour:
